President 'I Won' Pre-Misreads Defeat

With all due respect, Mr. President, you're delusional if you mean this the way it sounds:

In a seeming twist on the post-1994 midterm calculation made by President Bill Clinton -- when Republicans pummeled Democrats in the congressional election -- Obama said he thinks Republicans will have to move in his direction no matter the outcome of the Nov. 2 vote.

"It may be that regardless of what happens after this election, they feel more responsible," he is quoted saying in the Sunday edition of The New York Times Magazine, "either because they didn't do as well as they anticipated, and so the strategy of just saying no to everything and sitting on the sidelines and throwing bombs didn't work for them, or they did reasonably well, in which case the American people are going to be looking to them to offer serious proposals and work with me in a serious way."

Let's take a look at a few polls.  First, the daily Presidential Tracking Poll over at Rasmussen:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18 (see trends).

Nearly half the country "strongly disapproves" of your job performance, Mr. President.  They're your bosses.  They're evaluating you, your policies, and how you have behaved over nearly two years on the job.  And they're set to fire a wide swath of your allies and replace them with your political opponents.  This forces Republicans to work with you?  If the American people could fire you right now, a near majority of them would.  But they can't, yet.  The best the voters can do right now is fire your enablers and keep more from getting into power.  Democrats everywhere are finding ways to run away from you and your foolish policies, if they can.  There's a reason for that, and it's not just the persistent unemployment rate that your massive stimulus project did nothing to alleviate.

Let's look at another poll.  Obama's political career started in Illinois, where he was a state senator and then a senator before, having accomplished very little beyond giving a few nice speeches, he vaulted to the presidency.  In becoming POTUS, he resigned his Senate seat.  Illinois is a strong Democratic machine state.  In the past, Republicans have had very little chance of winning much there.  But this year, things in the campaign for his old seat are ... different:

With just three weeks left until Election Day, Republican Congressman Mark Kirk and Democrat Alexi Giannoulias remain deadlocked in Illinois’ race for the U.S. Senate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Giannoulias, the current state treasurer, picking up 44% of the vote, while Kirk draws support from 43%.

That race is a toss-up.  Let's take a look at another poll.  This one's from Nevada, where one of the Democrats who has become most closely identified with the Obama agenda, Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid, is running for re-election.  In most years, such a power player walks to victory.  But 2010 is ... different:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada finds Angle with 49% support and Reid at 48%. One percent (1%) like another candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) are still undecided.

Another toss-up, where a Democrat should be running strong.  There are dozens of similar races, all over the country, from the local level all the way up to the Senate and governorships.  From Massachusetts to California, Democrats are weak where they're usually strong, and Republicans are cruising to victory in what are usually swing states.  Red states that were in danger of going purple or even blue after 2008 are bright red again.  Projections have the Republicans picking up somewhere between 6 and 9 seats in the Senate and possibly a majority there, and dozens of seats in the House.  Governorships and state legislatures are also swinging back to the GOP, while at the local level the Democrats are getting hollowed out as local elected officials switch to the GOP.  There's a reason, Mr. President, that your party still needs Bill Clinton to make more campaign stops than you this year.