Live, from New York, it’s — hot blue-on-blue action!

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Is Martha Coakley in “freefall?” That’s what Politico is reporting after seeing the latest InsiderAdvantage poll. Read:

A new InsiderAdvantage poll conducted exclusively for POLITICO shows Republican Scott Brown surging to a nine-point advantage over Martha Coakley a day before Massachusetts voters trek to the ballot box to choose a new senator.

According to the survey conducted Sunday evening, Brown leads the Democratic attorney general 52 percent to 43 percent.

“I actually think the bottom is falling out,” said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery, referring to Coakley’s fall in the polls over the last ten days. “I think that this candidate is in freefall. Clearly this race is imploding for her.”

Quite a few Democrats have complained that Coakley should have been out there campaigning hard the last couple months. But judging by her endless gaffes the last few weeks, she might have done better had she just stayed home. Or maybe gone to Belgium.

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Rasmussen: Coakley up by two.

Intrade: Bettors going almost 2-1 for Brown.

PPP: Brown up by five.

Sabato: Hasn’t updated Massachusetts since June. Of ’08. Talk about getting caught with your pants down.

Gallup: Also a no-show.

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Chicagoland politics come to Massachusetts:

116,483 registered Massachusetts voters are dead, according to an analysis conducted by Aristotle International, Inc. a software and digital database developer.

As reported by CNS News, “In Massachusetts, 116,483 registered voters are dead, 3.38 percent of the state’s total of registered voters. Another 538,567, or 15.6 percent, had moved to an area outside of where they are registered to vote.”

If Brown’s going to win, he’ll have to win big.

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As we do this time most every year at VodkaPundit, it’s MLK’s “I Have a Dream” speech.

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The story has been out there for hours already, but no one has said what needs saying. So let me be the first.

Oh — Martha, Martha, Martha!

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PJM/CrossTarget has Brown up by nearly ten points.

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Intrade has Brown up 65-35 over Coakley.

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Obama’s own people are bracing themselves against hope and change in Massachusetts:

Multiple advisers to President Obama have privately told party officials that they believe Democrat Martha Coakley is going to lose Tuesday’s special election to fill the Massachusetts Senate seat held by the late Ted Kennedy for more than 40 years, several Democratic sources told CNN Sunday.

The sources added that the advisers are still hopeful that Obama’s visit to Massachusetts on Sunday – coupled with a late push by Democratic activists – could help Coakley pull out a narrow victory in an increasingly tight race against Republican state Sen. Scott Brown.

However, the presidential advisers have grown increasingly pessimistic in the last three days about Coakley’s chances after a series of missteps by the candidate, sources said.

Haven’t they learned by now to keep Obama in the White House, where he’s least likely to hurt his causes?

UPDATE: Or is the fix already in?

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It’s another big, big PJM Political. This week:

or not the GOP’s Scott Brown can surge in the final days of his campaign to snag a vacant Senate seat in a very blue state.

From PJTV.com’s Poliwood series, Roger L. Simon and Lionel Chetwynd dissect James Cameron’s blockbuster Avatar. Is it a technical triumph or a lefty agenda laden piece of technojunk?

What will happen if President Obama doesn’t reconcile his inner-Jefferson with his inner-Wilson? That’s the question that Glenn Reynolds asks Walter Russell Mead, Senior Fellow with the Council on Foreign Relations.

Part Two of Bill Whittle’s interview of two Washington whistleblowers, and radical Islam’s infiltration of the American security apparatus.

As always, Ed Driscoll has put together a fine show, despite his insistence on having me host it.

UPDATE: I forgot to mention the Smurf breasts. Ed’s very proud of the Smurf breasts.

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The bettors at Intrade now think Scott Brown has a 54% chance of winning in Massachusetts.

He’s gone from a long shot to barely favored in just a few short days.

ALMOST FORGOT: A tip of the hat to Andrew Koenig.

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You’ve seen the show, now click the links. Here they are:

Breakdown dead ahead.

Hard times.

You got some imagination.

Lido shuffle.

Lowdown.

What do you want the girl to do?

Do like you do in New York.

Vanishing point.

You can have me any time.

Gimme the goods.

Find out what it all means on PJTV.

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Massachusetts voters — not as dumb as you thought:

Coakley is not being helped by her pledge to help pass the Democrat’s national health care bill. Fifty-one percent of likely voters here say no to it while 36% say yes. Sixty-one percent think Washington can’t afford it.

Vicki Kennedy said, “As Ted would say, ‘January 19th is the date, Martha Coakley is the candidate.’”

Another surprise — The Kennedy family’s endorsement may have actually hurt Coakley. With 27% said it makes them less likely to vote for her… 20% more likely.

The pucker factor going into Tuesday night’s results is going to be extreme.

