The Time to Act Against Iran Is Fast Approaching
Given what we know or should know by this time, we would be foolish not to take Iran’s claims and threats with utmost seriousness. Everything points to a dangerous rogue regime intent on establishing its hegemony in the Middle East, working assiduously against Western interests, and unafraid to unleash real devastation upon the world. Russian strategist Major-General Vladimir Dvorkin, head of the Moscow-based Center for Strategic Nuclear Forces, believes that in the near future Iran “will most likely be able to threaten the whole of Europe.” Articles 19 and 20 of the IAEA Board of Governors Report for November 19, 2008, are unambiguous and are still as pertinent today as they were two years ago:
19. Regrettably, as a result of the lack of cooperation by Iran in connection with the alleged studies and other associated key remaining issues of serious concern, the Agency has not been able to make substantive progress on these issues. … Unless Iran provides such transparency, and implements the Additional Protocol, the Agency will not be able to provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran.
20. Contrary to the decisions of the Security Council, Iran has not suspended its enrichment related activities, having continued the operation of PFEP and FEP and the installation of new cascades and the operation of new generation centrifuges for test purposes. … [Note: FEP=Fuel Enrichment Plant; PFEP =Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant.]
The report, incidentally, made nonsense of the statement regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions that the newly elected head of the IAEA, Yukiya Amano, gave to Reuters news agency on July 3, 2009: “I don’t see any evidence in IAEA official documents about this.” One may speculate where in the solar system Mr. Amano resides -- perhaps on one of those idyllic, vegan worlds we recall from first generation Star Trek episodes. We recall too that several of these worlds were duly obliterated.
Several months earlier, the Arabic/English Kuwaiti daily Al-Siyassa for July 29, 2008, reported that Iran is building a secret nuclear complex near the southwestern city of Ahwaz, which was not mentioned in the Geneva negotiations with the IAEA. The report reproduces an intercepted letter of April 7, 2008, from the office of the Revolutionary Guards, who are patrolling the site, ordering that “the construction work in this project must be carried out under absolute secrecy.”
On September 12, 2008, the Daily Telegraph reported that Iran had transferred sufficient quantities of uranium from its conversion facility at Isfahan to make up to six atom bombs. As Ronen Bergman in his shocking 2008 book The Secret War with Iran makes utterly clear, quoting Pakistani nuclear scientist Iftikhar Khan Chaudry who was privy to the Pakistan-Iran nuclear partnership, “It is also apparent that Iran intends to utilize a nuclear weapon -- in the future when a nuclear weapon would be operational -- against the State of Israel.” The discovery of the secret nuclear installation, called Fordo, excavated into a mountain near the city of Qom reinforces Bergman’s revelations. More reinforcement arrived soon after. An internal Iranian technical document, obtained by the London Times, alleges that as early as 2007 Iran had acquired uranium deuteride, or UD3, “a neutron initiator to trigger the chain reaction that gives a nuclear weapon its devastating power.”
The IAEA now believes that Iran is on the way to developing a nuclear payload for a ballistic missile cone. The IAEA has also noted that the Shihab-3 ballistic missile is being adapted to explode 650 meters above target, appropriate only for nuclear warheads, and that Iran is engaged in a process to convert uranium Yellowcake into Green Salt, necessary for nuclear weapons cores. In fact, Iran has now produced its first batch of 20% enriched uranium. The Telegraph for March 28, 2010, reports that Iran appears to have started construction on “two Qom look-alikes.” On April 9, 2009, Iran announced the development of a “third generation” centrifuge, capable of doubling the enrichment output of its predecessor. And on May 31, 2010, the IAEA reported that Iran possesses sufficient nuclear fuel to render two nuclear missiles operational.
William R. Graham, reporting from his post as chairman of the Congressional Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack, testified that Iran has already conducted electromagnetic pulse missile tests from frigates in the Caspian Sea. Additionally, Graham draws attention to Iranian military writings that “explicitly discuss a nuclear EMP attack that would gravely harm the United States.”
As Ryan Mauro points out, “an electromagnetic pulse attack … could potentially fry all electronic components for thousands of miles.” Given the American administration’s gelatinous foreign policy, outreach to enemies, and its abdication from critical spheres of influence, it has now become an especially vulnerable target. Such an attack, which could be launched undetectably from, say, a nondescript barge in the Pacific, would devastate the United States and send it reeling back into the 19th century. The American president thus far appears serenely unperturbed by the possibility of an EMP wipeout. Perhaps he should be reminded that it would deprive him of the use of his teleprompters. A reading of William Forstchen’s One Second After might jog his mind a little.
Iran claims it is enriching uranium for the purpose of producing medical isotopes, yet it has refused to suspend its enrichment program in return for these very radioisotopes which the U.S., Russia, and France have agreed to supply in exchange for compliance.
Additionally, Iran lacks the technical capacity to run a medical isotope reactor. Meanwhile all the talk about “sanctions with teeth” is having no discernible effect and the “teeth” we are talking about are probably dentures anyway. The fourth UN sanctions resolution of June 9, 2020, with Russian and Chinese backing, is devoid of muscular provisions and will not persuade Iran to alter its course. Indeed, they allow Russia and China to continue trading with Iran, which means, realistically speaking, that nothing much has been accomplished except that the international community can save a little face while losing most of its leverage.
These are nothing more than “a parody of sanctions,” writes Jerusalem Post columnist Sarah Honig, which do not strike at Iran’s Achilles' heel, the need for refined petroleum products. The sanctions, she continues, “will lend an appearance of an international mobilization to curb Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions, but in actuality will achieve nothing." But “even if severe sanctions are imposed,” says Israeli (once-revisionist) historian Benny Morris, “they likely won't have time to have serious effect before Iran succeeds at making a bomb.”