New Poll Has Scott Brown Trailing Shaheen By Double Digits In NH

Try, try again.

Republican Scott Brown, who won the Massachusetts Senate seat long held by Democrat Edward M. Kennedy, is trailing Jeanne Shaheen in a U.S. Senate race in neighboring New Hampshire, according to a poll released on Thursday.

A Boston Herald/Suffolk University poll of 800 likely New Hampshire voters in the November election found 49 percent support for Democrat Shaheen with 39 percent supporting Brown. That is a slightly narrower lead than Shaheen, a former governor of the state, held in earlier polls.

Brown carried a strong lead heading into the September Republican primary, with the support of 40 percent of likely primary voters polled from Sunday to Wednesday, well ahead of second-place Bob Smith, who had 12 percent support.

Brown is the kind of uber-moderate Republican we are always told is the only kind that can win in the northeast. From my perch on the other end of the country I can't figure out if he is just not as dynamic as he seemed to be when he won the special election in Massachusetts or if the northeast is lurching ever-leftward. Maybe it's a bit of both.

He might be in a stronger position at this point if he'd been back in New Hampshire for a longer period of time before making a Senate run. Circumstances, however, didn't allow him that luxury.

There is still a lot of time left. At the rate things are unraveling for the Democrats in general he may be able to close that gap.