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Tea Party Blip: Does Cochran’s Win Discount Cantor’s Loss?

Reports of the establishment's death are greatly exaggerated.

by
Walter Hudson

Bio

June 24, 2014 - 11:49 pm

In the wake of former House Majority Leader Eric Cantor’s primary loss to challenger Dave Brat in Virginia, many rushed to herald a Tea Party sea change sweeping across primaries in 2014. Results from Tuesday’s electoral battles across the nation seem to indicate otherwise. The Washington Post reports:

Sen. Thad Cochran (R) narrowly survived the toughest election of his four-decade political career, holding off an insurgent tea party challenge from state Sen. Chris McDaniel in Tuesday night’s runoff after one of the most expensive and nasty primary campaigns of the year.

The contest between the entrenched Cochran and the more combative and youthful McDaniel divided the Republican Party here in one of the nation’s most conservative states and delivered a stinging blow to the tea party movement.

Cochran ran an effective ground game, mobilizing black Democrats to turn out for the open runoff election. He leveraged his years of experience and “long history of procuring largess for this poor state.”

Unlike Cantor, Cochran fought to keep his seat and did not take his district for granted. The “nail-baiter” results indicate that McDaniel and his Tea Party supporters fought hard as well. But it was not quite enough to pull off another Cantor-esque upset.

The Tea Party faced other loses Tuesday as well, as the Post reports:

In Oklahoma, Rep. James Lankford won the Republican Senate nomination, easily defeating state House speaker T.W. Shannon, who is half black and half Native American and was backed by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) and some tea party groups.

In Colorado, former congressman Bob Beauprez won the Republican nomination to challenge Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) this fall. Beauprez, the party establishment favorite, beat a field of candidates that included former congressman Tom Tancredo, a vocal anti-immigration activist.

Time will provide more data for analysis. However, the immediate indication is that Cantor’s defeat did not herald the sea change which many hoped for and others feared.

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Walter Hudson advocates for individual rights, serving on the boards of the Republican Liberty Caucus of Minnesota, Minnesota Majority and the Minority Liberty Alliance. He maintains a blog and daily podcast entitled Fightin Words. He also contributes to True North, a hub of conservative Minnesotan commentary, and regularly appears on the Twin Cities News Talk Weekend Roundtable on KTCN AM 1130. Follow his work via Twitter and Facebook.
Top Rated Comments   
There is no "center right" in the GOP.
And there is no "center" whatsoever in the DNC.

You are at least 40 years off the mark. I could read some campaign talking points by JFK out loud today, and get tossed off practicaklly campus in America for "hate speech".

The DNC middle is Hard Marxist. The GOP center is Soft Facist, its Left- leaning, Statist-me-too-ism of Desperate Democrat-Lite, is ummistakable to anyone over 30 years of age, with a brain.

They simply are two shades of a gray so sublte, in difference is, in al practicality, meaningless.....

What we have today, are TWO parties of Left Leaning Statists, elbowing each other for a place at the public trough, and ONE SMALL GROUP of so-called "Conservatives", or "Tea Partyers" or "Right Wing Whack-jobs" or "Racist Goons" who are, in honest actuality, certainly LESS "Radical Right Wing" than John F Kennedy ever was.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Thad Cochran lost by a substantial margin in voting by Republican
voters. Only a loophole in Mississippi voting laws which allows
Democrats to vote in Republican run-off elections saved the election
for Cochran and the GOP Establishment. It took tens of thousands
of low information Obama voters (pandered to by Cochran) and millions
of dollars pouring into the state on behalf of Cochran, to barely put him
over the top.

Yet this is seen as a sign of strength by the GOP establishment?
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Cochran ran an effective ground game, mobilizing black Democrats to turn out for the open runoff election. He leveraged his years of experience and “long history of procuring largess for this poor state.”

Not a dime's worth of difference ... more evidence of what the GOP stands for: the status quo that facilitates their high-status careers at our expense.

