LLLLLLetttt's Get Ready to Rumble!

Battle comes to the Northeast. The testy tycoon Trump strides far ahead of his competition, as the mendacious madame Clinton leads the bellowing bureaucrat. It's The Donald's game -- how big will he win?

Everything tonight is in Trump's favor. He just broke 50 percent in a national poll for the first time, and his poll numbers are high going into the Acela primary. And his competition -- what competition? -- is mostly focused on later states: Ted Cruz is campaigning in the pivotal state of Indiana, after making a deal -- what deal? -- ceding Oregon and New Mexico to John Kasich.

According to the RealClearPolitics polling averages, Trump leads by 26.3 points in Connecticut, 21.0 points in Maryland, 20.2 points in Pennsylvania, and 29.3 points in Rhode Island. In the one Delaware poll included by RealClearPolitics, The Donald leads by 37 points!  The question is not will Trump win, but how big will his victory be.

That very much depends on where the voting falls. Most of tonight's states award delegates proportionately -- some to whomever wins the state and some to the victor in each congressional district. Only Delaware is winner-take-all, and Pennsylvania only binds 17 of its 71 delegates.

In states like Maryland, where voters elect delegates, Cruz has once again outmaneuvered The Donald. Some Trump voters recalled voting for Cruz delegates, just because there were so few Trump delegates to choose from. Once again, the Texas senator has beaten his competition behind the scenes, but that only counts if The Donald falls short of 1,237 delegates.

With that, we're off to the races! Republicans in the Northeast are not used to having their votes actually matter in a primary, but they do now.

11:10 p.m.

That's all, folks: I'm calling it a night. Big wins for The Donald, and almost as big for Hillary. It seems much more likely that Clinton clinches her nomination, however.

The #StopTrump forces have two big tests, and if they lose both, it's game over. Ted Cruz must win Indiana, and Donald Trump must lose California -- those are the two big delegate swing states remaining. Trump leads in both currently, so Cruz has his work cut out for him. His ground game is strong, but will that be enough? Especially following a sweep like this, it will be tough.

As for Trump's declaration that he's the "presumptive nominee," he's wrong, but not entirely off base. He is the only candidate who can win outright. That makes him the man to beat, and that's going to be tough, even if the convention is contested. Our own Roger Simon predicts that the convention will not be contested. After tonight, it seems he very well might be right.

Cruz, Kasich, and even Sanders for that matter, are not giving up. On the Democratic side, Sanders needs a miracle. On the Republican side, Cruz needs Indiana and California -- and even then it's just a race at the convention. The largest amount of voters will have chosen Trump (we'll see if it's a majority), and even if the delegates collectively decide he is a horrible candidate to represent their policies and positions, it will be a bit awkward to explain that to Trump loyalists, especially when they're threatening to kill them. Who said politics wasn't personal...or scary?

10:55 p.m.

And that's all folks. It's a sweep, even on the congressional district level.

And wow: I'm no Hillary fan, but that is COLD.

10:44 p.m.

Trump is still not winning late-deciders, but he's doing better among them. From Nate Silver:

Earlier in the campaign, Trump had a tendency to perform poorly among late-deciding voters. It didn’t always cost him states because he had a lot of his vote locked in early on, but it led to him underperforming his polls fairly often.

So what about tonight? According to exit polls, Trump won 37 percent of late-deciding voters in Maryland, 39 percent in Connecticut, and 41 percent in Pennsylvania. That’s good, although well below Trump’s statewide margins. In fact, Kasich narrowly led among late-deciders in Connecticut and Maryland.

The thing is, though, that there weren’t very many late deciders. Only 21 percent of Republicans decided on their vote in the last week in Pennsylvania, 20 percent in Connecticut, and 27 percent in Maryland.

Clinton is 4 for 5, winning Connecticut after losing Rhode Island.

10:36 p.m.

The Democratic establishment wins tonight, on the GOP side, not so much.

Is this like when Trump valued his brand at $3 billion? Forbes corrected that. Will Cruz correct this?

10:28 p.m.

This reminds me of something from Game of Thrones: "Any man who must say 'I am the king' is no true king."

And this is a very good question.

10:25 p.m.

This is just a reminder of how Clinton campaigned in the Northeast -- as reported by the Onion.

And here's Trump trying to be presidential.

10:18 p.m.

The Donald jumps the gun a bit, here.

And look at Chris Christie's face!

10:15 p.m.

This is why the #NeverTrump movement still has hope.

Until Trump breaks 1,237, this is still a race.

10:11 p.m.

Was Trump's victory tonight a result of Republicans giving up in the effort to stop him? From FiveThirtyEight's Dave Wasserman:

Of the five states reporting results tonight, Trump’s smallest margin so far is 31 percentage points (in Maryland, where he leads Kasich 54 percent to 23 percent). Granted, these are low-turnout GOP primaries in very Democratic states that are demographically favorable to Trump. But by exceeding expectations in places like Maryland’s 8th District, Trump raises the question of whether we’re beginning to see a “rally around the frontrunner” effect on the GOP side that we simply aren’t seeing in the Democratic race.

Trump states the obvious in his speech.

10:01 p.m.

It's still theoretically possible for Cruz to win outright, but that won't happen. Even Trump needs over half of those remaining.

This race isn't over yet.