Remember Dial-Up?
November 21st, 2007 - 7:49 am
This can’t be good:
A new study published by the Nemertes Research Group indicates that demand for bandwidth will outstrip capacity by 2010 — and that planned infrastructure upgrades will fall some 60-70 percent short of making up the difference.
Video downloading–legal, from YouTube and, uh, less legal from other places–is mostly to blame.
Extremely interesting. At least it will give us more time to drink.
No, no. The bandwidth will be deployed and paid for, forecasts or no. Scott Adams hit on why – when the analysts make reports like this, all the people responsible for the funding decisions hear the following words:
“Your pipe is inadequate and small.”
And that’s all it takes, man. The checks will get written faster than a Stephen King made-for-TV movie.
Just as a side note, I am on dial up right now.
I wouldn
jaymaster, maybe you can clear this up for me, with your background: my takeaway from that article was that the backbone is/will be fine, but company-specific or region-specific intranets will need to invest in greater bandwidth.
How close is that? Or did I miss something?
Jeez,
Aren’t any of you old enough to remember the late 90′s hi-flying companies laying down the gigaterabite fiber optic pipes coast to coast?
Now, as then, nobody wants to pay for the last 30 miles to my/our computer.
I thank all the municipal government entities which have made this impasse possible.
Mike
Casey,
Yep, you pretty much got it. There will be (or already are) bottle necks. And these are most likely to occur where the internet is accessed. That could be your local ISP, or on the other end, for example, maybe at eBay or Amazon.
There is no doubt the eBays and Amazons will pump money into infrastructure at their end to make sure customers have rapid access to their data.
But on the “consumer” end, there isn