Tea Party crashers, Ringo Starr, and gratuitous Ashley Dupré, all on another hair-raising episode of… The Week in Blogs!
Peter Beinart might just have the world’s worst-ever case of Obama Delusion. Read the lead from his latest Daily Beast column:
Yes, the Democrats are going to get throttled this fall. But Obama has had so much success that he can afford spending a little time playing defense.
Did you throw up a little? Read a little more:
It’s a strange moment in Washington. With the stimulus bill and health-care reform now law, and serious financial regulation gaining momentum, Democrats are witnessing the greatest run of policy success of my lifetime. The victories have been so large that I suspect some liberal wonks are actually having trouble adjusting.
The non-stimulating stimulus, which has left us no better off and a trillion dollars more in debt. A health-care package that drastically increases entitlements while doing nothing to contain costs — except for “future” cuts to Medicare payments for seniors, which of course will never happen. A crony-capitalist financial reform bill which opens the Federal spigots for the big Wall Street players and effectively shuts the little guys out of competing.
And — oh, yeah — trillion-dollar deficits as far as the eye can see. Before the costs of putting ever-increasing chunks of population on Medicaid and paying off bankers and brokers to act ever-more recklessly.
Peter Beinart, call your shrink. But pay his bill your own damn self.
Watch it while you still can.
Under the Obama Plan, 95% of American families will receive a net tax cut.
Unless they buy a house or a car or a vacation or some toys or a DVD or dinner out or a dinner in or a Coke or anything for sale anywhere at all. Because the venal, grubby, power-mad Washington Democrats need your money to buy your neighbor’s vote, and eff you if you disagree.
While getting wired in to tape Trifecta this afternoon, I quite accidentally discovered that PJTV now plays on your iPhone or iPad. And the video quality is razor sharp. Scary good, considering my end is a maze of wires and pieces of complicated equipment I set up myself while getting instructions via cell phone from near-strangers in Los Angeles.
Oh, and solid set of segments today. Scott Ott took on Bill Clinton’s latest rattled ramblings, Bill Whittle explored the nice side of socialism (hint: it sucks, too), and I got to do Earth Day. I think they start going live later today, so stay tuned for linkage.
Quick update to yesterday’s Handicapping the House post. RCP still has PA-12 (Murtha’s old district) as a tossup, PPP has Republican Tim Burns with a 44-41 lead over Democrat Mark Critz. Burns is running on an anti-ObamaCare platform. With 44%, he hasn’t sealed the deal, and one poll could just be an outlier.
But, Burns does garner 51% of independents, which might mean his biggest obstacle will be to energize conservatives, centrists, and libertarians.
(Hat tip, Angela Lash‘s Twitter feed.)
And believe me, they’re energized.
UPDATE: From the comments at PPP’s blog — “Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report is already warning for months that the appalachian trail is going to be ground zero for Dems in Nov.”
That sounds about right. I wasn’t kidding yesterday when I said that the Blue Dogs were an endangered species. They’re also the most useless creatures since the snail darter, so no big loss.
ANOTHER UPDATE: Not so fast. Republican pollster John McLaughlin has a much closer race — Critz at 40, Burns at 39.
According to Symantec, over half of all the viruses and malware ever discovered, were discovered last year. The first computer virus was written and released on ARPANET in 1971. So from then until 2008 — 37 years — saw less malicious activity than in a single year, 2009.
And I’d wager that with massive botnets now common, malware isn’t just increasing astronomically in the number of attacks, but in the effectiveness of those attacks.
Which leaves the question: Who controls the botnets, and how much of their activity is directly (or indirectly) controlled by governments?
It’s a step, I suppose:
Tomorrow, the California State Senate’s health committee will review a bill that, if passed, will make California the first state in the nation to create a live donor registry for kidney transplants. The bill will also require California drivers to decide whether they want to be organ donors when they renew their drivers’ licenses.
According to one notable supporter, this second measure alone should double the number of organ transplants available in California.
How about instead of requiring people to do things, we allow them to do things — like trade freely, even organs?
So I asked PJTV’s resident Photoshop Genius, Joey R., if he could mock up a little something for the return of the Golden Hover Pony to this week’s Hair of the Dog. And damn if he didn’t do just that.
And no you can’t have a peek before the show.
We’ve got some new numbers from Real Clear Politics. When we did this the first time a couple weeks ago, I told you to look for blue seats (Democrats) shifting red (Republicans). Well, it’s happening already. And in a big way.
On April 7, Delaware’s at-large seat (held by the Republicans now) was considered a Likely Dem pickup, but as of yesterday it’s slid over to the Leans Dem column. But — get this — 16 other Likely Dem seats, currently held by Democrats, have done the exact same thing. Virtually overnight, CA-18, CO-7, CT-5, FL-2, IL-8, IN-2, MI-9, NC-11, NC-8, NJ-3, OR-5, TN-4, TX-23, WI-3, WI-7, and WV-3 all became a little tougher terrain for the Donkeys to climb.
