Not Coming to the House Floor Anytime Soon: An Immigration Vote

Again, there's a process in place here that favors our side.

In other words, don’t expect any immigration votes on the House floor any time soon. And if a floor vote does ever happen, don’t expect it to grant citizenship to illegal immigrants, either. “For any legislation — including a conference report — to pass the House, it’s going to have to be a bill that has the support of a majority of our members,” Boehner said.

No pressure

The biggest problem facing amnesty advocates now is that there is simply no mechanism or outside force pressing the House to act in any way. Unlike the debt limit that will come due this fall, or the fiscal cliff that forced a House vote on taxes this January, there is no real policy consequence if the House chooses to do nothing.

True, a less than ideal status quo will continue, but the American people really don’t seem to care. Just look at this compilation of polls on American policy priorities. Immigration always finishes at or near the bottom of every issue list, if it appears at all. The vast majority of Americans simply don’t care about immigration as an issue.

As the Washington Examiner‘s David Drucker tweeted yesterday, “If Senate bill supporters want House 2 feel pressure on #immigration, find a poll that shows voters prioritizing issue. So far, they don’t.”

In today's Narrative vs. Reality update: we're being told that the GOP has to do something about this RIGHT NOW or will never win another election again, but the party is still in the driver's seat on this because it overwhelmingly won an election in 2010. After being told it wasn't going to win one for a long, long time.

The demographics didn't radically shift between 2010 and 2012, there were just different and, in the latter election, somewhat anomalous factors in play.

All we have to do now is pressure GOP House members to keep an eye on Boehner.