August 9, 2016

GEORGA PEACH? Clinton leads by 7 points in GA.

Clinton leads Trump by 7 points, 44 to 37 percent, in the JMC Analytics poll released Monday, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson taking 7 percent.

Another 10 percent of respondents were undecided, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein registered just 1 percent support in the poll.

Clinton leads Trump, 84 to 6 percent, among black respondents, while Trump leads her among white respondents, 52 to 25 percent.

Clinton also holds a big advantage among women, 48 to 35 percent, while men are more evenly split, 41 to 40 percent, in favor of Trump.

Poll respondents more than not disapprove of the job President Obama is doing, with 48 percent disapproving and 44 percent approving.

I dismissed the first poll showing Clinton with a small lead in Georgia, because it was just one poll of registered voters. But this is the second one now, and it was taken of “likely households.” You can see JMC Analytics’ full results and methodology here.

RCP’s poll averaging gives Trump a two-point lead, although they don’t yet include JMC’s numbers and do still include two outdated polls of registered voters from the Atlanta Journal and PPP.

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