If the polls are right, Republicans will take control of the United States Senate when it reconvenes next year. They’ll retain the majority of the nation’s governorships, although perhaps with a net loss of one or two seats. FiveThirtyEight hasn’t issued a House projection this year, so here goes nothing: Republicans will keep it. (Want more detail? The Cook Political Report thinks Republicans will gain a few seats, probably a net of 6 to 12, from Democrats.)
Sounds like a pretty good night for Republicans? It would be. But there are a few apparent complications.
Complication No. 1. Some prominent Republican incumbents are likely to lose. Senator Pat Roberts of Kansas is no better than even money to keep his seat against independent Greg Orman. Incumbent Republican governors are underdogs — some by slim margins — in Alaska, Florida, Kansas, Maine and Pennsylvania, while Rick Snyder of Michigan and Scott Walker of Wisconsin are likely but not certain to survive.
Complication No. 2. Republicans are largely playing on home turf. The average Senate race this year is being held in a state where Barack Obama won just 46 percent of the vote in 2012. In the House, meanwhile, the median Congressional district is Republican-leaning. (Democrats tend to be packed into geographically compact, urban areas; this tendency is sometimes enhanced by gerrymandering.) A method of assessing the score probably needs to account for this.
Complication No. 3. The House, Senate and gubernatorial results seem to tell different stories. Polls project major Republican gains in the Senate but modest ones in the House and perhaps a net loss of Republican governorships. How to reconcile this evidence?
The third part is the easiest to resolve — and probably the most important to a macro-level understanding of Tuesday’s outcome. Most Senate seats on the ballot this year were last contested in 2008, an extraordinarily strong Democratic year. House seats were last contested in 2012, a pretty good Democratic year. Most governorships were last on the ballot in 2010, an awful Democratic year.
So if the election goes about as polls predict, it would suggest that 2014 was way worse for Democrats than 2008 and somewhat worse than 2012 but somewhat better for them than 2010.
After 2012, I swore that I would never doubt Nate Silver again, as he was the only one telling us that all of the polling pointing to a Romney win wasn’t representative of reality. In that light, I was hoping that he would have a more definitive take throughout this season but variables are bouncing off the walls all over the place in this election.
As Politico says today, this election is probably still the GOP’s to lose. For those of us who have watched the Republican party do just that for so many years, that is rather ominous. Throw in the fact that Silver, who was so clear on what the polls did and did not say in 2012, is now talking about what happens “if” the polls are correct and I wouldn’t be surprised at this going either way.
If the GOP were better at Get Out The Vote efforts I wouldn’t be sweating this one at all. However, it is the Achilles heel that we bare and present to the Democrats every election, and it wreaks havoc in races where the Republican candidate is within only a couple of points.
I have never been much on election predictions but I do have a gut feeling (and that is all it is) that if Scott Brown wins in New Hampshire, and it can be called relatively early, it could be an awful night for the Democrats.
Bug every like-minded person you know to vote tomorrow. Then get them to bug people they know.
We can’t leave everything up to Nate Silver’s Big If.
Just a few feet from the site where Philadelphia Police Officer Daniel Faulkner was gunned down by Mumia Abu-Jamal in 1981, Gov. Corbett on Tuesday signed into law a bill that would censor former offenders from causing victims mental anguish.
With Faulkner’s widow, Maureen, at his side Corbett assured the crowd that the law was not just about one particular killer.
Instead, he gave his rationale for signing what he called the “Revictimization Relief Act.”
“Over the years we’ve heard much about the constitutional rights of prison inmates when the focus should be on victims,” Corbett said.
Corbett added that the victim’s right to seek redress in court had been overlooked for far too long.
“This bill was meant to strengthen, to clarify, and to empower the victims,” Corbett said.
Of course, some of the “Free Mumia” bottom-feeders were there protesting the bill, which just shows that it is necessary. They are all probably too stupid to understand that they were making the case for the very thing they were opposing merely by being present.
That leftists have turned this murderer into a celebrity is really all anyone needs to know about the direction of politics in this country since the progressives began hijacking the Democrats and all things left-of-center in the early 1970s. One would think that a life sentence would be enough to keep a murderer out of the way of the victim’s family and legislation against the academic celebration of these sociopaths wouldn’t be necessary.
One would think.
“I have to tell you the truth,” said Christie, a potential 2016 presidential candidate. “I’m tired of hearing about the minimum wage. I really am. I don’t think there’s a mother or father sitting around a kitchen table tonight saying ‘you know honey, if our son or daughter could just make a higher minimum wage, my god – all our dreams would be realized.”
Christie continued, “Is that what parents aspire to for our children?
The Democrats have seized on the minimum wage issue during this election cycle because it is one of those heartstrings-tuggers that make for an easy sell to the low-info crowd and because they are loathe to bring up Obamacare.
