PATRICK RUFFINI PREDICTS a big McCain victory in New Hampshire.

Plus Rudy’s problem: “In recent conversations with New Hampshire Republicans, I’m struck by how fierce hostility to the Mayor is. The media put this down to problems with ‘social conservatives,’ but that underestimates the scale of the problem. Granite State libertarians and small-government types find his gun record unacceptable. Base-wise, that doesn’t leave a lot.”