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Monthly Archives: October 2012

Bob Shrum — The Second Most Loathsome Troll on the Internet™ — thinks President Obama is going to win this thing. He even has reasons. Honest. They go something like this:

• Romney lost the debates.

• The 47%.

• Obama won the TV commercial war last summer.

Mitt is a flip-flopper.

• Mitt’s surge is over.

• Something about Karl Rove. (???)

• Obama has strategists.

• Obama has the edge in battleground states.

And, uh, besides, Shrum doesn’t know anybody who’s voting for Romney.

Perhaps Shrum filed this column back in August and The Daily Beast forgot to publish it until today.

He Didn’t Steal it from Putin

October 26th, 2012 - 12:02 pm
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It’s not just that Obama’s “My first time” ad is so creepy — it’s that his campaign stole it from a 30-year-old SCTV bit with Catherine O’Hara.

Obama-Biden Buying TV Ad Time in Minnesota, Too

October 26th, 2012 - 11:46 am

That’s the word from RCP’s Scott Conroy on Twitter. In a following tweet he added, “Obama camp says MN ads are targeted to WI (Minneapolis market covers 7 WI counties) but buy comes after Romney camp went up in MN.”

Spread him thin, Mitt.

Surrendered Without a Fight at Benghazi II

October 26th, 2012 - 10:56 am

If this story is true, then things were even worse than we thought just an hour ago:

Last night, it was revealed that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had ordered more security at the U.S. mission in Benghazi before it was attacked where four Americans, including U.S. Ambassador Christopher Stevens were murdered by Al-Qaeda but President Obama denied the request.

The news broke on TheBlazeTV’s “Wilkow!” hosted by Andrew Wilkow, by best-selling author, Ed Klein who said the legal counsel to Clinton had informed him of this information.

Klein also said that those same sources said that former President Bill Clinton has been “urging” his wife [Hillary] to release official State Department documents that prove she called for additional security at the compound in Libya, which would almost certainly result in President Obama losing the election.

At this point, you have to wonder if it’s gone beyond the personal for Bill. We know he doesn’t like Obama, but Clinton has always been a party man first, as evidenced by his sublime DNC speech last month. So after all this, maybe Clinton now believes that getting the SCoaMF out of the White House would be for the good of this country.

UPDATE: All I want to do is shout obscenities. Here’s why:

If you don’t get torches-and-pitchforks irate about this, you are not an American:

The security officer had a laser on the target that was firing and repeatedly requested back-up support from a Specter gunship, which is commonly used by U.S. Special Operations forces to provide support to Special Operations teams on the ground involved in intense firefights. The fighting at the CIA annex went on for more than four hours — enough time for any planes based in Sigonella Air base, just 480 miles away, to arrive. Fox News has also learned that two separate Tier One Special operations forces were told to wait, among them Delta Force operators.

There were two AC-130Us deployed to Libya in March as part of Operation Unified Protector.

Number one, it’s nice to know I really am an American. Number two…

The deadly level of incompetence on display here speaks volumes of the SCoaMF’s lack of aptitude, preparation, or even concern for the job he holds.

WI 49-49

October 26th, 2012 - 10:20 am

Guess it’s time to put WI back into the Tossup column, after today’s new poll from Rasmussen. This dovetails nicely with Tom Dougherty’s latest, “How Romney Can Win Without Ohio.” He writes:

Assume for argument’s sake that Obama carries Ohio putting him at 255 electoral votes, and leaving Iowa, Nevada and Wisconsin in play.

The RCP Average in all three states is within the margin of error, and my numbers actually have all three under one point for Obama as of today. Polling shows there are 3% to 4% of persuadables in each of those states so there is enough room for Romney to outsprint Obama to the finish in any or all of them.

Averaging the last dozen national poll results Romney is +18% with white voters, -27% with Hispanics and +13% with seniors. Leveraging these current leads and looking at the demographics of the individual states it is very possible that Iowa and Wisconsin could fall to Romney.

