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The PJ Tatler

by
Bridget Johnson

Bio

September 16, 2013 - 7:00 am

The Federal Bureau of Investigation said today that violent crimes increased 2012 while touting a decrease in property crimes for the 10th straight year.

The 2012 statistics show that the estimated rate of violent crime was 386.9 offenses per 100,000 inhabitants, and the property crime rate was 2,859.2 offenses per 100,000 inhabitants, according to the annual report Crime in the United States.

Summary stats as framed by the FBI:

  • In 2012, there were an estimated 1,214,462 violent crimes. The violent crimes of murder and non-negligent manslaughter, forcible rape, and aggravated assault increased 1.1 percent, 0.2 percent, and 1.1 percent, respectively. However, the estimated number of robbery offenses declined 0.1 percent.
  • Nationwide, there were an estimated 8,975,438 property crimes. The estimated number of burglaries declined 3.7 percent in 2012 when compared to the 2011 figure. The estimated number of larceny-thefts remained unchanged, and motor vehicle thefts increased 0.6 percent.
  • Collectively, victims of property crimes (excluding arson) suffered losses calculated at $15.5 billion in 2012.
  • The FBI estimated that agencies nationwide made about 12.2 million arrests, excluding traffic violations, in 2012. The arrest rate for violent crime was 166.3 per 100,000 inhabitants, and the rate for property crime was 528.1 per 100,000 inhabitants.
  • By violent crime offense, the arrest rate for murder and non-negligent manslaughter was 3.5; forcible rape, 5.8; robbery, 33.1; and the aggravated assault, 123.9 per 100,000 inhabitants.
  • By property crime offense, the arrest rate for burglary was 90.7; larceny-theft, 411.9; and motor vehicle theft, 21.9. The arrest rate for arson was 3.7 per 100,000 inhabitants.
  • In 2012, there were 14,006 law enforcement agencies that reported their staffing levels to the FBI. These agencies reported that, as of October 31, 2012, they collectively employed 670,439 sworn officers and 285,883 civilians, a rate of 3.4 employees per 1,000 inhabitants.

The report also breaks down the type of weapon used in each murder by state. California had the greatest number of murders, followed by Texas, Pennsylvania, and a tie between Michigan and New York at 682 murders each. Guam and Vermont, at 2 and 8 respectively, had the fewest murders of those who fully reported their stats to the FBI.

The FBI’s 2012 hate crime statistics won’t be released until November.

Bridget Johnson is a veteran journalist whose news articles and opinion columns have run in dozens of news outlets across the globe. Bridget first came to Washington to be online editor at The Hill, where she wrote The World from The Hill column on foreign policy. Previously she was an opinion writer and editorial board member at the Rocky Mountain News and nation/world news columnist at the Los Angeles Daily News. She is an NPR contributor and has contributed to USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, National Review Online, Politico and more, and has myriad television and radio credits as a commentator. Bridget is Washington Editor for PJ Media.

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Top Rated Comments   
If you examine Table 1, you see that the violent crime RATE declined 2011-12.

http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/crime-in-the-u.s.-2012/tables/1tabledatadecoverviewpdf/table_1_crime_in_the_united_states_by_volume_and_rate_per_100000_inhabitants_1993-2012.xls

If the population increases at a greater rate than the number of crimes, then the rate declines. This is very important to keep in mind, because anti-gun propagandists love it when they can say "crime increased" in an attempt to undermine the more guns/less crime meme. The murder rate increased from 4.705/100,000 population to 4.723, or 0.38%. Well within the margin of error in statistical analysis. Rates of rape and robbery declined, while the aggravated assault rate increase slightly. Overall violent crime rate decline .051%, so you could rightfully say the violent crime rate remained equal to the 2011 rate.

To put this in perspective, the violent crime rate hasn't been this low since 1971. Then various issues like crack cocaine and gang violence began a decades-long increase until 1991, when violence began a long decline.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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All Comments   (4)
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And the truth is probably starker than the FBI reports. It has no incentive to tell the truth in their stats. All the EU nations lie overtly and covertly about their crime stats to conceal from their citizens just how ineffective their police forces are.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
If it's the FBI or other law enforcement doing the property crimes, does it count?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
If you examine Table 1, you see that the violent crime RATE declined 2011-12.

http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/crime-in-the-u.s.-2012/tables/1tabledatadecoverviewpdf/table_1_crime_in_the_united_states_by_volume_and_rate_per_100000_inhabitants_1993-2012.xls

If the population increases at a greater rate than the number of crimes, then the rate declines. This is very important to keep in mind, because anti-gun propagandists love it when they can say "crime increased" in an attempt to undermine the more guns/less crime meme. The murder rate increased from 4.705/100,000 population to 4.723, or 0.38%. Well within the margin of error in statistical analysis. Rates of rape and robbery declined, while the aggravated assault rate increase slightly. Overall violent crime rate decline .051%, so you could rightfully say the violent crime rate remained equal to the 2011 rate.

To put this in perspective, the violent crime rate hasn't been this low since 1971. Then various issues like crack cocaine and gang violence began a decades-long increase until 1991, when violence began a long decline.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I love it! A man after my own heart, a lover of stats and evidence. Thanks for the post. So many comments are anecdotal. It's a real treat to come across posts that have some teeth.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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