But you have to wonder how many of those Democrats will vote for him in the general, though. Why settle for Dem Lite when you can have the full version? Senator, you may yet be hung by your own petard.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
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All Comments   (24)
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I think the Lankford race in OK is being mischaracterized…it doesn’t really sound like an establishment vs. tea party match-up. Both candidates had tea party support, Lankford had local and statewide tea party support, the other guy had outside tea party support. It looks more like a pretty standard conservative Republican primary...but I'm not in OK.

At least that’s how the reporters on-site were characterizing it…although the anchors in NYC and DC insisted on hammering it into their establishment vs. tea party mold.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Reports of the Establishments GOP’s death are greatly exaggerated!?!
Sorry Walter, you’re (dead!) wrong on this one….

Establishment GOP types are long gone. They are indeed dead…
Dead and Festering Zombies, to be precise.

Thad Cochran is just another Washington Meat-Puppet, a soulless, (well suited!) but none the less rotting RINO corpse, elected by will and priorities of his Frakensteinian Embalmers in The Media and the DNC.

Staggering around, trance-like, in a mindless quest to devour the last bits of Living Flesh remaining in Our Republic. Death itself, ever hungry to feast upon more hapless souls.

He and “The Establishment”, have been quite “dead” for a very, very long time.

That they still somehow still walk among the living, does not remove their Odious Stench of Death.

Or our need, for the sake of all things living, to finally cut off their heads.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Thad Cochran lost by a substantial margin in voting by Republican
voters. Only a loophole in Mississippi voting laws which allows
Democrats to vote in Republican run-off elections saved the election
for Cochran and the GOP Establishment. It took tens of thousands
of low information Obama voters (pandered to by Cochran) and millions
of dollars pouring into the state on behalf of Cochran, to barely put him
over the top.

Yet this is seen as a sign of strength by the GOP establishment?
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Actually, you can't say that, and there is no way to determine who voted for who. They use a secret ballot in MS just like everywhere else.

The vote in the primary a few weeks ago was within 2 points, just as this vote was within 2 points - so there was not a huge swing in the voting, but the turnout did increase quite a bit (308K voted in the primary, 375K in the runoff).

Republicans who did not vote in the primary were interviewed on Fox News last evening who said they didn't bother to vote for Cochrane in the primary because they thought he had it wrapped up .... but made sure they came out and voted for him yesterday. Cochrane obviously campaigned very energetically for the runoff.,
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Cochrane's own people have been on TV admitting a large Democrat
turnout enabled him to scrape out a victory. Turnout was substantially
higher in black dominated precincts than a couple weeks ago - they
certainly didn't turn out to vote for McDaniel.

Cochrane did campaign energetically for the run-off. He energetically
campaigned for Democrats (blacks in particular) to turn out and
support him against the 'evil racist' Tea Party candidate. Cochrane
did this because he knew he was going to lose the Republican vote
by a wide margin.

Whatever one makes of Cochrane's victory last night, it definitely
was not a sign of strength for him or the Republican Establishment.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Your response is why I usually make a habit of ignoring liberal
trolls. I am not outraged blacks voted for Cochran. I simply pointed
out the obvious fact that a large increase in black voters for the
run-off proves that Democrat voters put Cochran over the top.
Cochran's campaign explicitly appealed to them, knowing he
couldn't win by just relying on Republican votes.

My basic conclusion is that Cochran's strategy for winning is a
sign of the weakness of the Republican establishment. Pretty
simple to understand unless you are just being willfully obtuse.

Please go do your race hustling elsewhere.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
It amazes me how many commenters on pjmedia.com are so outraged that black voters would dare to vote legally in a southern state runoff election ... do you realize you're just validating the "tea party is racist" meme of the Dems?
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
The picture of all the black folks holding signs for Cochran was pathetic...they look like the slaves who were afraid to leave the plantation after emancipation.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
So it really bothers you to have black folks participating in the election?

Maybe you should rethink what you wrote and see if that's how you really think?
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
it bothers me not at all - I don't live in MS. But if they think this establishment guy is in alignment with what they want then they are true low info voters. Like I said, voting for the same guy for 40 years but somehow expecting things to different or better? That "evil racist" tea party guy was out to hurt them? give me break...
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
No breaks will be allowed for obviously racist comments such as yours.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Good analysis, thanks. This election shows pretty clearly that people just want stuff from the government.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Sorry, you’re wrong on this one….

