States with Stricter Gun Control Laws Are Less Safe

The Brady Campaign “opposes state laws or a national law” legalizing shall-issue concealed carry laws -- or “right-to-carry” laws (RTC) -- where law enforcement must issue a license unless there’s evidence that the applicant is a criminal or a danger to himself or others.

According to Brady rhetoric, RTC states should be more dangerous. But actual FBI and CDC data prove otherwise.

  • RTC states: more guns at home and in public; less violent crime and murder.

Right-to-Carry vs. Brady, Pct Gun Ownership, FBI Violent Crime, Murder
20012002
Ave.

Grade

PGOFBI RatesAve.

Grade

PGOFBI Rates
ViolenceMurderViolenceMurder
RTCD43.0%404.45.0D44.7%398.74.8
Non-RTCB-26.8%509.46.1B-27.8%503.56.6

  • RTC states have lower firearms and non-firearms homicide rates.

Right-to-Carry vs. Brady, Pct Gun Ownership, CDC Homicide
20012002
Ave.

Grade

PGOCDC HomicideAve.

Grade

PGOCDC Homicide
FirearmNon-FAFirearmNon-FA
RTCD43.0%3.602.15D44.7%3.591.91
Non-RTCB-26.8%4.003.40B-27.8%4.482.25

Brady’s McDonald brief claimed that “an increase in gun prevalence causes an intensification of criminal violence -- a shift toward greater lethality, and hence, greater harm to the community.”

Brady argued for “reasonable” Second Amendment restrictions that should be addressed “in the political arena, without courts second-guessing reasoned legislative judgments.”

Curiously, this same argument was one of the motives for the Fourteenth Amendment: to protect against legislative attempts to curtail citizens’ basic rights. Since American gun control includes a history of legislative attempts to oppress American citizens of African descent, Brady’s “reasonable” argument merits further attention.

When Brady’s grades were collated with CDC firearm and non-firearm homicide rates for Americans of African descent:

  • Brady’s favorite states experienced the highest rates of homicide.
  • The general trend indicates that as Brady grades decline, so do homicide rates.
  • Brady’s “worst” states experienced the lowest rates of firearms and non-firearms homicide.

Brady Grades Versus CDC African American Homicide Rates
Grade20012002
TotalFirearmNon-FATotalFirearmNon-FA
A22.6217.265.3723.3517.785.56
B20.3912.737.6621.8816.545.34
C19.6614.235.4218.4513.934.52
D16.8312.604.2317.2411.995.25
F11.969.942.0211.438.752.67

These data show that law-abiding Americans are safest where they have the easiest access to firearms, rendering Henigan’s premise invalid.