Election 2020

About That 'Unelectability' Argument...

(AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Much of the #neverTrump movement is predicated on the assertion that Trump (with super-high negatives) will be crushed in the general election by the Dowager Empress of Chappaqua (whose negatives are almost equally high). Now, along comes this poll:

Hillary Clinton holds just a 3-point lead over Republican front-runner Donald Trump in a national head to head matchup, according to a George Washington University Battleground Poll. Clinton, the front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, has 46 percent compared to Trump’s 43 percent, a more narrow margin than other polls have found.

In the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Clinton has a larger 8-point lead over Trump, 48.8 to 40.8 percent. Fellow Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders has a 15.3-point lead over the Republican front-runner, 53.3 to 38 percent.

In a general election matchup with Sanders, the Vermont senator has a double-digit lead over Trump.

The poll finds that most voters don’t have a positive view on most of the candidates, including Trump and Clinton. Only Sanders and John Kasich, a Republican candidate, have unfavorable ratings below 50 percent, according to the poll. Sanders has an unfavorable rating of 44 percent and Kasich of 29 percent. Clinton has an unfavorable rating of 56 percent, Ted Cruz of 55 percent and Trump of 65 percent.

So much for the cliche that the presidential election is a popularity contest. This may be the first national election in which None of the Above actually has a real shot at winning.