ADVICE FROM BRENDAN LOY: “One cautionary note to those who, like me, are hoping for a strong Obama showing. Don’t put any stock in the leaked exit poll numbers. I’ll publish the details tomorrow, but bottom line, when you look at New Hampshire, Super Tuesday and March 4, Obama does, on average, roughly 7 to 8 points worse in the actual, final results than in the leaked, unweighted exit polls.”