From there, other dominoes begin to fall.

The real kicker might prove to be NV. I’m getting conflicting reports on exactly what’s going on there. Well, maybe not conflicting — but certainly confusing. Upstate, everyone tells me the enthusiasm for Romney is off the chart. In Clark County, however, I hear that Harry Reid has turned the Dirty Tricks Engine up to Ludicrous Speed.

I’m sure we’d all like to think that throngs of plucky happy country voters can overcome the corrupt big city political machine. But let’s give Reid credit where it’s due. He is capable of any dirty trick LBJ was ever able to get away with in Texas, only without the charm, concern for the welfare of others, or human soul.

And lucky Harry, he has throngs of idiot California migrants to work with. The locusts are finished with CA after decades of eating the life out of the Golden State, and it looks like they’ll destroy NV in record time. Lucky, lucky Harry.

Surrendered Without a Fight at Benghazi

October 26th, 2012 - 9:51 am

Inexcusable:

Fox News has learned from sources who were on the ground in Benghazi that three urgent requests from the CIA annex for military back-up during the attack on the U.S. Consulate and subsequent attack nearly seven hours later were denied by officials in the CIA chain of command — who also told the CIA operators to “stand down” rather than help the ambassador’s team when shots were heard at approximately 9:40 p.m. in Benghazi on Sept. 11.

Former Navy SEALs Tyrone Woods and Glen Doherty were part of a small team who were at the CIA annex about a mile from the U.S. Consulate where Ambassador Chris Stevens and his team came under attack. When they heard the shots fired, they radioed to inform their higher-ups to tell them what they were hearing. They were told to “stand down,” according to sources familiar with the exchange. An hour later, they called again to headquarters and were again told to “stand down.”

This is just so wrong, I find myself hoping against hope that it’s also untrue. But I’m certain it isn’t.

Excuse-Mongering at the New York Times

October 26th, 2012 - 9:07 am

If Obama loses? Matt Bai says blame Bush Clinton! And not Hillary, either:

In these final weeks before the election, Mr. Clinton’s expert advice about how to beat Mitt Romney is starting to look suspect.

You may recall that last spring, just after Mr. Romney locked up the Republican nomination, Mr. Obama’s team abruptly switched its strategy for how to define him. Up to then, the White House had been portraying Mr. Romney much as George W. Bush had gone after John Kerry in 2004 – as inauthentic and inconstant, a soulless climber who would say anything to get the job.

But it was Mr. Clinton who forcefully argued to Mr. Obama’s aides that the campaign had it wrong. The best way to go after Mr. Romney, the former president said, was to publicly grant that he was the “severe conservative” he claimed to be, and then hang that unpopular ideology around his neck.

In other words, Mr. Clinton counseled that independent voters might forgive Mr. Romney for having said whatever he had to say to win his party’s nomination, but they would be far more reluctant to vote for him if they thought they were getting the third term of George W. Bush.

Let’s get something straight. Bill Clinton is the best the Democrats have. He’s the first two-full-terms Democrat since FDR. He’s the first not-a-miserable-failure Democrat since JFK — and Kennedy’s only term was cut brutally short. Clinton was a pretty good president and possibly the finest pure politicker of the late 20th Century. And he’s for sure the best politicker of the 21st.

So if the petulant, overrated, not-messiah who presided over the worst recovery since Truman ditched FDR’s New Deal demagoguery wants to know why he’s losing, he ought to look in the damn mirror. And for this once, without preening.

The question remains: Did the White House pitch this story at Bai, or is it his own analysis? If it’s the latter, then I’d love to get a feel of the prematurely (?) dejected vibe at the NYT. And if it’s the former, I might just laugh myself into a coma.

That’s Gonna Leave a Mark

October 26th, 2012 - 6:41 am
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Widening the Battlefield

October 26th, 2012 - 5:43 am

It’s about time:

Republican Mitt Romney is placing television ads in Minnesota, a move that pushes his presidential campaign into a state Democrats have held for more than three decades.

