Pollsters will deny it. Democrats will ignore it. But the numbers are telling a different story.
The farther along Democrats get in trying to impeach Donald Trump, the further their presidential candidates fall.
It’s not so much that the race for the Democratic presidential nomination is getting closer. It’s that some candidates’ support is falling faster than others.
The latest evidence for this comes via a Reuters/Ipsos poll that came out yesterday.
Support for U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren dropped nationally to its lowest level in four months, and nearly one in three potential Democratic primary voters say they do not know which candidate to pick with the first nominating contests less than two months away, according to a Reuters/Ipsos public opinion poll.
The poll, conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, found the level of indecision has jumped among of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents after an already wide slate of candidates underwent a considerable amount of recent turnover ahead of the November 2020 election.
As the Democratic field shrinks, support for the remaining candidates should be rising. It isn’t.
The latest poll found that support declined for all of the top candidates, including Warren, when compared with a similar poll that ran on Nov. 20-22.
Support dropped by 2 percentage points for former Vice President Joe Biden to 19%. It fell by 3 points for U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont to 14%, and it declined by 1 point to 6% for Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana.
Bloomberg, a billionaire media mogul, entered the race as the fifth-most popular candidate with 4% support.
Support for Warren dropped by 2 points to 9% in the national poll, the worst showing for the U.S. senator from Massachusetts in the Reuters/Ipsos poll since August.
Poll after poll at RealClearPolitics shows declining numbers for all the major candidates from August to December (except Pete Buttigieg). What’s happening?
Is it impeachment that’s causing the fall-off in support and the rise in undecideds? It’s not that Democrats are disappointed that Trump is being impeached. More than 85 percent of Democrats support the process.
What’s depressing the numbers of presidential candidates is the dawning realization that their party doesn’t have anyone who can compete with Trump. Impeachment won’t matter if Joe Biden is a doddering old fool, Bernie Sanders is a fire-breathing socialist, and Elizabeth Warren is a far-left-wing kook.
Oh, and don’t forget the gay kid from Indiana. Let’s go ahead and hand the mayor of a small American city the key to the most powerful office in the world. Yeah, that works.
The impeachment circus is a symptom of what ails the Democratic Party. They are out of ideas and out of strong candidates. They are recycling proposals from the ’70s, ’80s, and ’90s, trying to put a shiny new coat of paint on national health insurance, free college, and soaking the rich. It didn’t work then and isn’t likely to work now.