Christie gets close to the real heart of the matter here: Democrats don’t want people to aspire to bigger things. Now that the party is firmly in the grip of its progressive lunatic fringe, it behooves them to encourage Americans to remain in circumstances that will forever keep them dependent upon the government for survival, which a slightly increased minimum wage most certainly does. They demonize anyone who correctly describes what the minimum wage is supposed to be: an entry-level, part-time wage for younger people.
The fact that so many adults are working for minimum wage, rather than the wage itself, is the real problem.
OK, the fact that Democrats want to make people more comfortable in jobs they should be trying to get out of is the real problem.
It is beyond serious argument that the current success of this state’s football teams is directly attributable to the triumph of the Civil Rights Movement, which the vast majority of white Mississippians fiercely opposed. The same point applies to the other teams in the Southeastern Conference, which have won seven of the last eight national championships. (The other was won by Florida State, another formerly segregated university.) Can anyone imagine that happening if the teams were still all-white?
It is high time for people in this state and across the region to give thanks to the Civil Rights Movement for the changes it achieved–in realms far more important than football–to which the state and region’s majority population was only brought kicking and screaming.
First, it is high time for white male liberal media types to stop presuming to tell black people in Mississippi and the rest of America what they should, and should not, be thankful for.
This is progressive “whitesplaining” at its worst. A truly momentous occasion (for sports fans, anyway) that is a cause for celebration for the people in one state is seen as an opportunity for posturing by a lily white academic.
We’re all aware of the history of race in America, and specifically the American South, and the fact that sports at the professional, collegiate and high school levels were slow to integrate. It is taught in schools, they make movies about it and, while utterly shameful, it’s not exactly a family secret that’s kept locked in the attic.
What Professor Special Snowflake is doing here is using a dull knife (and wit) to reopen a wound that already has enough scar tissue to still be a painful reminder in daily life.
The sports fans of Mississippi deserve to celebrate progress without progressives wagging fingers and saying, “Oh yeah well but you used to suck!”
The supposedly forward-thinking progressives in this country are determined to make sure we never truly move beyond the racial politics of early 1960s America because it is the cornerstone of their philosophy of perpetual “The Republicans are going to take you back to (insert appropriate year)!” fear mongering.
Let the people of Mississippi celebrate.
Let sports be sports and stop killing the much-needed escapism of it with your political regurgitation.
Iraqi pilots who have joined Islamic State in Syria are training members of the group to fly in three captured fighter jets, a group monitoring the war said on Friday, saying it was the first time the militant group had taken to the air.
The group, which has seized swathes of land in Syria and Iraq, has been flying the planes over the captured al-Jarrah military airport east of Aleppo, said Rami Abdulrahman, who runs the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.
Reuters was not immediately able to verify the report and U.S. Central Command said it was not aware of Islamic State flying jets in Syria.
These days it would seem that there is quite a bit that various United States government officials aren’t aware of and it is probably safer for the public to err on the side of, “OMG, do you people know ANYTHING?!?”
Obviously, three fighter planes with some hastily trained pilots does not an air force make, but ISIS doesn’t exactly seem to be reeling at this point.
Meet Shyanne Roberts, a 10-year-old competitive shooter who is out to prove something: Children with guns don’t always mean disaster.
“I want to be an inspiration to other kids and be a leader,” said the girl. “Kids and guns don’t always mean bad things happen.”
Shyanne competes alongside junior shooters, who are participants younger than 18, and even adults. Last year, she beat out adult women to place second in the Women’s Division of the New Jersey Ruger Rimfire Challenge.
On October 31, she will square off against 200 of the top women shooters at the Brownell’s Lady 3-Gun Pro-Am Challenge in Covington, Georgia. Shyanne is the youngest competitive shooter registered at the female-only event, according to the match director. The top shooter has a chance to win $5,000, as well as items from a prize table of guns, ammo and more.
The Franklinville, New Jersey, girl, who now has more than 20 sponsors, started learning gun safety when she was 5. After she could recite the rules and had grasped what guns can do, around age 6, her father started taking her to a gun range. Dan Roberts is a certified firearms instructor and a single dad. He has custody of Shyanne and her younger brother.
What the media bubble anti-gun nuts don’t understand is that the safe use of firearms is a fact of life in a lot of American homes from a very young age. I got my first rifle when I was six and grew up around people who all owned guns and knew how to handle them properly. When I first started going on the road, I found it very strange to meet people who not only didn’t own a gun, but had never fired a weapon. The experience that Brad Pitt recently described is a very normal American one.
Shyanne Roberts has some unique talent but her early involvement with shooting is a classic American family story that is all but ignored by the relentless anti-gun lobbyists and media types. Comprehensive gun legislation hasn’t been failing because of Republican obstruction, it’s failing because it is un-American and very unpopular with the citizens who are unwilling to see their rights gutted by an out-of-touch political ruling class.
Yellen said recent decades have been marked by “significant income
and wealth gains for those at the very top and stagnant living standards for the majority.” This hurts social and economic mobility, she added.
Yellen added there are four “building blocks” to increase opportunity for those with smaller incomes and fewer assets.