Republicans and Democrats who track campaign spending confirmed late Thursday that Romney will begin running ads in Minnesota over the weekend. The investment is described as a small buy that Democrats suggest is simply intended to generate media coverage and force President Barack Obama’s campaign to invest there as well.

It’s not about winning Minnesota — not even Reagan did that. Although the state has changed since 1984, and has no native son on this year’s Democrat ticket. But it is about spreading Obama’s defenses thinner, making it more likely to pick up states like OH and WI.

(H/T Brian on Twitter.)

A.B. Stoddard:

Unfortunately for Obama, Trump’s pathetic gambit failed to trump the headline that Obama is trying to pass off recycled retreads as new plans and that he was forced to do so after losing the first presidential debate to Mitt Romney, plunging in the polls and sending Democrats into a state of nauseated panic. How, they asked the campaign, could the president possibly win a second term in such a tight race without having outlined an agenda for the next four years? And so an eleventh-hour glossy appeared to answer the charge that Obama had nothing in mind for 2013-2017, with pretty pictures and pabulum to prove it. Brace yourself, the plans include a tax plan that cuts the deficit and creates jobs, energy made in America, a reminder of all that is good about ObamaCare, a pledge to stop Medicare or Social Security from being privatized, reviving manufacturing, investing in education and growing small businesses.

But it was a good enough plan to win the coveted endorsement of Colin Powell, so take that!

More seriously, a few words about the former Secretary of State.

I could understand Powell endorsing Obama in 2008. I could understand endorsing week-old roadkill over John McCain. I mean, that whole candidacy was one giant stinkbomb. Besides, Obama was promising centrism and budget cuts and stuff, and it took an eye far more discerning than Powell’s to see through Obama’s clever ruse.

(One moment please while I find a pair of needle-nose pliers long enough to extract my tongue from my cheek.)

And then — and I do mean this part with all sincerity — there was the racial healing that was supposed to come with electing our first black President.

So here’s where we might honestly feel some small bit of confusion over Powell’s endorsement. Our post-racial President has been playing the race card relentlessly for four years. He even played it on Bill Clinton during the 2008 primary, but maybe that details escaped Secretary Powell’s rapt attention. And it’s not like Obama has rescued the economy or fixed Too Big to Fail or saved Medicaid or postponed Social Security’s looming insolvency or cut the deficit in half or made us loved around the world again or any of those things he promised to do.

Then, too, we might honestly feel some more small bit of confusion because Mitt Romney is precisely Powell’s kind of Republican. They’re both moderates, and they’re both more than a little bit squishy in that famous Northeastern Mainline Republican way.

And yet, Powell endorsed the SCoaMF over his fraternal GOP twin.

It can’t be Obama’s record. It’s not that Romney represents the Tea Party Evangelical Knuckle-Dragging Warmonger wing of the GOP. Which leaves us just one thing.

Obama is black. So is Powell.

Forget that “content of his character” thing. Powell’s going for the black guy because he’s the black.

I thought we were supposed to be past all that.

But then Obama got sworn in.

Uh-Oh

October 25th, 2012 - 12:17 pm

Here comes Sandy.

Here We Go Again

October 25th, 2012 - 9:59 am

Trifecta: Impeach?

Now That’s a Kill

October 25th, 2012 - 9:04 am

Forwarded to me from my contractor contact with the MDA:

he Missile Defense Agency (MDA), U.S. Army soldiers from the 94th and 32nd Army Air and Missile Defense Command (AAMDC); U.S. Navy sailors aboard the USS FITZGERALD (DDG 62); and airmen from the 613th Air and Space Operations Center successfully conducted the largest, most complex missile defense flight test ever attempted resulting in the simultaneous engagement of five ballistic missile and cruise missile targets. An integrated air and ballistic missile defense architecture used multiple sensors and missile defense systems to engage multiple targets at the same time. All targets were successfully launched and initial indications are that the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system successfully intercepted its first Medium Range Ballistic target in history, and PATRIOT Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) near simultaneously destroyed a Short Range Ballistic Missile and a low flying cruise missile target over water.

