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Works and Days

Goodbye Syria, On to Iran!

September 22nd, 2013 - 1:25 pm

road_to_iran_big_9-22-13-1

To paraphrase T.S. Eliot, this is the way Syria ends: Not with a bang, but a whimper. We are back where we started — lots of people dying — as the crisis recedes with a high five and a sigh, rather than with America blowing some stuff up.

The locus of our original outrage — 99,000 Syrians lost in a brutal sectarian war — had almost nothing to do with Assad’s alleged use of WMD. Thus the Syrian violence never could be addressed through even successful negotiations about mostly irrelevant WMD. It would have been as if, at the height of the Rwanda crisis, we had threatened to bomb an RPG depot to force the Hutus and Tutsis to continue with their machetes — then backed off, had an ongoing dialogue with Putin about such dangerous rocketry (as Rwandans continued at it with edged weapons), and called our bluff “non-stylish but smart diplomacy.”

So we moved on from Syria. The U.S. continues to express outrage and so continues to allow Assad and his many enemies to kill lots of people until one side loses or wins. The only difference, after the red lines were issued, hyped, and forgotten, is that while Assad once was ordered to step down, he is now a legitimate talking partner in global discussions. Using WMD worked. It certainly proved a good way for Assad to show off his French-accented English and stylish haircut and suit on prime-time American television. WMD proved a far better deal than a costly new Russian air-defense system in deterring U.S. bombs.

The present trajectory of endless haggling and rug-buying over WMD simply reduces the issue to its status before Obama’s unwise red line — mostly one of benign neglect, and mostly supported by the proverbially “tired” American people. After all, Obama can say to us, “Aren’t you happy with me that I didn’t do the stupid thing I promised to do?” Well, yes, sort of like the relieved police suicide negotiator after the would-be bridge-jumper finally slinks down off the pylon.

Obama is relieved that there is a critical but transitory moment of destiny in every crisis, real or manufactured. His own psychodramatic stare-down has long passed with his blink. It would be near impossible to work the public, the Congress, and the world back up into another melodrama. Again, because Obama never really wished to do anything in Syria other than bluster, there is no reason for him now to reopen the issue. And because Obama did not act when thousands died and he ordered Assad to go, and almost did act when WMD was used and did not, why act at all anymore? Even his critics prefer the virtual Obama.

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Top Rated Comments   
Obama has trouble leading a country that he doesn't like...and really has no skill sets to accomplish anything.

This has made him the Timeshare President. He "lets" Congress act to build his legislation, "lets" Bill Clinton handle his tough press conferences and "lets" Putin handle the unsolvable mess in Syria...that Obama's weakness exacerbated and his blustering bravado pushed to a tipping point.

Obama might "retire" in 2016...but, what from? He golfs, vacations and hangs out with celebrities now. What will he retire to?

The leftist Democrats elected a titular head of their radical agenda, made bedfellows out of the Muslim Brotherhood and have tried to grind their REAL enemies (us) under their jackboots.

The crux of the problem is that they have to PRETEND to want to do something about guns...without going after the source of most of the violence. About the source of international unrest..without going after the Muslim radicals.

About the source of immigration upheaval...without going after coyotes jumping the fence.

About fiscal disparity...without going after the unions and the pensions of the fatted calf Workers Party.

So, Obama does what the disloyal Party of radical leftism always does. Blame the Republicans, flame the "victims" passions, and game the system.

Blame, flame and game....it has no honor...but it is a winning formula for Timeshare Americans and their Timeshare President.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Let's look at Obama's foreign policy legacy. One of his first was Venezuela where Chavez, who just about ruined the country with Obama's friendly backing, became a total dictator. Then onto Honduras where he and Hillary tried to cower the supreme court of Honduras into allowing a president whose term was up to remain in office. Imagine Honduras telling our SCOTUS what to do! Then he went to Egypt to tell the Muslims there how great their contribution to the world was. Then he failed to negotiate a remaining force doctrine in Iraq and we have seen that country descend into civil war again after all of our blood and treasure spent there. Afghanistan is sinking fast now that he has told everyone we are leaving abruptly no matter the consequences. Of course there is libya where he learned to "Lead from behind" and we all know how that worked out. On to Egypt again where his favorite and the party he endorsed, the Muslim Brotherhood, has been thrown out of office, outlawed and their leader arrested for murder. Moving on to Syria we see that he has decided to allow the man he just a month ago he claimed to be a mass murderer remain in power as long as he "Promises" to give up his WMD to the Russians! Thanks to Putin, another mass murderer, he was able to save face with the liberals of the world. NOW he is going to "Negotiate" with Iran!!!!! CAN we stand any more successes in foreign policy from this man?????
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
On September 1st, fifty two Iranian dissidents who had been promised protection, in writing, by the USA, and were living on a military base in Iraq, were slaughtered by Iraqi military at the behest of Iran, Obama abandoned them.
Now , in Kenya, arms shipped by Iran to Islamic terror cells , are being used to murder innocent civilians.
It seems that Obama , who was willing to bow to the King of the Saudis, will grovel before any Islamic leader.
The handshake between Obama and Rouhani represents not how far Iran has come but how far Obama has fallen.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (57)
All Comments   (57)
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Do see Noonan's "Small President" in WSJ through Drudge

"_______-iin-WH" is now a long depressing list.

