Iraqi insurgents discover the perils of democratic elections.
John Zogby tries to cover his ass with an half-assed apology:
We feel strongly that our pre-election polls were accurate on virtually every state. Our predictions on many of the key battleground states like Ohio and Florida were within the margin of error. I thought we captured a trend, but apparently that result didnComments Off
“America is not only great, it is good.”
I got choked up on that one.
Where was this John Kerry the last 12 months?
I’ve never linked to my own stuff under the “Required Reading” banner before, but there are two items I wrote after the last election which still hold water:
This is no time for the Republicans to gloat, and it’s past time for the national Democrats to become a serious party again.
“Even though the outcome won’t change, we’ll continue to fight for every vote.”
Yes, I’m watching the concession speeches. Commentary to follow.
Edwards is introducing Kerry. Very low-class speech; the guy is just making his pitch for 2008. Pathetic, undignified, and insipid. I think Edwards still believes he can win anything if he can just select a dumb enough jury.
Really, this is one of the most disgusting things I’ve ever seen from a losing candidate. It’s a freakin’ stump speech. Al Gore was a tower of class compared to this. Hey, Edwards–you lost. Thank your supporters, credit your opponent, and shut the hell up.
Kerry is better. “The outcome should be decided by voters, not a protracted legal process… It is now clear… there won’t be enough outstanding votes for us to win Ohio… and we cannot win the election.” To the point, no whining. Well done.
He’s thanking his family and supporters now, and handsomely. Again, well done.
This is a very nice speech thus far. As Steve noted above, much more human than Kerry is under campaign circumstances. He’s thanking some young kids who raised nickels and dimes for him. A little hokey, but those kids will remember it for the rest of their lives. Why not?
A little more Kerry-ish towards the end here, “I’ll never stop fighting for you.” Kerry’s Senate record doesn’t suggest that he’s fought a whole heck of a lot for anything other than getting elected, but still, I’ll cut him some slack, because this is nice: “In an American election, there are no losers… because the next morning, we all wake up as Americans.”
Kerry calls for less rancor, asks his supporters to ‘try and bridge the partisan gap.’ I doubt that many of them will listen, but it’s still a creditable request.
Meandering now, hitting stump-speech talking points. I’d have stopped before rattling off this stuff.
Wraps it up with (gasp!) “God bless America.”
All in all, a good show from John Kerry; a disgraceful performance from John Edwards.
From the comments in my post below about last night’s media coverage, a snippet from ABC News in the wee hours of the morning:
Peter Jennings: Let’s go to Dean Reynolds at the Kerry/Edwards street party in Boston.
Dean Reynolds: … the Kerry people are shocked to have lost Ohio.
Jennings: Actually, sorry to put you in an awkward position, Dean, but we haven’t called Ohio yet.
Reynolds: Well, everyone else has and the Kerry people do have TVs.
I think I’d still pay good money to see Jennings’ reaction to that one.
Michele Catalano has some soothing words:
I voted for George Bush.
I am not a redneck.
I do not spend my days watching cars race around a track, drinking cheap beer and slapping my woman on the ass.
I am not a bible thumper. In fact, I am an atheist.
I am not a homophobe.
I am educated beyond the fifth grade. In fact, I am college educated.
I am not stupid. Not by any stretch of facts.
I do not bomb abortion clinics.
You will not be thrown in jail for the sole reason of being a liberal.
Your child’s public school will not suddenly turn into a center for Christian brainwashing.
Your favorite bookstore will not turn into puritan central.
This is not Nazi Germany in any way.
You will not be forced into concentration camps.
You will not be burned in human-sized ovens because of your religion.
We will not be forced to wear uniforms and march in line every day.
You will not live in fear.
If you think this is a country in which you have to live in fear, I have some friends in Iran who would like to have a little talk with you.
There’s more. Read the whole thing.
11:06am Eastern, and Kerry appears to have just called to concede.
NRO blurbs that Kerry is expected to concede at 1PM (Eastern) today, just less than two hours from now.
The Kerry campaign says they won’t have any statement before 10AM Eastern. The way the provisional ballots in Ohio are reportedly going, they could be getting ready to pull the plug.
Good for them, if so.
UPDATE: The AP’s Ron Fournier, who’s, er, not exactly a fan of the Bush Administration, reports:
Disheartened Kerry aides met to evaluate his options, with concession the talk of the day.
Nothing was settled or conceded in the first light of day, but Kerry faced a daunting task trying to deny Bush an electoral majority that was almost within reach. The Democrat’s campaign planned a statement by midday, advisers said. Two of them, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Kerry’s concession seemed simply a matter of time after one last look for uncounted ballots that might close the 136,000-vote advantage Bush held in Ohio.
Cue up the Roy Orbison. It’s over.
Mike Barnicle, appearing on Boston radio, reportedly says,
[T]he Kerry campaign will issue a “directional” statement this AM and that Kerry will give a concession speech this afternoon. This was based on his “discussions” with the Kerry folks, who Barnicle is tight with.