The live-fire demonstration, conducted at U.S. Army Kwajalein Atoll/Reagan Test Site, Hickam AFB, and surrounding areas in the western Pacific, stressed the performance of the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD), THAAD, and PATRIOT weapon systems.

An Extended Long Range Air Launch Target (E-LRALT) missile was airdropped over the broad ocean area north of Wake Island from a U.S. Air Force C-17 aircraft, staged from Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, Hawaii. The AN/TPY-2 X-band radar, located with the THAAD system on Meck Island, tracked the E-LRALT and a THAAD interceptor successfully intercepted the Medium-Range Ballistic Missile. THAAD was operated by Soldiers from the 32nd AAMDC.

Another short-range ballistic missile was launched from a mobile launch platform located in the broad ocean area northeast of Kwajalein Atoll. The PATRIOT system, manned by soldiers of the 94th AAMDC, detected, tracked and successfully intercepted the target with a PAC-3 interceptor.

The USS FITZGERALD successfully engaged a low flying cruise missile over water. The Aegis system also tracked and launched an SM-3 Block 1A interceptor against a Short-Range Ballistic Missile. However, despite indication of a nominal flight of the SM-3 Block 1A interceptor, there was no indication of an intercept of the SRBM.

FTI-01 was a combined developmental and operational test. Soldiers, Sailors, and Airmen from multiple Combatant Commands operated the systems and were provided a unique opportunity to refine operational doctrine and tactics. Program officials continue to assess and evaluate system performance based upon telemetry and other data obtained during the test.

Ballistic Missile Defense System programs have completed 56 successful hit-to-kill intercepts in 71 flight test attempts since 2001.

Well done. I know how much extra time this test took, and how much longer a bunch of people had to stay away from their families and homes. So thanks to all of you, too.

Sea Stories

October 25th, 2012 - 5:03 am

Austin Bay on Monday night’s “Navy debate” between Obama and Romney:

Unfortunately, both candidates missed an opportunity to link very explicitly naval strategy to American economic revival and 21st century global economic security, which are, in a tandem as tight as Siamese twins, the election’s pivotal issues.

That linkage would have lifted the naval debate from numbers and gotcha to the truly presidential-level of geo-strategy and America’s global role.

Former British First Sea Lord Adm. Sir Jonathon Band understands the linkage: 95 percent of global trade passes through nine vulnerable maritime chokepoints. Jeremy Blackham and Gwyn Prins, in a 2010 issue of the Royal United Services Institute Journal, also credit Sir Jonathan with calling the sea the other “superhighway of the modern age.”

The 21st century’s best-known “superhighway” is the Internet. Blackham and Prins note that the two superhighways confront maritime bottlenecks. “Ninety percent of global email traffic is conveyed via undersea fiber-optic cables. These cables bunch in several critical sea areas (off New York … the English Channel, the South China Sea … and off the west coast of Japan).”

The geography-commerce-security linkage isn’t new. Global sea commerce (modern oil tankers or a Portuguese carrack) must traverse the narrow straits and vulnerable canals that connect the seas. Iran ritually threatens to close the Persian Gulf’s Strait of Hormuz to tankers. When it does, crude prices spike and economies gag on higher gas prices. Email-delivering undersea cables also traverse threatened straits, like the Bab-al-Mandeb, between the pirate-infested Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea, and the Straits of Malacca, which link the Indian and Pacific Oceans.

So everyone (not just Americans) who uses the Internet, and everyone (not just Americans) whose economy benefits from international trade, has an interest in securing maritime chokepoints.

Commerce — this nation’s lifeblood — only thrives when a commercial power rules the seas. In modern times, the British took up the job, and then we took it up from them. Economically, a naval power vacuum would be almost as bad as losing sea control to an enemy power.