Still am in slight disbelief that such a creature could even have been considered a candidate. Then RE-elected!

online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303342104579099623833385780.html?mod=rss_mobile_uber_feed

///////////////////////////
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Here's a great big shout-out of praise for that brilliant "Road" movie cartoon at the head of the article!

The characters on that bemused camel are perfect.

Thanks go out to the artist who compiled that wonderful spoof.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Obama did not want to get involved in syria because he knew he had to save his capital for the real enemy, the tea party. After all Obama can safely negociate with Assad, Putin, and Iran, and give them concessions, because he knows who the real terrorists are, the tea party. After all the islamic terrorists only want to destroy the infidel, the tea party wants to do something far worse, defeat the dem big gov agenda.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Rouhani should know. The root cause of Islamic terrorism is Islam. And until Islam is humbled, it will continue its jihad.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
In a nutshell:

1. After much criticism for doing nothing about the slaughter in Syria, Obama finally draws his "red line" at chemical warfare.

2. Then Bashar goes over that red line in a way too big for Obama to ignore.

3. Obama decides on a Clinton-style "Wag the Dog" aspirin/baby milk factory-style symbolic pinprick raid to salvage his credibility. He helpfully telegraphs to Bashar that this is NOT intended to do any real damage.

4. He imperiously announces that he can throw the Tomahawks without Congress' permission.

5. At literally the last minute before launching operation "Save Obama's Face" his low thug cunning hits on the brilliant idea of sticking it to the House Republicans by making Congress vote on a use-of-force resolution after all. If they vote "no" he can run to the mike and excoriate them for not caring about Syrian children. If they vote "yes" they will own the unintended consequences. It's a win-win for Barry (Axelrod posts a gloating Tweet giving the game away).

6. Unfortunately, Obama's little, one-track pea brain fails to consider that the House and Senate Democrats will be put on the spot as well. Constituent calls to congressional offices run one-hundred-to-one against involvement.

7. Hill Democrats are very frightened and very angry. Obama has treated them with neglect and contempt for years. Now he has airily ordered them to fall on their swords for him yet again. Memories of the 2010 "shellacking" are fresh in their minds. They balk.

8. As several days go by, Obama becomes desperate. He has painted himself into a corner and it can only end in abject humiliation. It looks like even the Dem-controlled Senate will hand him his head. Before the cameras in Stockholm and St. Petersburg Obama comes off as frazzled and incoherent. He is not a man in charge of events.

9. Secretary of State John Forbes Kerry tosses off a flippant remark in the middle of a speech on Syria. Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin--Autocrat of all the Russias--seizes on this remark, gets on the horn to his friend Bashar al Assad--embattled Dictator of Syria and within hours puts together a WMD offer that Obama cannot refuse.

10. Barry grabs the offer with both hands. It does not matter that Putin is repeatedly and gleefully buggering him before the world. This is his one chance to back away from the table. No matter the puny details about the ACTUAL disposition of Bashar's chemical warfare stockpile, the point is Obama can declare victory, leave it to Putin and the UN to hash out the details and leave it to the MSM to cover for him and proclaim his genius. He has got away with it yet again. Who cares what the unwashed villeinous peasants in flyover country actually think? The people who really matter can be relied on to sing his praises.

11. Iran's new President Rouhani has been taking notes. He rings Putin for advice. Hey! It just worked for Syria, why not Iran? SAY that you have agreed to dismantle your bomb program, ask your friend Putin to SAY that he will put together a deal to that effect. Hopefully, one can get Obama to SAY that he is satisfied. Maybe you can get the sanctions lifted and your country's economy out of the toilet? Obama just wants to be able to claim that he has triumphed, he does not give a damn what actually happens. Maybe he can get an oak leaf cluster added to his Nobel Peace Prize?

12. I have high hopes that a nuke deal will soon be inked. Obama needs to be able to trumpet some good news right about now. Who cares if the piece of paper is worthless as long as he can claim (another) diplomatic breakthrough. As long as the sanctions get lifted and Iran can return to the family of nations. All will be well until after he is out of office.

What's next? Well, the Brothers Castro would very much like to have that prehistoric relic of an economic embargo lifted from their tropical Gulag. Zimbabwe on line #2. Venezuela? Burma? North Korea? Sudan? Lather, rinse, repeat...The sky's the limit.

How'm I doing, Professor?
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Good breakdown sinanju.