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If it’s Friday, it must be Krauthammer:

The health care drive is the most important reason Obama has sunk to 46 percent. But this reflects something larger. In the end, what matters is not the persona but the agenda. In a country where politics is fought between the 40-yard lines, Obama has insisted on pushing hard for the 30. And the American people — disorganized and unled but nonetheless agitated and mobilized — have put up a stout defense somewhere just left of midfield.

Now maybe for an interception in Massachusetts…

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I thought I’d grown immune to this kind of thing, but no:

Actor Danny Glover believes that the Haitian earthquake was caused by climate change and global warming. Says Glover: “When we see what we did at the climate summit in Copenhagen, this is the response, this is what happens, you know what I’m sayin’?”

Congratulations, Danny — you’ve become the Pat Robertson of the Left.

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You won’t believe these Massachusetts Senate poll results obtained for PJ Media. Hell, I’m still having trouble digesting them.

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Growing up in the ’70s and ’80s, you couldn’t miss him. Now, you’ll have to.

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Intrade puts Scott Brown’s chances at 1-in-6.

A slim chance is better than none, which is what a Republican candidate usually faces in Massachusetts.

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What does The Lord of the Rings trilogy have to do with modern politics? The answer is on today’s Trifecta.

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Trifecta: A pre-post mortem on the health care takeover.

It’s one of our happiest episodes ever.

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On today’s Trifecta: Will Massachusetts voters kill ObamaCare?

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Sorry for the late link, but I got to spend an hour with Charles Butler on WVON in Chicago. Good guy. Good show. Had fun. Anyway, the new Hair of the Dog is up at PJTV, and I think — hope! — it’s good one.

There’s a rant at the end, and only one reference to a 300-pound stripper. So you’ve got that going for you, which is nice.

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Cool news from Tennessee:

This past Saturday, Donn Janes, a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Tennessee’s 8th District spoke in Paris, TN, to an estimated 300 Tea Party activists from the West Tennessee area.

“As of today, I am no longer going to run for the U.S. House of Representatives as a Republican,” Janes announced. “We need to change the way we elect our representatives. We continue to rely on the two-party system to provide us with different choices; but thanks to this corrupt system, there is little difference between the two of them. Both parties voted to increase the size of our government; both parties voted to trade your freedoms for security; and both parties are responsible for our monstrous debt, our failing economy and the exporting of our jobs overseas. I will be running as an independent Tea Party Candidate, a candidate who doesn’t answer to or work for party leadership, but a candidate who will work for the people of West Tennessee.”

Throw the bums out. All of them. And this is how it begins.

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When I’m writing up the script for Hair of the Dog on Sunday afternoons, sometimes I remember what British PM Harold Macmillan said would define his tenure — “Events, my dear boy, events.”

See, I’ve got this format. Go through the Big Four* Sunday chat shows, make some quips about the highlights of each, then sum up that whole mess with an observation that’s witty, pithy, silly, or (on a very good week) all three. But sometimes events get in the way, and you end up with a slightly different show.

And even though we haven’t taped it yet, this week’s is a case in point.

Presidential economic advisor Christina Romer was the lede-off guest on ABC’s This Week with George Stephanopoulos Starring George Stephanopoulos. And, charmingly, Romer is a lousy liar — maybe the only one inside the Beltway. Now I was going to go into all this on the show today, but Romer said something so obviously, painfully, awfully, infuriatingly untrue that I had no choice but to go off on a mini-rant and wrap up the show. There was just nowhere left to take it after that.

So I’ll say now what I couldn’t include on this week’s HOTD.

Here’s about 11 minutes of her being “grilled” by Stephanopoulos on Sunday’s show. (Sorry for not embedding the video, but ABC doesn’t allow that for reasons unknown.) Anyway — watch her body language. When someone is speaking, their head usually either nods up and down or moves back and forth, depending on what they’re saying, and where they’re trying to place emphasis.

Romer’s head is all over the place. I swear, most of the time it’s moving in figure eights. To me, that means she has no clue what she expects you to get out of what she’s saying, because she knows it’s total crap. Having to go out there and spread huge fields of manure for your boss — doing terrible damage to the country in the process — is a nasty job. So nasty, I almost feel sorry for her, since she seems to have enough of a conscience to know that what she’s doing is awful, wrong, and awfully wrong. But it’s not like an Ivy League economist doesn’t have other options, so to hell with her.

Although if Romer were ever to get up the gumption to resign in protest, I’d gladly make a hardcopy of this little essay and eat it.

And if you want to know what Romer said that set me off so badly, you’ll have to watch the new Hair of the Dog. Link to follow, sometime around 8PM Eastern/5PM Pacific.

(more…)

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Scott Brown has momentum. He has volunteers. He has a chance — a real chance to kill ObamaCare before it kills us.

What he needs most now is money.

Give.

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My former co-conspirator, Will Collier, also has fond memories of Ye Olde VodkaPundit.

I never realized just how much Will drinks.

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Now you can get the latest Trifecta episodes with your iTunes podcast subscriptions. Details at PJTV.

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