The recent special election in Kansas for Mike Pompeo’s old House seat — Pompeo’s now ensconced in Langley, where he has the Augean Stables ahead of him — had Democrats excited about their chances right up to election day… and beyond. Even though they lost by nearly seven points, they were quick to claim a “near-victory,” on the grounds that their guy lost by a lesser margin than any of Pompeo’s previous tomato cans.
Now we have another special election, this one in Georgia, to replace Tom Price, who’s moved on to the Department of Health and Human Services. And once again, the Progressive donkeys are all hot and bothered by their chances, given that their man is one of only five Democrats in the first round against eleven GOP wannabes. So they’ve poured $8.5 million into the race in the hopes not simply of blackening Donald Trump’s eye, but perhaps snatching the seat as well — all candidate Jon Ossoff needs to do is grab 50 percent of the vote-plus-one and he wins the seat outright.
At National Review, John Fund writes:
Republicans have reason to be nervous about next Tuesday’s special election to replace Georgia’s Tom Price, who resigned from Congress to join President Trump’s Cabinet. If the GOP candidate performs as badly as the party’s narrow winner of a special election in Republican Kansas did this week, nervous GOP majorities in Congress will be even less eager to take policy risks…
If the Republicans lose to Ossoff, or see him come close to a first-round victory, storm signals will go up. In the past, special-election losses have often signaled that incumbent presidents were a drag on their party. In 1993, Democrats barely held a Wisconsin seat in the first months of Bill Clinton’s presidency. The next year they lost ancestrally Democratic seats in Oklahoma and Kentucky, an indication that they were in danger of losing the House that November (which they did). In 2007 and 2008, Democrats won GOP seats in Illinois, Louisiana, and Mississippi, a clear sign of a demoralized Republican base in the second term of George W. Bush.
Well… maybe. Because here comes hard-left Salon, hosing down the overheated Democrats and #neverTrumpumpkins with this reality check:
The good news is that Jon Ossoff is succeeding in making the race for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District competitive. The bad news is that he’s probably not going to be going to the House of Representatives.
According to a newly released poll, the 30-year-old Democrat will likely fall short of the 50 percent vote share in Tuesday’s election he needs to win the race outright. While Ossoff leads the crowded field of mostly Republicans vying to replace Republican Tom Price, who vacated the seat in February to serve as Trump’s Health and Human Services secretary, he is currently only polling at 39 percent
“Ossoff is barely clearing a third of the remaining vote with much of the rest divided in a battle royal between four Republican hopefuls,” Decision Desk HQ’s Brandon Finnigan wrote to introduce the newly released poll his outlet sponsored. According to the poll conducted by Red Racing Horses, Ossoff’s closest competitors, Republicans Karen Handel and Bob Gray, poll at 15 percent and 12 percent, respectively.
As Yogi Berra famously observed, it’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future. But the media’s eagerness to proclaim the beginning of the end for the Trump administration knows no bounds. If they have to paw through all the tea in China until the leaves finally come up right, they will.