Reports of the Establishments GOP’s death have been very accurately reported…

Establishment GOP types are Dead and Festering Zombies.

Thad Cochran is just another Washington Meat-Puppet, a soulless rotting corpse, elected by will and priorities of the DNC

4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
republicans didn't beat McDaniel. Left wing dems voting in a republican primary runoff beat him. As James Ott said today (paraphrasing), this is not a victory for the gop, but rather a victory solely and purely for Thad Cochran's self interest.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Neither faction - which used to be called the far right and the center-right - will ever defeat or vanquish or drive out the other. Both are longstanding members of the GOP coalition, going back all the way to its founding in the 1850s when it was the "radical Republicans" vs. the regular Republicans.

The two factions are always competing for influence and to win elections in primaries. Of course, it goes far beyond this simplistic bipolar model of the Republican coalition. There's also quite a few other competing factions, including libertarians, social conservatives, fiscal conservatives, national defense conservatives, business owners, and so forth. At various times one or more factions will team up with another one or more factions to win a race or to pass legislation, and then the next day abandon that pairing and make up another. Most actual grass roots GOP voters have sympathies for more than one of the various factions, but almost never all of them simultaneously.

Any time any one of the roosters jumps up on the henhouse and crows about their "victory" they're just as likely to be displaced by another rooster the next day.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
There is no "center right" in the GOP.
And there is no "center" whatsoever in the DNC.

You are at least 40 years off the mark. I could read some campaign talking points by JFK out loud today, and get tossed off practicaklly campus in America for "hate speech".

The DNC middle is Hard Marxist. The GOP center is Soft Facist, its Left- leaning, Statist-me-too-ism of Desperate Democrat-Lite, is ummistakable to anyone over 30 years of age, with a brain.

They simply are two shades of a gray so sublte, in difference is, in al practicality, meaningless.....

What we have today, are TWO parties of Left Leaning Statists, elbowing each other for a place at the public trough, and ONE SMALL GROUP of so-called "Conservatives", or "Tea Partyers" or "Right Wing Whack-jobs" or "Racist Goons" who are, in honest actuality, certainly LESS "Radical Right Wing" than John F Kennedy ever was.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
How about "GOPE", for "Grand Old Party Establishment"?

What the establishment wants and what the TEA Party wants are two different things. Reform the IRS? Why? That eliminates the opportunity for graft.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
How about "GROPE" instead....

Because all the RNC/GOP ever does is abuse us... as "supporters", we're kinda like family, and most of the really filth, exploitive molesters in the world use the vulnerability of "familiarity" to make their victims too ashamed to ever reveal that "uncle teddy is touching me"

The GROPE...sound just like what the GOP Establishment does to us year in and year out...

Because its all about THEIR...ummm..."satisfaction", isnt it?
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Rhymes with DOPE: Duplicitous Old Party Establishment
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
Yes, yes it does discount the victory over Cantor. There's a significant difference between the two races. The NY Times quoted some black Democrat activist who worked to support Cochran as saying that he didn't know anything about McDaniel other than "he doesn't like black people". How is that not a serious sign about what the Tea Party movement is facing even now? As always, the Times used the term "conservative" as a pejorative, and promoted the lie that voters actually care about politicians being non-partisan (when it's a Republican, that is). We were also led to believe that McDaniel's Tea Party support was due in part to his anti-immigration stance. More misrepresentation, which we've come to expect from the Gray Lady and the media, but it's evidence of why the Tea Party movement is having a difficult time.

Abandon the influences of social conservative groups and national organizations. Return to the original roots of fiscal sanity and small "l" libertarian (otherwise known as classic liberal) values of small and less intrusive government, and especially liberty. The so-called Black Vote (they are mostly a monolith if they vote in the mid 90s for Democrat in national elections, no matter what anyone tells you) may not actually be enough to swing a Presidential election, but they can swing local votes in a heartbeat in many places. Taking control of the Senate will depend on this.
4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago Link To Comment
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