Gillespie pooh-poohed Plouffe’s assertion that they have a better ground game and that will bring the election home.
“Their assumption seems to be that these undecided voters, the — you know, the president and Governor Romney are both about 47 percent, 48 percent, as you know, in these polls, and their assumption seems to be that these undecided voters aren’t going to turn out and that they, therefore, prevail because of their superior ground game versus ours,” he said.
“Number one, their ground game is not superior. And, number two, I think those undecided voters are going to turn out, and they’re going to break pretty strongly against the president.”
A new poll today in the Allentown Morning Call found Obama with a three-point lead over Romney, 49-46 in a state where he’s previously led by safe margins.
“For the first time, likely voters’ view of Romney is more positive than negative with 47 percent favorable to 45 percent unfavorable,” reported the paper. “Obama’s ratings have been slightly more positive since early September and he now is viewed favorably 48 percent to unfavorably 47 percent.”
Sure, David, sure.
– the Collar Counties tight around Poof’s neck.
I will go with what Dick Morris said a long time ago, Obama is polling favorably at about 47% and that is the best he can do and Romney will get the remainder excepting a few that vote for the weird third parties that make up about .8% so he will get about 53% or more depending on turnout, and Republicans like my self are so enthusiastic that I early voted for him last Tuesday and my Mother who is 88 years old voted on the last day to vote early Thursday.
Mind you I did not vote in 2008, it would not have mattered, and except for popular vote count it still will not this time because Romney in Tennessee has been polled at 59 to 34 percent as the winner!
I am willing to bet a large Papa Johns pizza with Pepperoni, Canadian Bacon, Italian Sausage, extra onion and extra cheese and garlic sauce and a six pack that 36 hours from now at 3:42 a.m. Romney has already been declared the winner of this race and the next President of the United States! Any takers out there?
You posted this at 3:42 p.m. on Sunday. 36 hours after that the polls won’t even have opened on Tuesday. Maybe you meant 60 hours?
I am that certain although as you point out a little early and mind that I live in Tennessee which is CST so now it is 4:19 p.m. here or 2:19 PST where the server for this site is. I still say that by 3:19 a.m. November 7 that Romney will be declared the winner, barring lawsuits which I am sure there will be , but after all is said and done he will prevail and Obama will be a dangerous but lame duck president!
Steve, I would have taken the bet you suggest, but unfortunately it’s easy pickings and thus I won’t. The fraud in the WH will be declared the winner long before the time you have suggested, for one and only one reason: the massive electoral fraud that the democRATS have in place for him. I regretfully counter-suggest (no bets please) that the election will be called before November 6th is passed into the history books as the 2nd time America went down – the first being November 4th 2008.
My only question remains: how are the conservatives going to react/respond to this massive fraud, and the fraud remaining in office for another four long years.
West Tennessee or Middle? My wife hails from East Tennessee which is smack-dab in EST.
You would think Al Gore would be raging mad about the release of all this hot air.
Just vote!
TOP 10 REASONS TO VOTE OBAMA OUT OF OFFICE. Bring this list to the attention of undecided voters to help them make up their mind that it is, indeed, time for a change…. READ MORE: http://bwcentral.org/2012/10/top-10-reasons-to-vote-obama-out-of-office/
It’s a shame that so many of these political posts disregard financial/economic considerations.
The financial situation is the main event,the political events come in second.Right now the American Economy is heading for a huge depression(Europe is already there).If Obama were to win things would rapidly degenerate out of control.This is so because the financial/investment sector would seize up & the whole economy would go south in record time.
Right now the large corporations & private equity funds are hoarding over 3 trillion dollars in cash which they will not invest. They will not invest because they fear the insane policies of this crazy regime in Washington.Add to this the almost total lack of credit available to business’s due to the policies of Washington & the Federal Reserve Bank.Business’s,large & small,will cease to operate & we will have the GREAT DEPRESSION 2.
I was shocked to see that Obama was NOT scheduling a trip to Pa.
Another element discounted by the Dems is the evangelical vote. Some one on PJ ought to do an article on the role evangelicals will play in Romney’s swing state strategy.They are 350,000 in Ohio alone, and they stayed home in 08. They recognized in both Romney & Ryan men of deep faith and principle and are extremely excited about them. They won’t be sitting this one out.
Will Obama win on Tuesday? Maybe, but if he does, it won’t be by anything near his margin of victory from 2008. 2010 was no an aberration this election’s electorate will be closer in composition to that one than the one in 2008, so if he wins, it will be a squeaker and not a landslide.
All of these polls and political consultant’s opinions are based on the prevailing conventional wisdom. And the prevailing conventional wisdom is never correct. Consider the 1980 election. The incumbent Carter was polling at 46% to Reagan’s 39% one week out. Carter lost huge, receiving around 41% of the popular vote.
The moral of the story is that whatever an incumbent president (like Obama) is polling at just ahead of the election is the best he can expect to do in the popular vote. Obama is currently polling at about 47% nationally, and that’s where he’ll likely end up come Tuesday night. Romney will end up at 52% nationally.