WEINER-SEAT UPDATE: Prof. Jacobson is blogging the NY-09 results. “This race should be a piece of cake for Democrats in a district which has several times more registered Democrats than Republicans (it’s the former seat held by Geraldine Ferraro and Chuck Schumer), except for three things (1) the lingering stain of Anthony ‘Breitbart hacked my Twitter’ Weiner, and (2) a relatively weak Democratic candidate. The third factor (3) is the Jewish vote and the way in which Ed Koch and others have put Obama’s Israel policy on trial.”

The Dems have been scared. I expect votes for David Weprin from Peter Minuit and Willem Verhulst.