Bast: Understanding the Global Warming Delusion (PJM Exclusive)
The reliability of climate models is important because actual global temperature records show very little warming or changes in long-term weather events -- such as the frequency or severity of hurricanes -- that could be attributed to human activity.
Computer models are practically the only “proof” that global warming alarmists have to support their theory and forecasts. How can scientists know that global warming is man-made and will be a crisis, while at the same time express deep skepticism towards the computer models that might support such beliefs?
The answer is that they don’t actually “know” global warming is man-made or will be a disaster; they “believe” this to be true.
Like the rest of us, scientists rely on the expertise of others to provide guidance on issues they haven’t taken time to study. Climate change is a complex topic that requires the insights of geologists, physicists, climatologists, and statisticians (to name only four disciplines) to get a fairly complete understanding of the issue.
Most scientists align their beliefs regarding global warming with the views expressed by the IPCC, the Environmental Protection Agency, and other organizations they trust. Climategate revealed that trust was misplaced. The institutions formed to bring together specialists to produce overviews of the science of climate change have been politicized and corrupted by private agendas.
In the months and years ahead, many scientists who lent their names and reputations to the global warming delusion -- because they trusted the IPCC and other institutions -- will “come out of the closet” and admit that, upon closer inspection, they were wrong and the theory of global warming is either unproven or simply false.
Many prominent scientists have already debunked global warming (see Lawrence Solomon’s book, The Deniers, for profiles of some of them), and tens of thousands more have signed petitions and resolutions protesting the abuse of science in the global warming debate.
The histories of other “extraordinary popular delusions,” as Charles Mackay labeled them in 1841, suggest it may take decades for elite opinion to acknowledge the truth. Some very bright people will go to their graves still believing in “global warming.”
But believing is not knowing, and that crucial difference both caused and is spelling the end of one of the great delusions of our age.