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by
Bryan Preston

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February 10, 2014 - 7:50 am

The Texas Democratic Party, and the national Democrats along with them, have a racist strategy to flip Texas from reliably Republican to purple or even blue. Talk to any Democrat leader here or nationally and they will admit that they have no intention to change or moderate any of their policies. They are not going to back away from their high-tax, anti-business policies, and they are not going to moderate on abortion or lend any meaningful support on the Second Amendment (Wendy Davis’ unconvincing conversion on open carry only serving to reinforce the Democrats’ party position). They won’t even step away from Barack Obama despite his unpopularity here. They even stand with Big Labor in this right-to-work state.

Democrats are just waiting for the state’s rising Hispanic population to turn Texas into a swing or even blue state. That’s their strategy.

The Democrats’ strategy assumes several things. One, that Hispanics in Texas vote as a bloc. Two, that Hispanics pay no attention to policy save immigration. Three, that most Hispanics who pay attention to immigration are uniformly in favor of an essentially unsecured border and amnesty. Four, that the Democrats’ positions on social issues will not hurt them with Hispanic voters. And five, that taking a strong stance on immigration and border enforcement is a sure-fire loser for Republicans, and therefore a winner for Democrats.

A new Gallup poll throws gallons of cold water on everything that Democrats think about Hispanic voters in Texas.

The poll finds that nationally, Hispanics prefer Democrats by 30 points, but in Texas, the gap is just 19 points. Hispanic voters have gravitated toward Republicans in Texas at a time when Democrat policies like Obamacare are clearly failing and hurting the economy, and Democrat policies on energy have clearly hurt the Lone Star state. Despite that, Texas is outperforming the national economy largely because Texas has elected Republicans, and those Republicans have enacted serious conservative policies that are working across Texas. The Democrats have also gone all-in on abortion, electing the most pro-abortion president in American history while promoting the radically pro-late term abortion state Sen. Wendy Davis as their standard-bearer in Texas. The Democrats have lurched too far to the left on social and economic issues generally. Texas Hispanics have noticed.

At the same time, most Texas Republicans have not only not avoided the subject of border security, they have tended to articulate strong and clear policies on border security that include security first, followed by no amnesty, but compassion for the very few illegal aliens who were brought into the U.S. as young children and only know America as their home. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, son of immigrants from Cuba himself, articulated strong border policies during his primary campaign, and attracted 40% of the Hispanic vote on his way to victory.

Overall, the trend for Hispanic voters in Texas is not one that will change the state’s voting habits anytime soon.

Relative to 2008 — the year of President Barack Obama’s landslide presidential victory — Texan Hispanics have gradually become more Republican, even as the percentage of Hispanics identifying with or leaning toward the Republican Party has remained relatively stable nationwide. The six-percentage-point gap between the percentage of Texan Hispanics and Hispanics living in all other states who identify or lean GOP is the highest it has been in over six years.

Policy does matter, and how it is articulated matters too.

The national GOP could learn a few lessons from the Texas GOP on the issue of border security and attracting more Hispanic voters — voters who are vital to the Republicans’ viability from now on. They can listen to the pundits who essentially agree with the Democrats’ cartoon view of Hispanic voters, or they can watch what works and what doesn’t in majority-minority Texas. Pandering and surrendering to the Democrats will not work. The first is a good way to insult voters, while the second will fracture the party’s base.

The fact is, many of Texas’ Hispanics have been in this state for four and five generations or more. Hispanic voters are not single-issue voters. The Texas GOP has been successful in encouraging and recruiting quality conservative Hispanic candidates for offices from the county and local level to the legislature on up — state Rep. Larry Gonzales, the aforementioned Sen. Cruz, and many others across the state. Independent grassroots outreach groups like Duke Machado’s GOPisForMe are making a big difference too. The Texas GOP has also focused on connecting with Hispanic voters on jobs, on values, and on the future — not one issue, but a range of issues. At the same time, Texas Republicans aren’t going soft on the border. Quality candidates and a full-spectrum approach on issues — that’s how Texas Republicans are outperforming the national and other state-level Republicans with Hispanic voters.

