Comments on: Westward ho?

By: Kat

Kat — Sat, 30 Aug 2008 02:04:24 +0000

Hey, what’s up with the NHC’s hurricane probability table. I mean, it’s currently a hurricane, and there is a lot of talk of it possibly becoming major. So, why does the chart indicate that there is no more than a 60% chance of hurricane force winds anywhere except a really tiny dot where the hurricane currently is? It’s been like this all day, I figured for sure once they declared it a hurricane they would “deepen the colors” so to speak.
Here is the graphic I refer to:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/205016.shtml?hwind120#contents

By: Greg

Greg — Sat, 30 Aug 2008 01:40:12 +0000

St. Bernard Parish just called a mandatory evacuation for 4 PM Saturday. The parish is about 40% to 50% repopulated from pre-Katrina, about 30,000 plus.

By: PenguinSix

PenguinSix — Sat, 30 Aug 2008 01:14:46 +0000

The computer models were definitely trending toward a Texas hit, and was actually thinking it would be almost as wise to elevate the risk level in Houston as it is in New Orleans. However, at this moment (Friday 2130pm) they seem to have congealed a bit back toward LA (though not a direct hit on New Orleans).

Still, it has to go over Cuba and who knows what kilter that might throw into it.

I put up the tracks of Katrina and Gustav side by side here. http://penguinsix.com/2008/08/29/hurricane-katrina-v-gustav-storm-tracks/ You can see how Katrina was much more of a dead on NoLA than Gustav appears to be at this time.

By: David Ross

David Ross — Sat, 30 Aug 2008 01:01:56 +0000

I'm in Houston; I am definitely watching this. Our mayor Bill White has said that Houston will not be welcoming New Orleans evacuees this time. The city's official plan is to take them to Greyhound and bus them off to other cities. (linky) Googling around tells me that it's north Texas which expects to receive them...