Nate Silver Has Trump Ahead Now

Silver still has Dame van der Cankles ahead in the long run, but there's plenty of time for that to change. Silver also noted that this is well beyond the normal convention bounce:

"It's not Trump's convention bounce per se that should worry Dems. That's pretty normal. It's how it became so close to begin with," Silver tweeted. "Trump trailed by around 3 points in our forecasts a week ago. Typical convention bounce is 4 points. So you end up at Trump +1 or so."

The ball is in Hillary's court now. She'll get cover from the press, naturally, but will she be able to overcome the very vocal Bernie dissenters and wipe out Trump's surge?