Waterloo: David Frum Doubles Down (Update: PJM Gets a Mark Levin Shout-Out)

Frum ought to know about them and other Democrats like them.  He also ought to know that there are 21 states suing to destroy ObamaCare.  He also ought to know that those lawsuits are bundled in three separate court cases, all of which are in federal court and headed, eventually, to the Supreme Court.  Now that the GOP has picked up several additional state attorneys general, more states may join those cases or file their own, because ObamaCare threatens to saddle every state with massive new spending that none of them can afford.  The cases against ObamaCare have a good chance of succeeding in demonstrating that the individual mandate is unconstitutional, for the simple reason that the federal government has never mandated that the price of American citizenship is purchasing a product, as ObamaCare does.  Because of the law's construction, if the individual mandate goes down, so does the rest of it.  It all goes away.

David Frum just pretends that none of that is true.

He also pretends that the Pelosi Democrats were interested in compromise with Republicans on that bill in the first place, when it was obvious that they weren't.  They locked Republicans out of the backroom meetings in which the bill was hatched.  They held votes at midnight and on holiday weekends to minimize scrutiny and, in theory, to minimize voter rage (that gambit backfired).  They were hell-bent to pass a health care "reform" to cap their 2006 and 2008 victories and to give themselves a historic and far-reaching policy victory.  They wanted to pick off a Republican vote or two if possible, but not at the expense of any of their core "reform" ideas.  They ended up having to buy off Democrats.

Frum doesn't stop to consider: if not for the corrupt Cornhusker Kickback and the Louisiana Purchase, there wouldn't have been an ObamaCare at all.

Had the Republicans gone along with all that corruption and government empowerment en masse, while the Tea Partiers were mobilizing and the town halls were spontaneously erupting, there almost certainly would have been a third party rise up to take on both the Republicans and the Democrats.  Because it was coming from the right and center, that third party would have hurt Republicans while unintentionally helping the Democrats -- think Perot '92 on steroids.  We wouldn't be looking at the GOP's historic wave today.  We would be looking at the death or at least splintering of the GOP and a Democratic Party taking its 2010 win as a mandate to keep running left.  Cap and trade, and then "comprehensive immigration reform," would not be far off.  They might even have been passed in the lame-duck session.  That's the world General Frum would have left us, if the Republicans had compromised on ObamaCare.  We would still have ObamaCare, but in all likelihood a totally dispirited center and right facing a Democratic Godzilla.  Those grief counselors wouldn't be meeting with Democrats.

Instead, we are where we are, with a citizenry engaged and an opposition party poised to use its mandate and the courts to block ObamaCare in one way or another while the court cases proceed. The victory came in a redistricting year, which means it's likely to last longer and stretch farther than your average midterm election.  The Democrats are totally exposed for being a party of the far left, against personal liberty and destructive of free enterprise and states' abilities to make their own fiscal decisions.

But in the wake of the GOP win, David Frum sees Waterloo everywhere he looks, except in the future of the party that lost so badly.  I don't think Napoleon Bonaparte, or even Napoleon Dynamite, would see it that way.

Update: The Great One, Mark Levin, mentioned this piece on his nationally syndicated radio show this week.