“Two of those are so significant that you might call them ‘cornerstones’ of opportunity,
and you will not be surprised to hear that both are largely related to education,” she said. “The first of these cornerstones I would describe more fully as ‘resources available to children in
their most formative years.’ The second is higher education that students and their
families can afford.”
Yellen sounds more like a Bill de Blasio aide here than one of the more powerful unelected people in America. It’s the typical progressive tripe about spending on education at an early age and “FREEEEEEE COLLEGE!” OK, she didn’t actually say free college, but as we saw with the Occupy morons, that’s how it is most often interpreted by the participation trophy types.
One of the more demonstrably false notions repeated by progressives is that we don’t spend enough on education. If you woke Barack Obama up from a deep slumber he’d mutter, “Education spending…” before being fully conscious. It is their go-to for almost everything. As those of us who paid attention in school way back when even less money was being spent on it know, we the taxpayers spend plenty on education. It is just wasted by the thoroughly awful people at the National Education Association, the American Federation of Teachers, and their minions. Big Government and Big Labor have done nothing to education in America other than find new ways to make sure an ever-decreasing amount of each taxpayer dollar gets to students.
Then they want more to do less.
Say what you will about the Tea Party, it has not only given voice to those who hold dear conservative values, but to paraphrase Mr. Newton, it has engendered an equal and opposite reaction from those who inhabit the left side of the political spectrum. Ironically, this vociferous differentiation has placed greater import on the new electoral power brokers, independent voters.
Nothing bad happens when Americans get fired up about the political process, regardless of whether they spin to the left or the right, or mark time in the middle. Feeling pressure to take a political position typically manifests in becoming a more knowledgeable voter. If America is to ever solve its many challenges, those solutions will be demanded by an informed electorate who hire representatives to serve them, rather than anoint a self-serving political class.
Something good would happen if small business stakeholders were as politically organized and influential as other single-issue groups, like unions. If small business were a country, Wikipedia would describe Small Business USA like this: Population: 125 million (owners, employees and dependents). Economy: Largest on the planet. Contribution to society: Significant. Organized political influence for its own interests: Negligible.
What’s wrong with this picture?
With so much to contribute, Small Business America has many reasons to catch the tide of electoral fervor and become more involved in the political process.
Most of my immediate family are and were small business owners (different kinds, there is no “family business), and I know from that experience that they tend to be more conservative. The small business owners they do business with tend to be the same.
The point here about the SBA having political influence that is inversely proportional to its economic clout is important and one that isn’t talked about much. If ever a time existed to address it, it’s now. So many of the progressive left boondoggles that have been passed and are being fought for place and undue burden on small businesses. Boeing can absorb the ever-escalating costs of the PPACA without blinking an eye because it will have an easier time of spreading around how it passes those costs on. Joe’s Construction, however, will not.
The $15 an hour minimum wage is something that is championed by people who, by and large, have never run a business in their lives and think most money can be “POOFED” into existence by governmental mandate. This is another progressive favorite that disproportionately affects small biz owners.
Large industries (health care, insurance, etc.) and Big Labor all have powerful political lobbies. The Small Business Association has a seat at the table but it’s WAY at the end where almost no one can hear it and the good stuff is gone by the time the serving dishes are passed down there.
It would be good for the country if:
a) The SBA upped its political clout and,
b) One of the two major parties (hint, hint) gave them something to vote for again.
Russian President Vladimir Putin is mounting a diplomatic blitz on the sidelines of a summit of European and Asian leaders in a bid to escape Russia’s worst crisis with the West since the Cold War.
Putin on Friday will discuss Ukraine over breakfast with Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and key European leaders on the sidelines of the 10th ASEM summit in Milan. He may also meet privately with Poroshenko.
The West has imposed a series of economic sanctions against Russia since its annexation of the Crimean Peninsula in March and its support for a pro-Russia insurgency in eastern Ukraine.
One wonders how much Bad Vlad will be crossing his fingers behind his back while making assurances to Merkel, et al. He marches to his own drummer, and that drummer is usually preceded by a bullet or two.
In a dangerous world ridden with crisis fatigue, it would be comforting to find that sanctions alone are working in this case.
If not, we’ll always have something new to panic about tomorrow.
Chanting “Bring back our girls now, and alive,” Nigerian protesters gathered outside the presidential residence in Abuja, the capital, on Tuesday.
They were demanding the Nigerian government do more to free the 200 or so schoolgirls still held captive by Boko Haram six months after the mass kidnapping from a school in Chibok, northern Nigeria.
Hosiah Lawan, a leader of the Chibok parents organization, told the crowd that, “hope is now fading fast,” Reuters reported.
Protests also took place in London, U.K. and New York.
It is truly a sad statement on the state of affairs in the world that something this awful was relegated to back page status so quickly. Just think of some of the the things that the world hasn’t been able to focus on for long in the past six months: Russia’s Ukrainian antics, Hamas bombing Israel, and the acceleration of the ISIS rampage. This week, it’s all Ebola all the time. The government’s handling of that has been so inept that people aren’t even noticing that Enterovirus D68 has actually killed more people in the U.S. so far.