I’m assuming Barnicle didn’t crib that from George Carlin, of course…
Feel free to make your own additions. To get the full effect, download this sound, and play it back it after reading each name:
Michael Moore (you lose again, lardass)
Terry McAuliffe (three elections, three losses; nice work)
George Soros (“I gave $27 million, and all I got was
Ann Althouse eloquently calls for Kerry to concede soon, and with as much grace as he can manage.
For whatever it’s worth, I think that’ll happen before too much longer, once Kerry and his inner circle have a chance to get some rest and come down from their campaign adrenaline. I’d have rather seen it last night, but given the press of emotions, expectations, and uncertainty, I can’t blame them too much for hanging on for a few hours.
But just a few. If Kerry hasn’t admitted defeat by tonight, he’ll land squarely in the sore-loser category for the rest of his life–and he’ll take Edwards there with him. That as much as anything tells me that we’re closer to the finish than the MSM is willing to admit this morning.
I was fortunate enough to have flipped onto NBC just at the moment when Tom Brokaw got the word that the network was calling Ohio for Bush. His face absolutely fell before he said, “This race is all but over.” It was almost as good as Katie Couric’s stunned reaction when Florida was called for Bush four years ago.
By midnight, Bob Shaeffer on CBS was pouting like a petulant kid being kept after school. Dan Rather looked enbalmed. By far the worst coverage of any broadcast network (ABC was a close second here).
The Fox News panel was interesting some of the time, but most of the night they were just casting around for some way to fill empty space with no real news. The slow returns and reluctance to call states early really took a lot of air out of that broadcast. I personally enjoyed having Michael Barone as an all-knowing sage for every county in the nation, but I bet non-political junkies’ eyes were glazing every time he came on-screen. Susan Estrich (got botox, Suze?) was a complete waste of airtime; if I wanted to hear Kerry campaign spin, I’d have been watching CNN.
Oh, CNN, outside of Jeff Greenfield, was ridiculous. Larry King? Why?
MSNBC was one long Chris Matthews whine about Democrats not being able to win in the South, and what the hell was Ron Reagan doing on there? This guy does dog show commentary, for God’s sake. Speaking of which, he went into a petulant rant around 1 AM about the electoral divide being between “people who believe in religion and people who believe in science.”
Hey, Ron, I’m an aerospace engineer, and I didn’t vote for your guy, either. Tell you what: you don’t lecture me about science, and I won’t lecture you about ballet. Deal?
Finally, waiting for returns to roll across the bottom of the screen was… so… annoying, but my internet connection was stone dead by 10 PM, and I didn’t have any other options. How the hell did we ever manage to get through an election night before the internet? Never again!
Some scattershot, early-morning stuff:
I repeat my statement from first thing this morning: Bush has won, period. There aren’t enough “conditional” votes left in Ohio to get Kerry past Bush’s margin there. Nevada, New Mexico, and Iowa (the latter to my surprise) are going in Bush’s column. Kerry wins Wisconsin (again, to my surprise) with a small margin.
Your final score: Bush 286, Kerry 252.
RedState is gloating, and rightly so. They helped raise money for the six Republican Senate takeovers (North and South Carolina, South Dakota, Florida, Louisiana, and Georgia); DailyKos, on the other hand, went 0-for-12 after raising over half a million dollars for hard-left House and Senate candidates. All of them lost yesterday.
Sorry for bailing on you folks (and Steve) so early in the evening. Technical difficulties like you would not believe; both my router and my cable modem croaked. Still playing catch-up, and on very little sleep at that.
Still. Bush won, and even Kerry’s lawyer army knows it by now. I expect a concession by dinnertime today at the latest.
With the possiblity of some shenanigans going on in New Mexico, Bush almost certainly won’t speak tonight.
So with that, I’m out of here. G’night.
New Mexico is now within 1,000 votes. I might have colored it red too soon. . .
Just as I was finishing things up down here in the VodkaBunker, I heard on Fox that Bush will speak tonight, if New Mexico and Nevada go his way.
I’ll be up a bit longer, it seems.
Except for a Drudge-and-blogger-fueled midday plunge, Tradesports was steady for Bush the last month, in the 270-300 range. Rasmussen’s final numbers were 50.2 for Bush, 48.5 for Kerry. You can’t ask for anything closer than those numbers.
With that little pat on the back, I’m going to bed – see you in the morning.
Daschle won’t concede, Thune won’t declare victory. With 97% reporting, it’s still that close.
Or maybe he’s just off on a girlie-drink bender.
Really, that’s enough gloating. DailyKos is proving to be a class act (well – mostly, anyway), as is Jeralyn Merritt. Others on the left, too. But Atrios? Feh. Over him I’ll allow myself this one little gloat.
But very, very close to one.
As I seriously consider hauling my exahausted, inebriated, and nicotine-laced self up to bed, here’s how the final map is shaping up.
This isn’t an official map, so you won’t see its results (yet, anyway) reflected in the right hand column.