So in order to achieve that 7,000,000 figure by March 31, the state and federal exchanges will have to get 11,000,000 or so folks registered, enrolled, and paid up.
That’s assuming — I am so very generous and optimistic this morning — not one more cancellation notice goes out. For every cancelled individual plan, another person must register, enroll, and pay up on one of the exchanges.
That’s the best-case number the administration faces. Based on the needs of ObamaCare’s exchanges and the number of Americans who have already been denied their existing coverage, 11,000,000 is baked in. It can go only higher. Which makes it seem almost unsportsmanlike to remind you that the financial incentive, especially for the young and healthy, is to ignore the mandate and to pay the tiny fine.
Now let us go back again to 2009-10, back when the Democrats had to pass legislation right the hell now in the dead of night without reading it, because 47 million Americans need insurance and we’re going to give it to them!
Give it to them good and hard, to borrow H.L. Mencken’s memorable phrase.
We’ve gone from 47 million to 30 million to 20-or-so million to negative four million.
In the history of broken promises by American politicians, that might just be a record.
thumbnail illustration courtesy shutterstock / cvalle