All of this and not an adult in charge to be seen for miles.
Have to call them out for confrontational political language. Remember, these are the people who blame every act of violence in America on “right wing rhetoric”.
This is a big moment in the fight against climate change—stick it to climate change deniers by adding your name: http://t.co/fkCzkiMhFw
— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) October 14, 2014
President Barack Obama will not nominate a new attorney general until after Election Day, a White House aide confirmed Tuesday.
The aide said to expect the decision early to mid-November, aimed for after the midterms to avoid the appointment getting caught up in election year politics.
As this flaming train of political destruction has hurtled down the mountain without brakes for five and a half years, many from the original crew have either left or been unceremoniously thrown under it. There is never any real reason to celebrate someone awful leaving Team Lightbringer, however, as there is usually someone worse waiting in the wings (see: Chuck Hagel and John Kerry).
The White House says that it prefers that Democrat candidates for Senate not have to get caught up in answering questions about whomever is nominated.
Translation: “We’re going to nominate someone so controversial that he/she will definitely blow whatever slim chance we have left of not losing the Senate.
Think of it as a slightly late Halloween surprise.
At this point, there is probably enough of this kind of material out there to fill a feature-length film.
Some officials contend that the United States and Britain wield so much influence in Hong Kong that China cannot open the nomination process for candidates to succeed Hong Kong’s chief executive, Leung Chun-ying, in 2017 as protesters have demanded. Doing so, they argue, risks allowing voters to be manipulated and a puppet of the West to take power.
“Strategically, there is an American pivot to Asia still going on, so can you imagine it will not make use of the current turmoil?” asked Lau Nai-keung, a member of a Hong Kong committee that advises China’s legislature. “This is how the Beijing leadership views what is going on.”
Those who sympathize with the democracy movement tend to dismiss such concerns as paranoia. But many who back the government insist these worries are justified given the 155 years Hong Kong spent as a British colony and the unique autonomy it enjoys in China, not to mention the mixed record of the United States in toppling governments overseas in the name of spreading democracy.
Demographics are a cause for concern, too. Three-fifths of the population in Hong Kong grew up and went to school while it was governed by Britain. Many resident, as much as a tenth, have sworn loyalty to another government and carry passports from Canada, Australia, the United States and elsewhere, many acquired in the years immediately before Hong Kong’s return to Chinese rule in 1997.
The first takeaway here is that commies are always afraid of democracy. No sane human being chooses communism. Communist leaders don’t even choose communism (see: Kim Jong Un and his Swiss boarding school education).
The second takeaway is the lengths that people who live in places that aren’t free will go to for free elections, perhaps the right we’ve become most complacent and apathetic about in the United States.
Police in Alaska say no charges will be filed in connection with a fight that broke out at a party and involved members of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s family.
Police on Thursday released a report on its investigation into the Sept. 6 brawl in Anchorage, including transcripts of interviews with multiple witnesses who said Palin’s daughter Bristol and son Track were in the thick of the brawl.
Those of us who grew up in small towns know that the social calendar involves the first days of various hunting seasons, Fourth of July, and quite a few drunken fights to keep everyone entertained in between those. This story was a nothingburger from the beginning but it had to be reported because the press is heavily invested in making the public think that the woman who understood foreign policy better than Obama is a dumb redneck.
If you look at the overwhelming body of accusations and rumors about Sarah Palin and her family, you will see that they have all pretty much never amounted to anything. However, plenty of damage gets done by the breathless coverage that happens before it all fizzles out.
Of course, there is very little reporting on the fizzle part.
In what might be the ultimate power negotiating tactic, a Wells Fargo employee asked his boss for a raise over email and intentionally copied the entire company.
As the Charlotte Observer reports, Tyler Oates, age 30, wrote Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf asking him to give each of the company’s approximate 263,500 a raise of $10,000. According to the Observer, roughly 200,000 of those employees were copied on the exchange.
Why did Oates demand such a hefty pay bump? He wants to reduce the nation’s income inequality.
Aw, that’s sweet. You don’t really see that kind of altruism much anymore. Wait, what’s that?
“By doing this, Wells Fargo will not only help to make its people, its family, more happy, productive, and financially stable, it will also show the rest of the United States, if not the world that, yes big corporations can have a heart other than philanthropic endeavors.”
Oates told the Observer he currently makes $15 an hour processing requests from Well Fargo customers wanting advice on how to stop debt-collection calls. Despite working at the company for seven years, his hourly wage has increased by only $2 since the day he started.
So he’s mad that he’s not on the fast track to the Forbes list of richest people in America with his his highly skilled request processing job? GET THIS KID A “SPECIAL SNOWFLAKE” TROPHY AND A RAISE, STAT.
Or explain to him that his big, mean, corporate CEO of a boss is displaying all of the heart he needs to by not firing him.
Here is the headline:
Wendy Davis is running one of the nastiest campaign ads you will ever see
Even the progressive Mother Jones is not amused.
