HMM: Majority agree Trump will beat Biden, 51%-43%.

Instead of asking for their preference, it asked which candidate do voters think will win regardless of their personal politics. Here, issues such as voter enthusiasm play a role. And the belief that Republicans are better for the economy, also tested in the survey, likely gave Trump a slight edge.

In his analysis, pollster Jonathan Zogby said that Trump remains very strong with his base. He is also winning middle age and older voters. And he’s crushing Biden among union workers.

Which is funny, because that was supposed to be Biden’s strength. Plus: “Importantly, Trump is in a virtual tie with Biden among women, Hispanic, and suburban voters. . . . The survey also asked which party was the bigger threat to the economy. It was close, with 51% pointing the finger at Democrats and 49% at the Republicans. But some key 2020 voting groups (Hispanics, independents) ‘thought Democrats were a bigger threat to an economic recovery,’ said the analysis.”

Prediction: All the emphasis on black issues will move some Hispanic voters who otherwise would have voted Democrat into the Trump, or at least the nonvoting, camp.