Comments on: Dolly strengthening rapidly; 100+ mph winds likely http://pjmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/ Brendan Loy\'s hurricane blog Sun, 11 Sep 2011 03:42:18 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Brendan Loy http://pjmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/comment-page-1/#comment-30 Brendan Loy Wed, 23 Jul 2008 23:08:46 +0000 http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/#comment-30 The eyewall didn't go over Brownsville, so it's not hugely surprising that the winds weren't hurricane-force there. As for the NHC, I'm not sure what you're suggesting. It isn't like this was some sort of made-up hurricane. The reconnaissance planes that repeatedly found hurricane-force winds and barometric pressures weren't lying. Nor was the satellite... or the radar... The eyewall didn’t go over Brownsville, so it’s not hugely surprising that the winds weren’t hurricane-force there. As for the NHC, I’m not sure what you’re suggesting. It isn’t like this was some sort of made-up hurricane. The reconnaissance planes that repeatedly found hurricane-force winds and barometric pressures weren’t lying. Nor was the satellite… or the radar…

]]> By: anon in tx http://pjmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/comment-page-1/#comment-29 anon in tx Wed, 23 Jul 2008 21:17:36 +0000 http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/#comment-29 The Brownsville airport only saw 48 mph winds. A private wx station in Brownsville saw 60 mph winds. I suspect NHC have their amps turned up to 11. The Brownsville airport only saw 48 mph winds. A private wx station in Brownsville saw 60 mph winds. I suspect NHC have their amps turned up to 11.

]]> By: KEVIN STERN http://pjmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/comment-page-1/#comment-28 KEVIN STERN Wed, 23 Jul 2008 16:09:07 +0000 http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/#comment-28 Brenden, thanks so much for this blog. You are doing a great job . I have been waiting for someone sensible to pull all the sources and analysis together for some time. Thanks you. Brenden, thanks so much for this blog. You are doing a great job . I have been waiting for someone sensible to pull all the sources and analysis together for some time. Thanks you.

]]> By: Brendan Loy http://pjmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/comment-page-1/#comment-27 Brendan Loy Wed, 23 Jul 2008 15:04:53 +0000 http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/#comment-27 I'm honestly not sure what's going on with the eyewall, PMH. I'm looking around, asking around and trying to figure it out. This is one of those times when not actually being a meteorologist is rough. :) Anyway, let the record show that I just removed this paragraph from my post: <blockquote>The National Hurricane Center says "SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY." This is a somewhat strangely worded statement, since <i>any</i> increase in strength <i>would</i> result in Dolly not just "approaching," but <i>attaining</i>, Category 2 intensity. The NHC is hedging is bets rhetorically, but I'd say the smart money is on Dolly coming ashore as a Category 2.</blockquote> For clarity and ease of understanding, I took this out and added the "UPDATE" (indicating the Dolly is now officially a Cat. 2) to the earlier paragraph. I think the article flows better that way. But I wanted to quote the original paragraph here, to be faithful to the historical record of what originally appeared in this post. I’m honestly not sure what’s going on with the eyewall, PMH. I’m looking around, asking around and trying to figure it out. This is one of those times when not actually being a meteorologist is rough. :)

Anyway, let the record show that I just removed this paragraph from my post:

The National Hurricane Center says “SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED…AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.” This is a somewhat strangely worded statement, since any increase in strength would result in Dolly not just “approaching,” but attaining, Category 2 intensity. The NHC is hedging is bets rhetorically, but I’d say the smart money is on Dolly coming ashore as a Category 2.

For clarity and ease of understanding, I took this out and added the “UPDATE” (indicating the Dolly is now officially a Cat. 2) to the earlier paragraph. I think the article flows better that way. But I wanted to quote the original paragraph here, to be faithful to the historical record of what originally appeared in this post.

]]> By: PMH http://pjmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/comment-page-1/#comment-26 PMH Wed, 23 Jul 2008 14:51:05 +0000 http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/2008/07/23/dolly-strengthening-rapidly/#comment-26 Isn't the eyewall's falling apart simply dry air that was sucked in hours ago, and on earlier revolutions? Isn’t the eyewall’s falling apart simply dry air that was sucked in hours ago, and on earlier revolutions?

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