Despite all of this, Davis’ communications director, Zac Petkanas, is out trying to convince everyone this is a winner with voters:
.@chucktodd You wouldn’t think it was so risky if you talked to the voters who’ve seen this ad.
— Zac Petkanas (@Zac_Petkanas) October 10, 2014
Republican Senate candidate Joni Ernst has over $3 million in the bank going into the final stretch of the competitive race, her campaign announced Friday.
Ernst said that she raised $6 million between July 1 and Sept. 30. Of that, $302,000 went to pay off debt from her primary campaign. She concluded the financial quarter with $3.2 million in cash.
Ernst is locked in a tight race against Democrat Bruce Braley. She substantially outraised him in the latest quarter. Braley’s campaign said last week he had raised $2.8 million in the same time period. Braley’s campaign declined to say how much cash he has left.
This race has been a statistical dead heat for weeks and would be the crown jewel of pickups for Republicans if Ernst can pull it off. Her campaign has spent its money wisely on some good ad thus far so there is a real good chance they won’t blow it on the same old tired Rovian stuff that hasn’t moved a needle since 2002.
Scientists have recently learned and reported that the near record-high sea ice levels near Antarctica don’t mean that global warming is not a factor at play. In fact, scientists believe the opposite is true.
Last month, on September 20th the ice level peaked at 7.78 million square miles. The 2014 level shattered the previous record which was set just a year ago in 2013. While scientists are not sure what the exact meaning behind the record levels, they do know a few other things.
Follow what was said there: “scientists believe“, and “not sure what the exact meaning” is but, hey, CONSENSUS, right?
Here is the-ahem-logic that follows from all of that believing and not knowing:
The largest takeaway from the research and the remarks were made that the best answer scientists have right now is simply that the North and South poles are the most extreme places on earth. Furthermore, they are the most extreme differences on earth. Any issues, any changes, any climate anomalies, will be felt in the greatest proportion there, rather than in the middle of the earth where the extremes are less noticeable.
See Also: Sharks show personality traits just like humans, study says
Much of this comes back to the logic that many have tried to convey for some time. Global warming isn’t a matter of extremes, or a matter of swift – and well-defined changes to our overall climate. Instead, climate change – or global warming – is the middle, or the average – changing.
In essence, change the average of the planet – and you’ve effectively changed the entire planet – no matter how the extremes on the northern or southern ends behave.
In summation: we should worry about the average between literal polar opposites that are experiencing (per this article) opposite manifestations of all of this change (what’s freezing in Antarctica is melting in the Arctic). If one extreme gets hotter and one gets colder then the average gets…
Don’t worry, they’ll come up with a Common Core way of changing what “average” means soon.
Perhaps unbeknownst to her, former IRS official Lois Lerner will be making her film debut Oct. 14 in a documentary where she’s one of the villains.
The film is called Unfair: Exposing the IRS, and it will screen in 674 theaters nationwide, though for one-night only, courtesy of Fathom Events, a company that brings sports, concerts, speeches and other alternative entertainment to movie screens.
The movie is about alleged abuse at the IRS, the agency responsible for collecting taxes in the U.S. Looming large is a scandal revealed last year wherein Republican and some Democratic lawmakers accused Lerner, at the time the director of the exempt organizations unit of the IRS, of delaying the applications of conservative groups seeking tax-free status from 2010-2013.
The writer of the movie claims that Lerner was just “one bad guy” in a corrupt system and that she was merely the scapegoat. He also claims that this isn’t about “rogue agents.”
Of course it isn’t. The orders came from the White House.
Oops, did I just type that out loud?
Two Republican incumbents are fighting to keep their jobs in Kansas.The new Fox News poll finds both of them — Sen. Pat Roberts and Gov. Sam Brownback — have jumped ahead of their challengers.
“We know that partisanship tends to assert itself as Election Day nears,” said Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News poll along with Democratic pollster Chris Anderson.“And that may be happening in Kansas.”
The Senate race clearly remains competitive, as 44 percent of likely voters in Kansas back Roberts, with 39 percent for independent Greg Orman and 3 percent for libertarian Randall Batson. Yet Orman was up by six points in a two-way matchup three weeks ago (48-42 percent).
This was looking very dicey the past few weeks, especially after the courts jumped in and tried to fix and election for the Democrats before the voting even took place. If Roberts loses, the GOP prospects for retaking the Senate become more of an uphill battle.
Honestly, it would be best for every Republican running to do so as if he or she is behind in the polls, whether that is the case or not. Complacency can be a killer in the midterms. Few people are paying attention anyway and it doesn’t take too many non-voters to sway results.
This time, it’s Reuters scribbling in its Trapper Keeper.
Romney has stoked some of the 2016 speculation himself. He has gone from absolutely ruling it out in the months after he lost the 2012 election to equivocating in more recent public comments. “We’ll see what happens,” he told the New York Times Magazine.