Bryan Preston has been a leading conservative blogger and opinionator since founding his first blog in 2001. Bryan is a military veteran, worked for NASA, was a founding blogger and producer at Hot Air, was producer of the Laura Ingraham Show and, most recently before joining PJM, was Communications Director of the Republican Party of Texas.

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Top Rated Comments   
I live in eastern Washington State where there are many Mexican-Americans although they do not qualify their citizenship with any hyphen - nor do they use 'Hispanic' as a self-reference. Much like I do not self-identify as German-American although I did use that term in asking when my then-current employer were going to announce the next German-American engineer of the year award. This was after they had announced their first award for African-American engineer of the year.

I got some heat for that from upper management until I bluntly told them they were being racist. Apparently that word is much like garlic to a vampire! I did have to 'attend' 2 diversity training courses costing the company two days of lost productivity. I had to take it twice because the first gal (dyke) told my supervisor the first class didn't 'take'. I guess I'm not a good candidate for reeducation camps. Maybe they'll just shoot me?

Anyway - the 'Americans' I'm friends with that have Mexican heritage all call themselves American. As do I and anyone else thats been here all their lives. They see no distinction and draw no lines. They are as appalled by the lax treatment of illegals as any of us here. I golf regularly with them and the head cook in our clubhouse is about the best there is. She can cook anything! But she can't speak a lick of Spanish!

Your observations of illegals vs Americans of Mexican heritage is spot on. They are very often more conservative than I.

36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
Half the battle to electing a candidate is name recognition. I suspect that's why Wendy Davis became the candidate. As I understand it, the experts reckon that the most-recognized candidate is usually the winning one, regardless of their policies. That would certainly explain a lot of elections I have seen where the person elected should never have made it into office but did so, apparently because people recognized their name, even if they were vague on that candidate's policies, platform or life story.

I know that doesn't apply to most PJM readers but it probably works pretty reliably for the so-called Low Information Voters who often carry the day through sheer weight of numbers.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
The Dems flat out picked a bad candidate in Abortion Barbie. In the south, where the constituency tends to be religious, picking a one issue Dem, who is famous for late term abortions, was moronic.

I believe we can shift Hispanics to the right, by appealing to the things they hold dear - family, religion, and working hard to support yourself. Some of the most wonderful people I've ever known were Hispanic, and it's time to remind them that just because you ARE Hispanic, doesn't mean you HAVE TO vote Dem. It's equally cool to vote for the moral candidate.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (36)
All Comments   (36)
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This article is typical trimphalist GOP moderate nonsense. Every in depth poll of Hispanic voting patterns show that no matter how many Hispanic families tend toward the GOP over the generations, they are always overwhelmed by new Hispanics who are overwhelmingly Democratic. Additionally, Hispanics who are Republican are majority non-Mexican, yet the majority of Hispanics are Mexicans and they are overwhelming majority Democratic. Unless illegal aliens are removed and their children denied citizenship AND all future Hispanic immigration is ended, the GOP has absolutely NO HOPE in getting the majority of Hispanics especially Mexicans to support the party. In turn, they will have no hope in Texas. Their only hope is to out Democrat the Democrats.

The oft touted poll number of Ted Cruz's 40% Hispanic take is much like Bush's national 40% take a lie. The majority of polls show Ted Cruz got 35% and possibly even lower depending upon the registration and likely voting class of the Hispanic population. Furthermore, if all Hispanics both illegal and legal, voting and not voting, and eligible or not eligible to register is considered Ted Cruz's voting ratio goes down. Similarly to Bush, Cruz cannot hope to capture the majority of Hispanics. More illuminating, Bush, a non-Hispanic received more Hispanic support than Ted Cruz a Hispanic. Bush was also more liberal than Ted Cruz.

