Will Netflix Beat HBO?
That's from Derek Thompson who asks, "How long can Netflix's amazing run last?"
But I think that's the wrong question.
The right question might be, Why is HBO's subscriber base nearly static?
HBO has seen Netflix grow and grow, yet have clung to their same old model. There was some brief excitement here at Casa Verde when they announced HBO Go, but the excitement quickly subsided when we found out it's a "halfway pregnant" effort. Even at that HBO Go is available only to existing cable subscribers. Their growth model is... well, it's there on the chart.