He has clearly been energized by the attention he has drawn in campaigning for congressional candidates ahead of the Nov. 4 elections, most recently on a swing through Virginia, Georgia, Oklahoma, Michigan, Kentucky and Louisiana.
Polls are sounding an encouraging note. A USA Today/Suffolk University poll in August said 35 percent of Republican voters in Iowa, which Romney narrowly lost in the 2012 Republican caucuses, would go for him in 2016, far better than any other potential candidate.
A Romney run would depend on whether any of the current crop of potential candidates caught fire. Announcements are expected to begin shortly after the Nov. 4 elections and continue well into 2015.
There was no event to warrant Reuters posting this. Romney didn’t do anything publicly yesterday to precipitate it. This is just, like all of the others articles like this, wishful, hopeful thinking on the part of the leftmedia.
Yes, Romney is a very nice guy and was right about almost everything in 2012, but he still was an awful candidate. Deep in their dark little hearts, the MSM knows that Hillary is an awful candidate as well. They like their odds with Mitt as the even whiter and richer opponent for the sixty-something white, rich woman who will carry the banner for the party of youthful diversity.
The White House turned to executive actions for policy, political and psychological reasons. Frustrated by a gridlocked Congress, Obama wanted to show that Republicans haven’t rendered him irrelevant. And if he did it right, voters just might reward Democrats in November for cutting through the dysfunction and the bureaucracy.
That was the hope, at least.
Overshadowed by foreign crises, the announcements rarely break through in a significant way, minimizing Obama’s ability to leverage the bite-size initiatives, often targeted at key Democratic constituencies, for broader political benefit. Congress hasn’t been shamed into doing its part, either, ignoring Obama’s calls to raise the federal minimum wage, aid the long-term unemployed and invest in infrastructure. Midterm election worries forced Obama to renege on a pledge to halt deportations for millions of undocumented immigrants by the end of the summer.
The executive actions may not even stay around for long. If the Senate flips to Republican control in November, Obama will face a majority determined to roll back his aggressive efforts to halt climate change. If Republicans win the White House in 2016, some of the more controversial actions on labor and energy would be ripe targets for dismantling.
Nobody in the West Wing prefers to do policy this way, senior administration officials said, but it’s the only play they’ve got as long as Republicans continue to block them on Capitol Hill.
The end of the first paragraph quoted above gives you the real reason there’s a problem here: the very notion that the Democrats want to be rewarded for cutting through the bureaucracy they continually champion is laughable.
Politico fulfills its lapdog role by repeating, in one way or another, that this is all the Republicans’ fault, even while (accidentally, I’m sure) getting around to the real problem: reality.
The world is a mess, and some of that has to do with this administration and its Oprah hug foreign policy. The president had to delay his illegal immigration overreach until after the election because, contrary to the story Democrats tell, the American public is against it.
Barack Obama can’t whimsically reshape the American political landscape because his whims are from the fringe of American politics, and that is the real reason he has to force them upon us through executive actions in the first place.
There’s a new battle brewing over smoking in the military.
Congress and the Defense Department are mulling over a potential ban on selling tobacco products — cigarettes, cigars and chewing tobacco — on military bases and ships in an effort to curb high smoking rates, but critics argue the move would be unfair to service members who already are making significant sacrifices.
The fight over smoking and the military, which will most likely unfold during the lame-duck congressional session, follows a similar debate playing out in the civilian world, after CVS announced it would stop selling tobacco products in its 7,600 U.S. stores.
The proposal to ban the sale of tobacco products on military bases and ships was first floated by Navy Secretary Ray Mabus in March. Shortly after, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel ordered a Defense Department-wide review of the issue.
Is there a legal substance that is treated more like something illegal than tobacco? I’ve never been a smoker, but if a man or a woman is willing to put his or her life on the line for the country, they should be allowed a reprieve from the habit scolds.
In the broader sense, we aren’t paying Congress to waste time on issues like this. The world is falling apart and they want to play nanny. From plastic bag bans to nonsense like this, legislators at all levels in America tend to focus on fluff issues to occupy them while the things they should be working on fall into ruin.
Last week we mentioned that President Obama wanted to shift the conversation to the economy, “the issue U.S. voters care most about” leading up to the election. He may want to rethink that after finding out about this CNBC poll. He also may want a drink.
A premature baby who was given little chance of survival when he was born at 23 weeks has celebrated his first birthday.
The case of Lucas Moore will reignite debate over the 24-week time limit for abortions after he suffered no significant long-term health problems, despite weighing just 1lb 1oz at birth.
His parents, Sylvia and Thomas Moore, were told to prepare for a stillbirth after her waters broke 22 weeks into her pregnancy. Doctors said that even if their baby survived, his internal organs would be so weak that he would have no protection from infection.
The couple also claim that they were told they would receive no medical support if the baby weighed less than 1lb.
The people who love to scream “SCIENCE!” all the time generally ignore it when it comes to fetal development and advances in neonatology. Per standard pro-abort talking points, this child was merely a “clump of cells” at the time of his birth. They will view the results of a computer-model prediction on climate as gospel but pretend that a baby isn’t really a baby until some magical, undefined moment.