The plain fact is Hispanics, especially Mexicans are not natural conservatives, they are natural liberals, any natural socialists. Mexico isn't a socialist banana Republic for nothing. However, it is true that over time, with education, opportunity, and a majority native white American population to emulate, substantial numbers of Mexicans turn Republican. Nonetheless, tracking of multi-generation Mexican-American families show the majority remain Democratic.

The coalition of Democrats is overtly anti-American and especially anti-white. It is above all anti-republican in every matter of speaking. The reason the Democratic Party pushes for immigration from non-white countries is specifically because of these traits. What is shocking is that Big Business, despite the long term socialistic threats poised to their bottom line by these nationalities future control of civil government, Big Business enjoys the cheap labor and immediate gratification of exploited wealth. American Big Business leadership has long been known to be both kleptocratic and essentially idiotic in long term planning so this isn't surprising.

Thus, if Texas's voting population becomes majority non-white, dominated by Mexicans and Blacks, the future of civil government isn't one in which whites, let along white Republicans will have a future. Indeed, any review of the histories of local government in South Texas and parts of the rural Southwest where Mexicans and Hispanics held large demographic sections, the political environment was one of hostility toward whites in general and white Republicans in particular. The only way whites survived with a modicum of political control in areas of Hispanic demographic domination was by becoming Democrats and adopting the Caudillo system of government prevelant in Latin America. Consequently, the only future for white Republicans let alone American republican government is ensuring the voting population remains white, especially native White American as in Texas.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
This article is typical trimphalist GOP moderate nonsense. Every in depth poll of Hispanic voting patterns show that no matter how many Hispanic families tend toward the GOP over the generations, they are always overwhelmed by new Hispanics who are overwhelmingly Democratic. Additionally, Hispanics who are Republican are majority non-Mexican, yet the majority of Hispanics are Mexicans and the overwhelming majority of Hispanics in Texas are Mexicans. Unless illegal aliens are removed and their children denied citizenship AND all future Hispanic immigration is ended, the GOP has absolutely NO HOPE in getting the majority of Hispanics especially Mexicans to support the party. In turn, they will have no hope in Texas. Their only hope is to out Democrat the Democrats.

The oft touted poll number of Ted Cruz's 40% Hispanic take is much like Bush's national 40% take a lie. The majority of polls show Ted Cruz got 35% and possibly even lower depending upon the registration and likely voting class of the Hispanic population. Furthermore, if all Hispanics both illegal and legal, voting and not voting, and eligible or not eligible to register is considered Ted Cruz's voting ratio goes down. Similarly to Bush, Cruz cannot hope to capture the majority of Hispanics. More illuminating, Bush, a non-Hispanic received more Hispanic support than Ted Cruz a Hispanic. Bush was also more liberal than Ted Cruz.

The plain fact is Hispanics, especially Mexicans are not natural conservatives, they are natural liberals, any natural socialists. Mexico isn't a socialist banana Republic for nothing. However, it is true that over time, with education, opportunity, and a majority native white American population to emulate, substantial numbers of Mexicans turn Republican. Nonetheless, tracking of multi-generation Mexican-American families show the majority remain Democratic.

The coalition of Democrats is overtly anti-American and especially anti-white. It is above all anti-republican in every matter of speaking. The reason the Democratic Party pushes for immigration from non-white countries is specifically because of these traits. What is shocking is that Big Business, despite the long term socialistic threats poised to their bottom line by these nationalities future control of civil government, Big Business enjoys the cheap labor and immediate gratification of exploited wealth. American Big Business leadership has long been known to be both kleptocratic and essentially idiotic in long term planning so this isn't surprising.

Thus, if Texas's voting population becomes majority non-white, dominated by Mexicans and Blacks, the future of civil government isn't one in which whites, let along white Republicans will have a future. Indeed, any review of the histories of local government in South Texas and parts of the rural Southwest where Mexicans and Hispanics held large demographic sections, the political environment was one of hostility toward whites in general and white Republicans in particular. The only way whites survived with a modicum of political control in areas of Hispanic demographic domination was by becoming Democrats and adopting the Caudillo system of government prevelant in Latin America. Consequently, the only future for white Republicans let alone American republican government is ensuring the voting population remains white, especially native White American as in Texas.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
If enough people from California, Illinois, New Jersey, Vermont, and New York emigrate to Texas over the next decade, Texas will in fact become Purple before turning Blue.