Of the three major armed forces, the Navy takes the longest to build up to strength. It requires huge capital investments, training, and irreplaceable naval traditions passed down through the generations.

But the payoff is immeasurable. We squander the Navy and we squander everything.

Sue the Decline

October 24th, 2012 - 4:04 pm

Climate “scientist” Michael Mann is suing PJMedia friend Rand Simberg, Mark Steyn, and others. Full details from Fox:

Controversial climate scientist Michael Mann, who helped raise global warming’s profile by representing temperatures as a rapidly escalating “hockey stick,” has filed a defamation lawsuit against skeptics at the National Review and the Competitive Enterprise Institute.

Mann said statements by the two organizations that compared him to convicted child molester Jerry Sandusky were offensive and defamatory, and called them the latest in a series of attacks he and other climate scientists have faced.

“Unsatisfied with their lacerations of his professional reputation, defendants have also maliciously attacked Dr. Mann’s personal reputation with the knowingly false comparison to a child molester,” the complaint reads.

Mann described the comments as one in a chain of attacks he has faced for his research into the effects of carbon dioxide — and mankind — on the climate.

Let the discovery process begin!

Compare and Contrast

October 24th, 2012 - 3:15 pm

Trifecta: Two candidates, one dinner, lots of laughs — all for Mitt Romney

See the best of the best from the Al Smith Dinner, and how Mitt stole Bill Whittle’s heart.

Will China Follow the Singapore Model?

October 24th, 2012 - 2:24 pm

That seems to be the direction Beijing might try to take over the next ten years:

So far, all efforts have failed to contain corruption and promote economic efficiency while maintaining the privilege of Communist party members in the one-party state.

That’s the attraction of Singapore, which by deft management of what appears on the surface to be a multiparty democracy operating under the rule of law, but which in fact operates an economically vigorous and superficially graft-free one-party state.

For several years, Xi has led a team investigating the Singapore model and envisaging how it might be applied to China.

All I can say to that is, good luck.

It’s one thing to run a prosperous city-state of five million people as a sort of family business. But it’s quite another thing to try that in a country of 1.3 billion, with extreme disparities of wealth, ethnic tensions, fidgety neighbors, imperialistic ambitions, and irredentist itches in need of scratching.

Widening the Battlefield

October 24th, 2012 - 1:03 pm

Contrary to my earlier worries, it looks like Team Romney is indeed making a push into Wisconsin:

Mitt Romney is to travel to Wisconsin, a state Barack Obama won in a 14-point blowout four years ago, as the Republican candidate’s surging campaign seeks to expand the ‘chessboard’ into previously safe Democratic territory.

At the same time, the Romney campaign has bought television advertising in the Boston market, which reaches screens in New Hampshire, a state Obama won by almost 10 points in 2008.

Asked whether Romney himself would be visiting Wisconsin in the closing days of the race, Eric Fehrnstrom, a senior Romney adviser, said: ‘Yes. Paul Ryan was just in Pittsburgh. We’ll be back in Wisconsin, sure. Wisconsin is definitely in play.’

Good move, Mitt. Now hit MI, MN, and PA while you’re at it.

Think big.

ICYMI

October 24th, 2012 - 11:29 am
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Our Trifecta debate wrap.

That’s Gonna Leave a Mark

October 24th, 2012 - 11:09 am
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The latest from James O’Keefe and Project Veritas.

Wargaming the Electoral College

October 24th, 2012 - 10:25 am

Before we get to the latest map, let’s haul out the battleground chart. States in blue are ones Obama won in 2008, and red means McCain won it that year. Little old Missouri is looking a little lonesome there.

Also looking lonesome is the “Safe Obama” column. All of the movement has been rightward. Part of this is no surprise — a natural rebound to the GOP following Obama’s big wave election. Although if the last four years hadn’t been full entirely of Fail and Suck, we wouldn’t be talking about any kind of GOP rebound. Instead, we’d be talking about “the permanent Democratic majority,” and without giggling.

