New Global Warming Report a Disgrace
Indeed, the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change demonstrates that much of what we thought we knew about climate is wrong or highly debatable. The science is becoming more unsettled as the field advances. While atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased about 8% over the past 17 years, even the IPCC now acknowledges that planetary temperatures have not risen during this period for reasons they do not understand. They’re also in the dark as to why their Fourth Assessment Report (2007) forecast of “a decline in the frequency of cold air outbreaks in the Northern Hemisphere winter in most areas” has failed so spectacularly in recent years. Across the world, new low temperature and snowfall records are being set with increasing frequency.
Supporting fears that the past decade’s cold weather may be a harbinger of significant global cooling, many solar scientists are forecasting that cooling is almost certain as the sun weakens into a "grand minimum" over the coming decades. Solar expert Dr. Habibullo Abdussamatov, of Russia’s Pulkovo Observatory near St. Petersburg, explained, “from approximately 2014, we can expect the start of the next bicentennial cycle of deep cooling with a Little Ice Age in 2055 plus or minus 11 years.”
The last time the sun was as weak as is now being forecast, the Earth was in a particularly cold phase of the Little Ice Age that lasted from about 1350 – 1850, a period of great misery for people around the world.
We won’t know for decades whether Abdussamatov and his peers are right, or whether warming fears are more justified, but geologists call past warm epochs "optimums" and cold times "dark ages" for good reason: history shows that cooling is far more dangerous than warming. Yet governments across the world are planning only for warming, a relatively benign scenario and one that is appearing increasingly improbable.
Whatever the future of climate, we know one thing for certain: with increasing populations and a rapidly growing middle class in the developing world, humanity is going to need ever increasing amounts of inexpensive, high-quality, reliable power. Yet climate campaigners such as Secretary of State John Kerry will undoubtedly use Thursday’s irresponsible RS/NAS report to promote wind and solar power, the least reliable and most expensive options. Moving away from coal and other inexpensive conventional power sources to alternative energy because of climate concerns would be suicide.