13 Weeks: Getting Animated

Weight simulation assuming normally-distributed weights around the slope.

That chart is a simulation: I made a line that had the same rough slope as my weight loss, and then made synthetic data points around that line. The points are normally distributed -- the famous bell curve beloved of statisticians -- and the variance is around 5 pounds. Notice how similar they look?

And that's the point. I am losing weight -- and yes, my glucose is also dropping still, and the tape measure shows I'm losing body fat. Day to day, though, it's hard to see -- perfectly normal randomness is hiding it. It's hard to see.

But then, I've only got 147 frames of this animation -- a little over 6 seconds of film. It might be a little early to be discouraged.


Date7 day Weight7 day Glucose7 day BodyfatSum Fitocracy PointsWeekly Fitocracy Points
2013-02-01272.50116.4333.1447447
2013-02-07272.63114.5730.79%18811881
2013-02-14271.91110.4330.36%2606725
2013-02-21273.79115.2929.16%37751169
2013-02-28274.44104.0030.00%49291154
2013-03-07273.11115.8630.24%60221093
2013-03-14269.86101.8630.10%72331211
2013-03-14272.08112.2530.64%7681448
2013-03-14270.57113.8630.26% (??)8180499
Δ since 2-1-1.93-2.57-2.88%N/AN/A