If AFP, American Crossroads, and Romney-Ryan choose to, they could easily add MN and WI to the list of battlegrounds. I’ve been arguing this for weeks. It’s now or never. And it would be a big disappointment if Romney is happy to play small ball when there’s a big-ass mandate to be won, and Senate races still hanging in the balance.

On the other hand, Romney — the most moderate of the GOP candidates — was able to secure the nomination from a Tea-fueled electorate, and won all three debates in three different ways, so there’s a chance maybe he knows more than I do.

Anyway. It’s gut-check time, so let’s haul out the map.

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“He Knew”

October 24th, 2012 - 9:27 am

You’ve probably read by now the leaked emails showing that just two hours after the Benghazi attack, the White House knew an al Qaeda-affiliated group had taken credit.

So why the coverup? Why the lame attempt to blame it on a video, the producer of which is still in jail? Why send Susan Rice out on five Sunday shows in one morning to plead ignorance?

Simple.

It’s hard to do victory laps around al Qaeda while al Qaeda is running victory laps around the smoldering remains of our consulate.

Cartographers of Electoral Doom

October 23rd, 2012 - 8:54 pm

Trifecta: Pinpointing the exact moment Obama lost the final debate.

And the exact moment Romney won.

Required Viewing

October 23rd, 2012 - 3:18 pm
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Want to have your day made? Then watch Norah O’Donnell’s face as she learns that an MSNBC focus group of Ohio voters thought Romney won last night.

One of my earliest political memories was election night of 1980. I remember Walter Cronkite announcing Reagan’s huge win — before the polls had even closed in California! — with giant black bags under his eyes. And under those bags were bigger bags, carrying suitcases. Even his eyes looked wet.

Maybe 2012 will be a rerun of 1980 in more ways that one.

It’s a Start

October 23rd, 2012 - 2:34 pm

Marc Faber on what needs to be done:

“I think the timeframe would be within five to ten years you have a colossal mess … everywhere in the Western world,” Faber said. “I think the deficit here (in the U.S.) — irrespective of who is in the White House — will stay above a trillion dollars per annum for at least as far as the eye can see.”

Bureaucracies in the U.S., as well as Europe, are far too big, he said, and are a burden on the economy.

“My medicine for the U.S. is: Reduce government by minimum 50 percent,” he said. “The impact would be immediately an improvement in the economy.”

Well, here’s the thing. We can’t keep borrowing a trillion dollars a year. There’s no market for that much debt, especially with $16,000,000,000,000 already outstanding and with some sizable fraction of that needing to be re-fied each and every year, as it matures.

So here’s what’s going to happen.

Borrowers dry up and government spending is instantly slashed by about 40%, the remainder being what DC actually manages to raise each year from the economy its squeezed all the life out of. The gravy train derails and angry voters throw more bums out.

Or the Fed will do more of what it’s been doing — printing up money to buy the bonds to finance the spending orgy. Even in an economy as moribund as ours, that’s going to lead to serious inflation, screwing you and me and letting DC off the hook.

Can you guess which way I think things will go?

From the Mouths of Voters

October 23rd, 2012 - 1:44 pm

Hot off the campaign trail, with the mostly-invisible Joe Biden:

Vice President Joe Biden got an earful from a voter during an unscripted moment at Schmucker’s Restaurant here in Ohio.

Making an unexpected stop after a campaign rally, Biden stopped in the diner — known for Grandma’s Swiss steak and chicken over biscuits — to chat with patrons.

One voter — who called Biden “a good guy” — confessed to reporters that he still wasn’t a fan of the Obama administration or the vice president .

“Before that, I told him to enjoy his last couple of months,” the man, who declined to give his name, said. “Just because you’re a good guy doesn’t mean you’re a good vice president.”

Let’s forget this notion that Joe Biden is a good guy. He’s not. He’s a cretin.

Biden is a plagiarist, as we know from the 1988 campaign. His modus operandi is to appear folksy enough to get away with telling outrageous fictions. He’s ridiculously and hysterically vain. He’s a notorious cheapskate. And we’re discovering now that he’s crony capitalist of the first degree.