Remember, only 25 years ago Texas was a Red State.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
Then there is her district voting problem. Since redistricting there are more rural and small town conservative districts and abortion Barbie does not poll well there. The out of state PAC money that the Dims thought would get them the election is going down a rat hole and will leave them short of both money and donors in 2014 and 2016. Also they have made a tactical mistake, Rick Perry is considered a powerful governor because he has gotten what he wanted from the state legislature, in reality the big dog in Texas is the Lt. Governor and it is not a really good idea to piss him off since he can set traps that will bite you on the fundament even if he has just left office and he cam make a lot of difficulties if he has the mind to so for a person running for governor.
http://texaspolitics.laits.utexas.edu/1_9_2.html
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
Texas Democrats never would have chosen Wendy Davis as a candidate for governor in the ordinary way. And they are barely supporting her now, but are counting on out-of-state money and the mass media cheerleaders to keep her campaign afloat. The only purpose of Davis's campaign is to make Republicans spend their money advertising against her. For the press---that's a win-win
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
The defecrats "racist strategy" will work in the long run considering Hispanics are now the majority population in the Lone Start State, and that republicans are hell bent on passing amnesty. Give it 20 years (5 after amnesty). You don't think it can happen? As a glaring example, 20 years ago HillaryCare was laughed off the stage by responsible adults. Today, we have Obamacare.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
>As of the 2010 US Census, the racial distribution in Texas was as follows: 70.4% of the population of Texas was White American; 11.8% African American; 3.8%, Asian American; 0.7%, American Indian; 0.1%, native Hawaiian or Pacific islander only; 10.5% of the population were of some other race only; and 2.7% were of two or more races. Hispanics (of any race) were 37.6% of the population of the state, while Non-Hispanic Whites composed 45.3%.

I'm as worried as Texas turning blue -- and thereby shoving one-party rule in America down our throats at electoral gunpoint -- but leave your race-baiting baloney at the door. Nobody wants any.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
"Talk to any Democrat leader here or nationally and they will admit that they have no intention to change or moderate any of their policies."

And if you don't forever change your views to mirror theirs you are the extremist?
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
I was acquainted with a sociology professor in Houston some years back, a fellow named Rodriguez, who delighted to tell me that his mother, who lived nearby, complained bitterly about "all those Mexicans" moving into the area and spoiling the place. He laughed and said "But Momma, you're Mexican." "No I'm not! I'm an American, from Mexico. That's a big difference."
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
As a lifelong Texan the democratic party is plain stupid and out of touch with reality if they think Texans want anything they are selling. Wendy Davis is laughed at and does not have a prayer even if she were running for the unofficial position of dog catcher. Hispanics in Texas are Texans and proud to be so and they are aware of the insanity in Washington.
I must admit we have the most ignorant black legislator in in Congress, Sheila Jackson Lee, but you can't fix stupid.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
The DNC ignores the issues that are most important to those of Hispanic heritage. Check any Pew Hispanic Research survey, and education, not border issues, remain at the top of their priorities. Hispanics understand that education, not Democrat pandering, will provide a economic future for their children.

The Eagleford shale project is also making a lot of Tejanos, who, for generations, scratched a living out of hard scrapple land, very, very wealthy. Those Tejanos are learning that they don't like having Big Government stick its hand in their pockets any more than anyone else does. Think of it as getting mugged by reality. While someone may approve of government largess going to someone else, it makes a difference when it's YOUR money the government is taking.

Democrats also ignore that Tejanos are proud of their ancestor's contribution to the freedom, and independence, gained in the war against an oppressive Mexico. Juan Seguin was just one Tejano that aided that cause. That mindset of independence still resonates with Tejanos.
36 weeks ago
36 weeks ago Link To Comment
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