Also shifting right, from Leans to Toss Up, were CA-11, IL-11, MO-4, OH-13, OH-16, PA-3, SC-5, SD-AL and WV-1.
FL-22 and HI-1 both shifted two spaces, from Likely D to Toss Up.
And, shockingly, NY-20 and PA-10 appeared out of nowhere from No Contest to merely leaning Dem.
That’s a huge movement in under 14 days. The Democrats now have 32 seats to lose, and only one to gain, from the middle of the polls. And their list of likely seat took a huge hit.
CA-44, FL-12, and OH-2 (all held by the GOP now) have moved off the board and into No Contest territory. CO-4, NV-3, OH-15, PA-11, TX-17, VA-5, tossups last time, have all shifted one spot right into Leans GOP.
We have six Democratic seats that bucked the trend. AR-1, FL-8 & PA-12 shifted left into Toss Up. And IL-14, MN1 & PA-17 went from Toss Up to Leans Dem. LA-2 still looks like a sure Democratic pickup, but Joseph Cao’s election two years ago was one of those accidents so freakish, it sometimes results in a mild-mannered nobody gaining superpowers.
Overall, six seats shifted one to the left, but not a single one into the Likely Democrat zone. The Democrats likewise made no gains in the No Contest area. And — brace yourself — 39 seats moved right. And of those 39, two of them shifted two places to the right, and two more shifted by three. More worrisome to the Democrats should be all the movement in the PA, OH, and FL. Republicans had been getting clobbered in those states in recent years. Resurging in Obama’s territories should certainly end all talk about the GOP being a “regional party.”
What should also worry the Democrats is that the number of No Contest Republican seats is climbing, while the Toss Up section is filling up — almost entirely with Democrats. Those two facts together give the GOP an edge in spending choices they haven’t seen in at least three election cycles.
Polling data this far out isn’t all that good, and the GOP still seems determined in a lot of cases to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory — but we’ll talk about Charlie Crist and the NRSC another day.
UPDATE: Wow, these numbers move quickly. The screenshot (and figures) I used this morning were from yesterday’s RCP map. Since just then, MI-1 appeared out of nowhere to become a Toss-Up. NJ-12 and WI-8 both shot into the Leans Dem, also from No Contest.
And, very troubling to our progressive friends, IL-17, MA-6, ME-1, MS-4, NC-2, OK-2, TX-27, UT-2 and WA-9 are all now in play, even if only barely.
All in all, that’s another 12 seats the the Democrats need to defend. Big day for the GOP.
I think it’s time the EPA put Blue Dogs on the endangered species list.
ANOTHER UPDATE: To Rich, who asked in the comments, Intrade’s prediction market looks like this right now:
GOP control is currently trading at around 45, up from 15 when President Obama was sworn in last year. Trading is pretty light, but you can expect that to change.
I don’t know how Ed Driscoll does it every week, packing so much good content into one hour of radio. This week’s PJM Political features Glenn Reynolds, Byron York, Elizabeth Crum, James Lileks, Michael Barone, Stephen Kruiser, James T. Harris, and more VodkaPundit than you can shake a swizzle stick at.
And… uh, sorry for ending that sentence with a preposition, but after all those big names, it was hard to figure out where else to put it.
I’m so proud of this week’s Hair of the Dog, if only because PJTV’s producers limited me to just one stomping-on-kittens joke. This week:
Chuck Schumer channels Devo.
Senator Pat Leahy misunremembers the Swedish Chef.
Obama pivots away from jobs yet again.
Plus, Homer Simpson explains the President’s new Nuclear Posture Review.
Check it out.
Please excuse to total blogging suckitude today and yesterday. The weekend talking heads shows required extra special attention, what with nuke & nominees vying for attention. Also, since you greedy bastages like all the pop culture references, I totally overworked YouTube to pull all the relevant video clips.
Why, yes, you can tie Neo, Homer Simpson, and a basket full of adorable kittens into one short political minisode. Or at least that’s what I keep insisting every time my contract comes up.
Later this week, I’ll be going live at a Tea Party protest, and tomorrow we’ve got some really good Trifecta ‘sodes to tape. And another Five Questions for Lileks and PJM Political and… crap, I don’t get to sleep until Saturday.
Too busy? Yeah. But it’s the good kind of busy. Stay tuned.
On this week’s giant economy-size PJM Political:
Former deputy secretary of HHS Tevi Troy on the “two-decade blunder” that is health care.
Glenn Reynolds and Randy Barnett get the band back together.
An exclusive interview with Newt Gingrich.
Plus, James Lileks returns for another round of Five Questions for James Lileks — which is worth the price of admission (free) right there.