But let me tell you what bugs me most about him. I remember from one of his many campaigns for president, that he was boasting how his net worth was only a couple-hundred thousand dollars, because he hadn’t saved much for retirement. The man was boasting about his bad planning, about being a spendthrift.

What really got to me though was when I realized of course he hadn’t saved for retirement — he’s a US Senator. He has a pension, paid for by us. He won’t even have to rely on Social Security or Medicaid, and this was before he became Veep with all the extra goodies (and lucrative ghost-written book deals, etc.) that entails.

Joe Biden was bragging about the fact that he gets to spend all of his considerable salary on hair plugs and spray-on tans and big fake teeth, all without a care for tomorrow, because he’s a Senator and you’re not and ain’t that tough for you.

What a cretin.

Reap What Ye Sow or Some Such

October 23rd, 2012 - 1:05 pm

John Cook, writing for Gawker:

One of the many little thrills of being a part of the Obama campaign four years ago was a deep and abiding sense that, finally, a political leader had come along who could live up to our highest aspirations. Yes, Obama was cool and played basketball and was conversant in ironical youth culture, but when it came down to it, he was overwhelmingly serious. The other guys were hauling unlicensed plumbers onstage and suspending their campaign at the drop of a hat, but Obama kept his eyes on the prize and played the grown-up. Now he’s talking about “Romnesia.”

Meh. The signs were all there, for anyone who wanted to see them. Cook chose not to.

Apple Owns the Tablet Space

October 23rd, 2012 - 12:45 pm

We were expecting Apple to announce the iPad Mini today, and they did. The specs are what I predicted, although the price is higher. At $249, buying the Mini becomes a no-brainer for a lot of parents. At $329, it’s a stop-and-think decision. Some folks will stop and think, “A Kindle would be just fine.”

What I wasn’t expecting was for Apple to announce the fourth generation iPad, just six months after the third gen debuted. Fast wifi, more global LTE options, better FaceTime camera, graphics performance on par with the new iPhone 5 — and that’s pushing 3 million pixels on the Retina Display. It’s a gutsy call, and it must have caused some lost weekends and sleepless night for Apple engineers. But there might be a method to this madness.

Apple’s iOS line was out of sync. New iPhones dropped in the fall, sporting the fastest CPUs and newest version of iOS and all the other goodies. About six months later in the spring, the new iPad would come out, sporting what felt like last year’s tech. Assuming Apple doesn’t spring the 5th Gen iPad on us in April, it looks like they’ve gotten their iOS lineup all more or less in sync.

What does the Mini do to the tablet market? Well, really there are two tablet markets. There’s the massive market for the 10″ iPad. Apple announced today that as of two weeks ago, they’d sold their 100 millionth iPad. Not bad for a product (an entire product category) not even three years old. Then there’s the 7″ tablet space, which is tiny and co-owned by the Kindle Fire and various Androids, most especially the Nexus 7.

If consuming Amazon content is what you want, you’ll buy a Kindle. Fandroids will stick with Android. But Apple is about to explode the size of the 7″ tablet market. I don’t expect Kindle or Samsung or whomever to lose many — any? — to Apple. What I expect will happen is that Apple will sell to a whole lot of people who weren’t previously in the market for tablets.

In a sense, it is a replay os the Windows/Mac Wars of the 1990s. Windows didn’t dominate because Apple couldn’t sell Mac. On the contrary, Mac sales held steady or even increased the whole time. What the Wintel alliance was able to do was to sell to millions of people who had never been in the market for a computer before. Wintel exploded the size of the PC market, which was a tremendous feat and something Apple was never able to do. But now Apple looks set to do something similar for tablets.

This is It…

October 22nd, 2012 - 6:56 pm

Debate drunkblogging is live and on the air.

A Little Hair of the Dog

October 22nd, 2012 - 4:05 pm
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