Twenty four weeks is the cutoff in more than half of the United States. Any attempts to lower that are generally called “restrictive” by pro-abortion lobbyists. They are truly the lunatic fringe of political activists and want to keep pushing the legal abortion period to ever more ghoulish extremes.
North Korea has set its sights on unification and is readying for war, South Korea’s Ministry of Defense informed the National Assembly on Tuesday.
“After declaring 2015 the year of completing unification, North Korea has been prepared for full-scale wars,” the defense ministry wrote in its annual audit report.
Those preparations have in the last year included increased missile tests and acquisition of rocket launchers, the doubling of military training exercise participants, and enhanced attack capabilities.
The one upside to paying a lot of attention to the news these days is that there is always something new and awful to distract from whatever began the day as the most worrisome thing. Remember just two months ago when we were all talking about Hamas?
My friend and Ricochet editor Jon Gabriel has been saying for quite some time that all of the world’s bad actors know they pretty much have carte blanche until Obama leaves office in 2017, at which point there may not be any good actors left.
The arrest of an American teenager for allegedly attempting to join the Islamic militant group ISIS has stunned people in the working-class Chicago suburb where he lives.
Neighbors and attendees of a local mosque described Mohammed Hamzah Khan, 19, as a nice, polite young man.
“He’s the last person that we’d think that would happen to,” Bahauddin Ali Khan, a member of the mosque that Khan regularly attended in Bolingbrook, Illinois, told CNN affiliate WLS.
Who knows? Maybe he attended the same scrapbooking camp as those other nice, sweet radicalized boys, the Tsarnaevs.
There always seems to be a rush by the MSM to let us know that the budding young local terrorists are just sweethearts who happen to hit a developmental snag of unknown origin:
What’s unclear is how the teenager was radicalized and if his family knew what he was planning.
Gosh, whatever are these guys exposed to that makes them this way?
Probably some crazy Tea Party stuff.
The message from Republican officials has been crystal clear for two years: The 2016 Republican primary cannot be another prolonged pummeling of the eventual nominee. Only one person ultimately benefited from that last time — Barack Obama — and Republicans know they can’t afford to send a hobbled nominee up against Hillary Clinton.
Yet interviews with more than a dozen party strategists, elected officials and potential candidates a month out from the unofficial start of the 2016 election lay bare a stark reality: Despite the national party’s best efforts, the likelihood of a bloody primary process remains as strong as ever.
The sprawling, kaleidoscope-like field that’s forming is already prompting Republican presidential hopefuls to knock their likely rivals privately and, at times, publicly. The fact that several candidates’ prospects hinge in part on whether others run only exacerbates that dynamic. Ultimately, the large pack won’t be whittled for many months: Republicans have no idea who will end up running, and insiders don’t expect the field will gel significantly until at least the spring of next year.
This story of woe and worry serves three purposes.
First, it begins the 2016 narrative control early. The leftmedia wants to start beating up on the GOP hopefuls before they even begin beating up on themselves. They would also like to put the idea in the voters’ heads that the Republicans didn’t learn anything after 2012.
Second, it quietly reinforces the Madame Hillary the Inevitable myth. Focus on the GOP takes away from all of the rumors about potential challengers, including the Vice President of the United States.
The last thing it accomplishes, obviously, is keeping the conversation away from the train running down Democrat Mountain that’s headed for a crash a month from now.
It’s fun to pretend, isn’t it?
Dana Milbank Decides Tweet Isn’t Enough, Writes Full Op-Ed Chastising ‘Stunning Disloyalty’ To Obama
The Washington Post‘s Dana Milbank is having a bad case of the Mondays.
Earlier today,I posted a tweet of Milbank’s that publicly wondered why his imperious messiah didn’t “command” loyalty from some people. The poor dear evidently felt so strongly about it that he was overcome by the urge to wag his finger in long form.
George W. Bush got criticism from former advisers (Paul O’Neill, John DiIulio), as did Bill Clinton (George Stephanopoulos, Dick Morris), but this level of disloyalty is stunning, even though it is softened with praise for Obama’s intellect.
At the start of the year, Robert Gates, Obama’s first defense secretary, wrote a memoir full of criticism of Obama’s handling of Afghanistan, saying Obama made military decisions based on political considerations. Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, who also published a book this year, criticized Obama for rejecting her advice on Syria and mocked the “Don’t do stupid stuff” phrase used by administration officials to describe Obama’s doctrine.
The lack of message discipline is puzzling, because Obama rewards and promotes loyalists. But he’s a cerebral leader, and he may lack the personal attachments that make aides want to charge the hill for him.
After admitting that it has happened to other presidents, Milbank never explains why, “this level of disloyalty is stunning,” or even what “this level” is. He then defaults to the hardcore Obama media lapdog explanation/excuse for everything: He’s just too smart.
Sorry, press puppies, he’s just smarter than you.
