Liveblogging the GOP Nevada Caucus Results

The Nevada Republican caucus begins at 5 PM Pacific Standard Time, and results are expected at 9 PM PST, which means midnight in Eastern Standard Time -- in five hours. It's going to be a long night!

Nevada is well-known for being mercurial -- real estate tycoon Donald J. Trump leads the latest polls, 16 percent and 26 percent ahead of second place in the most recent two. However, the caucus style tends to reward campaigns that are more organized, such as those of Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Florida Senator Marco Rubio. Cruz won the Iowa caucus, despite Trump's polling lead there, and Rubio outperformed his poll numbers. Rubio, in particular, should outperform -- he spent many of his teenage years in the state, has many cousins in Las Vegas, and recently received a huge spate of endorsements, including Nevada Senator Orrin Hatch.

Ohio Governor John Kasich has largely written off the state, and is spending the evening in Georgia. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson is reeling from hard losses in the past three states, and an embarrassing last-place finish in highly Evangelical South Carolina.

Without further ado, it's off to the races!

1:40 A.M.

Final Thoughts: Nevada really dropped the ball tonight -- the state GOP will have to explain what was going on with the ballots, why it allowed volunteers to wear campaign swag, and whether or not any other candidate beside Trump was represented by such swag. If Trump had not strongly led in the polls and had some really yuge rallies in Nevada, potential fraud would be the major story coming out of this caucus.

As it stands, Trump won big -- with or without any fraud on the margins -- and Cruz and Rubio will have to switch into high gear to stop his momentum. One week from today, Cruz's "Super Tuesday" firewall will give Trump's challengers one last chance to show they can stop him. Otherwise, the race may be decided. And Trump leads in every single Super Tuesday state, with the lone exception of Texas (where a recent poll did show Trump ahead, but the RealClearPolitics average still puts Cruz in the lead).

1:25 A.M.

Cruz: "You can choose between two Washington dealmakers, or one proven consistent conservative." Touts his leading the fight for "life, marriage, and religious liberty," as well as the Second Amendment. "If you look at those Super Tuesday states, they like their guns."

1:23 P.M.

Trump will be on trial for fraud, but not for any fraud in tonight's election.

And Ted Cruz is speaking in Nevada:

1:10 A.M.

We're up to 14 percent reporting, and Rubio has fallen a bit but Trump is actually higher.

Trump -- 45 percent. Rubio -- 24 percent. Cruz -- 21 percent.

Carson -- 6 percent. Kasich -- 4 percent.

Race is called for Trump, it's still possible for Cruz to overtake Rubio, but unlikely. There really are three tiers -- the Trump, the Senators, and the stragglers.

Carson is fighting on.

1:05 A.M.

Trump should be scary to Evangelicals, not attractive to them.

Love this picture, though.

1:01 A.M.

A "dominant win" for Donald Trump in Nevada. 12 percent reporting:

Trump -- 44 percent. Rubio -- 25 percent. Cruz -- 21 percent.

Carson -- 6 percent. Kasich -- 4 percent.

12:59 A.M.

You literally could not make this up.

"We're going to be the smart people. We're not going to be the people who get pushed around."

12:56 P.M.

"We get greedy, right? Well, we're going to get greedy for the United States of America!" declares the Donald.

Trump drives home the Hispanics numbers.

12:54 P.M.

"If you listen to the pundits, we weren't expected to win too much, but now we're winning, winning, winning the country. And the country's going to start winning, winning, winning," Trump declares. He touts poll numbers in Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Georgia -- "It's going to be an amazing two months!"

"Tomorrow, you'll be hearing if they could just take the other candidates and add them up...they keep forgetting, when the other candidates drop out, we're going to get a lot of votes."

12:45 P.M.

Trump's victory speech live on CNN:

Expect non-stop calls for Carson and Kasich to drop out, and maybe even calls for Cruz to drop.

And the confusion of the caucus makes Cruz (and likely Rubio) supporters suspicious.