Using your timeline, another scenario is possible:

1. Obama's controllers cut a deal to hand the middle-east over to the Muslim Brotherhood. They want to break up the existing oil economy in order to assume control of it. They feel that doing business with a single, autocratic entity will facilitate that task. Besides they feel an affinity towards violent nihilists. It's crucial to remember that committed Marxists think in long term grand strategies which culminate in vast regional revolutions and global upheaval.
2. The plan is to topple or remove the existing governing structure, and then funnel money and weapons to their extremist groups of choice in order to erect a regime that is friendly to their cause.
3. The program goes fairly well at first, with Iraq, Egypt and Libya (3 key pieces) falling into radical hands.
4. Syria proves more truculent since Assad is well entrenched. Anticipating the need for intervention, Obama lays the down the ground-work for a cassus belli that he feels the world can get on board with: chemical weapons attacks against unarmed civilians. Thus he lays down his red line and appoints Kerry to, in part, carry out their vile plan.
5. Meanwhile arrangements are made via the Muslim Brotherhood to get chemical weapons into the hands of the Al-Qaeada fanatics that Obama and Kerry are supporting. This is the real “wag the dog” part of the story. (Notice how, despite UN claims of conclusive proof, no-one has yet to produce a shred of hard evidence that it was Assad's forces that launched the attack? )
6. Obama and Kerry and the other Dem clowns then use this contrived event to justify their handover of Syria to Islamists.
7. But the citizenry balks, and Obama and his clowns get cold feet. They try to paint Congress into a corner, in order to get things moving, but that doesn't work either.
8. The pompous stuffed-shirt Kerry then inserts his foot in his mouth and Putin humiliates him, and Obama.

9. Obama manages to save face somewhat, but, as you suggest, the wrong lessons are learned by the wrong people, and now Iran is trying to play a similar game.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
This homeBOY "President" is the most ignorant, feckless and cowardly individual ever to occupy one of the most honored and (usually) responsible offices in the history of the Western world. Those who voted for him THE SECOND TIME are racist cowards, disciples of Saul Alinsky, mired in their own self-apotheosis of indolence, greed & envy. They...like him...wallow shamelessly in their own manifest mediocrity and ingratitude. But their JUDGMENT is upon them and even our rivals will not pity them for the selfishness and cowardice that comprises them as BHO's obsequious lackeys and minions ...The MSM, btw, continue to shame themselves annointing him with THE OSCULUM INFAMOSUM...May God forgive them...
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
"The glee with which American elites have received Rouhani’s creepy letter suggests, aside from the fact that they read and write that stuff on campus all the time, how well Iranians understand us....."

That is the crux of all of this isn't it? I am willing to bet that the Iranians, Syrians, Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, Al-Qaeda, Russians, Chinese and all of the world's nations and organizations that are hostile to U.S. interests are now saying...."Hey - This guy actually BELIEVES this stuff." (Cue peals of laughter.) Of course Rouhani wants to get on the bandwagon. They all know that we aren't serious about the world and our place in it anymore. A lot of very bad people now know that our Prez can be bought off with a few soothing platitudes and the chance for a media-friendly photo-op. This is incredibly dangerous.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
When they said "smartest man in the room", they didn't mention that it was a broom closet.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Great post! Were it that VDH could articulate what should have been done instead of sitting on the sidelines saying what was done wrong. Threaten Syria? Wrong. Not threaten Syria? Wrong. Avoid Congress? Wrong! Go to Congress? Wrong, wrong, wrong. Obummer is wrong whatever. Makes one wonder about the motivation.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Not making things worse would have been a good start.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Obama has trouble leading a country that he doesn't like...and really has no skill sets to accomplish anything.

This has made him the Timeshare President. He "lets" Congress act to build his legislation, "lets" Bill Clinton handle his tough press conferences and "lets" Putin handle the unsolvable mess in Syria...that Obama's weakness exacerbated and his blustering bravado pushed to a tipping point.

Obama might "retire" in 2016...but, what from? He golfs, vacations and hangs out with celebrities now. What will he retire to?

The leftist Democrats elected a titular head of their radical agenda, made bedfellows out of the Muslim Brotherhood and have tried to grind their REAL enemies (us) under their jackboots.

The crux of the problem is that they have to PRETEND to want to do something about guns...without going after the source of most of the violence. About the source of international unrest..without going after the Muslim radicals.

About the source of immigration upheaval...without going after coyotes jumping the fence.

About fiscal disparity...without going after the unions and the pensions of the fatted calf Workers Party.

So, Obama does what the disloyal Party of radical leftism always does. Blame the Republicans, flame the "victims" passions, and game the system.

Blame, flame and game....it has no honor...but it is a winning formula for Timeshare Americans and their Timeshare President.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Our self-described "smartest man in the room" has not worked out very well.

and

Now we have to deal with the "smartest woman in the world" in the next years.

Just how more of these kinds of "smart" can this country and Western Civilization ever overcome?
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
I'll take principled over smart any day of the week.


30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
No matter what the Cow says, rsvp promptly & clearly: "BUT WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE?" Her husband made a fool of her with little girls; the down-low Bro has made a bigger fool of her in her failure at BENGHAZI... But what difference doe it make?
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
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