At a time when pretty much every other American breathing is questioning the foreign policy of a president whose approval ratings have gone so far south they’re running into spring again, Milbank’s childlike devotion is the only thing that is stunning here. Somebody might want to run some concussion tests on the guy.
The saddest part of this little tantrum, for both Milbank and President Obama? Milbank says that the president’s most “loyal mouthpiece” right now is Crazy Joe the Wonder Veep.
U.S. Sen. Bob Casey says it would be “very healthy” for the United States if members of Congress spend about two weeks getting briefings, holding hearings, and having a real debate about authorizing the use of force against the Islamic State terrorist group.
The Pennsylvania Democrat said in an interview Monday with The Associated Press that even if members believe, as he does, that President Barack Obama has the legal authority to mount an aerial bombing campaign against the terrorist group, a debate and even some votes could be helpful for his strategy.
That’s some cutting edge political thinking right there: suggesting that a deliberative body which expresses itself by voting should deliberate and maybe even vote on some stuff.
What next: a suggestion that they uphold the Constitution?
This really is just more media cover for The Idiot King but it does make Congress look absurd. Casey is actually only suggesting going through the motions so the president doesn’t appear to be acting unilaterally. He does have to hang onto that Nobel Peace Prize cred after all. That Casey’s suggestion for the Kabuki theater you-know-what covering is a description of what he and his colleagues should be doing all of the time while working is indicative of what a sad group we have populating the political class in Washington right now.
If you talk to any progressive activist about this issue, they tell stories that make it seem as if obtaining an official ID from the state one lives in is the most cost-prohibitive and insanely difficult thing to achieve in the history of humanity.
It’s all garbage, of course.
Here is the simple truth behind the decision:
The judges said the inconvenience of getting the requirements for an ID and getting the ID itself do not qualify as a substantial burden on the right to vote.
At worst, getting an ID is an inconvenience. Those who would have you believe it is a widespread impossibility are attempting to turn isolated incidents into the norm. There is no concerted effort to disenfranchise voters. NONE of what the progressives say is true.
Just wanted to clear that up.
Turner Broadcasting, the parent of the CNN, TBS and TNT networks, is eliminating about 1,475 jobs, or about 10 percent of its total employees.
Turner says moves will include voluntary separations and the elimination of unfilled positions as well as job cuts. The eliminations will affect 18 different locations and will come from various levels in its news, entertainment, sports, and business units as well as corporate positions.
It’s hard out there for a media company these days. Even harder when the company doesn’t have a rock-solid identity.
According to Variety, about 300 of the jobs cuts will be at CNN, and that represents 8.5 percent of its staff.
Any theories on why Obama commands so little loyalty from likes of Panetta, Gates, Clinton?
— Dana Milbank (@Milbank) October 6, 2014
Milbank is also apparently the only one in the Milky Way galaxy who is unaware of all of the bad blood between the Clinton and Obama camps. OK, he and the rest of the MSM. Whenever two Republicans can’t decide on where to have lunch, the press cries, “GOP CIVIL WAR!” In reality, the much bigger rift is on the Democrat side of the aisle, between the once and current and “inevitable” future presidents. They don’t like each other. If Elizabeth Warren or any other remotely progressive candidate gets into the race, President Obama will throw Her Madameship under the bus so quickly she’ll barely have time to scream for special treatment because she’s a girl.
When that happens, the MSM will have a choice to make: stick with the “inevitable” story they’ve been pimping for a year already or remain loyal to their Idiot King.
The likely 2016 Republican presidential candidates — except for Perry — are practically lining up to warn that the Obama administration isn’t doing enough to keep Ebola out of the United States, now that Dallas is dealing with the nation’s first confirmed case.
Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky declared on “The Laura Ingraham Show” that “this could get beyond our control” and worried, “Can you imagine if a whole ship full of our soldiers catch Ebola?”
Sen. Ted Cruz — Perry’s Texas colleague — raised the prospect of restricting or banning flights to the West African countries that are hardest hit by the disease, noting in a letter to the Federal
Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin floated the idea of quarantining airline passengers in the affected African countries before they could fly out. “We’re learning a lot about how it’s spread but the question is ‘How can a person just jump on a plane and get here without a quarantine period of 21 days,’ which I believe is recommended,” he said on a radio talk show Wednesday. A spokesman for Ryan says the congressman misspoke and was referencing a recommendation to be monitored for 21 days.
And Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal says the United States should cut off flights from those countries. “President Obama said it was ‘unlikely’ that Ebola would reach the U.S. Well, it has, and we need to protect our people,” he said in a statement Friday.
None of what was mentioned above is “panic.” Each is a real-world, rational way of dealing with the problem. At this stage, some may be more premature than others. However, some of us are beginning to a) think the government may not be truthful about what is going on and/or b) isn’t competent enough to react properly even if it isn’t.
If anyone is mildly panicking, it is solely because the Dallas situation has been mishandled in many ways and we were assured recently that the situation wasn’t going to happen anyway.
Kudos, however, to Politico for carrying some water for the administration in advance.