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Spengler

Dismiss the Egyptian People and Elect a New One

July 4th, 2013 - 6:38 am

Egypt probably can be kept on life support for about $10 billion a year in foreign subsidies, especially if the military regime can restore calm and bring the tourists back (although that is a big “if” — one of President Morsi’s last acts was to appoint as governor of Luxor province an associate of the Islamist terrorists who massacred 62 tourists in Luxor in 1997). With about $630 billion in foreign exchange reserves, Saudi Arabia can carry Egypt for a couple of years while the Syrian crisis plays out. Saudi Arabia also has covered a good part of Turkey’s huge payments deficit during the past couple of years, which means that Ankara will dance to Riyadh’s tune.

This is the background to the Saudi monarch’s enthusiastic statement of congratulations to the Egyptian military, released almost immediately after the takeover was announced:

In my own name and on behalf of the people of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, I congratulate you on assuming the leadership of Egypt at this critical point of its history,” said the king in a cable carried by the Saudi Press Agency (SPA). “By doing so, I appeal to Allah Almighty to help you to shoulder the responsibility laid on your shoulder to achieve the hopes of our sisterly people of the Arab Republic of Egypt.

At the same time, we strongly shake hands with the men of all the armed forces, represented by General Abdel Fattah al-Sissi, who managed to save Egypt at this critical moment from a dark tunnel God only could apprehend its dimensions and repercussions, but the wisdom and moderation came out of those men to preserve the rights of all parties in the political process.

Please accept our greetings to you and deep respect to our brothers in Egypt and its people, wishing Egypt steady stability and security.

I expect Saudi Arabia to offer Egypt subsidized oil as well as cash for urgent food purchases, allowing the military to appear as national saviors — at least for the time being. It is not clear what the Muslim Brotherhood will do, but apart from seeking martyrdom, there is not much that it can do.

In the Beltway, to be sure, the same folk on left and right who thought the “Arab Spring” would usher in a golden era of Muslim democracy are wringing their hands over the tragic fate of Egypt’s first democratically elected government. These include Republicans as well as Democrats, whom I qualified as “Dumb and Dumber” in a May 20 essay for Tablet. The sequel — call it “Dumb and Dumberer” — is still playing on CNN and Fox News. No matter: the important matters are now in the competent hands of Prince Bandar, whose judgment I prefer to that of John Kerry or Susan Rice or John McCain any day of the week. The best-case scenario would be for the grown-ups in the region to ignore the blandishments of the Obama administration as well as the advice of the Republican establishment, and to do what they have to do regardless.

Americans who want to conduct a great experiment in democracy will have to take their laboratory somewhere else.

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Hilary Clinton's "arab spring" in all its glory. Hilary's agenda has always been to sock it to the Christians in no matter what country they live. During her co presidency with her priapic husband she influenced the bombing and killing of Christians in Kosovo and Serbia; in Egypt she aided the Moslem Brotherhood in its persecution of the ancient Coptic Christians. Now she and her girlfriend Samantha Powers are urging the arming of anti Christian rebels in Syria. She really does hate Christians.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I absolutely hate the left's use of the word "democracy", especially "Muslim democracy" which is even a greater delusion.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
So many Americans think that democracy is a magic spell that brings about justice and peace. But in the absence of inalienable individual rights (as opposed to group "rights," which in practice mean tribalism) and the rule of law, democracy is merely a legal fig leaf for tyranny. You'd think we'd learn.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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Islamicists are fundimentally stupid people. I don't mean less educated (they are that), I mean they simply do not have sufficient brain cells to form coherent thoughts and plans. They have zero understanding of how to govern, modern economic thinking, technology, well, really anything remotely usefull. They are not well read or traveled. They are conspiricy minded, and foolish. What can come of such a group?

With such people in charge eventually anything they touch turns to dust. It is inevitable.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
The Left has been trying for years to "dismiss the American People, and elect a new one"; why not in Egypt (and other inconvenient polities) too?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Mr. Goldman,

since you are very much conversant with German history and literature, allow this German a little aside on your initial Brecht quote / reference.

I don't have much sympathy for Bertolt B. In fact, I thoroughly dislike the guy. In my view he is much overrated as a writer, his politics were awfuf -- that pretty much goes without saying -- and his influence, domestical as well as worldwide, pernicious.

However, in this specific instance Mr. B. is not guilty as charged. In the (utterly unpoetic) poem you allude to, Brecht was patently and utterly being sarcastic when he recommended to the communist East German government that it elect itself a new people after the 1953 uprising. Check out the text for yourself.

1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
"Update: Why can’t we get 14 million people into the streets to proclaim that Obama is an idiot like the Egyptians did? Over at ZeroHedge," David don't you know that Professor Craig Pirrong of the University of Houston has stated that Zerohedge is a Bulgarian KGB front? How dare you cite Zerohedge you Paulbot Greenwald/Assange troll!
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
>> Americans who want to conduct a great experiment in democracy will have to take their laboratory somewhere else.

As bad as the decision to support the MB was, and dumping Mubarak in the way Obama did, you'd almost forget by all the self-righteous chest thumping by the those of Spengler's stripe what the alternatives actually were going to be soon enough. Mubarak couldn't maintain power forever and the regime was waning. So now they wail and moan about American "democracy experiments", but the fact is they were fine with American "tyranny experiments" and long for new ones. Many wish to pretend that all you have to do is pay the right guys to suppress their populations.

And have they learned the lessen that those don't work in this popular uprising supported by the military? Not likely. And they'll rail and moan that some Republicans believe in some spontaneous "Jeffersonian democracy", and yet seem to use that same standard to condemn any possible progress as not real democracy. For all the idiocy and wrong-headedness of the Obama foreign policy, if the MB have been permanently eliminated as a popular choice in one year and any successors must take note that people won't allow for one-time selections for tyrants, then maybe the fool Obama actually did better in his foolishness than the Spenglerites would have in his place in looking for a new tyrant every few years.

Sounds to me like the democracy experiment in Egypt is making some progress that the Spenglerites won't acknowledge in their fawning admiration of stability at any cost. Marking out the political alliances is very useful and helpful, but let's not pretend this isn't true of every nation at this stage. It is a reductionism and not the full story as I get the feeling they'd like to believe.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
IS OBAMA THE MORSI OF NORTH AMERICA?

Let's see: Obama is tone deaf, has a compliant press, relieved top generals and has a bad economy. On the other hand, he has Muslim Bruthas as top advisers and they are constant visitors to the White House, while Huma Abedin of the Muslin Sisters was also a top adviser to Hillary when Morsi came into power -- and, then, there's the global genius Valerie Jarrett. What could go wrong?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Wait a sec. Do we have out in Hollywood somewhere a mock-up of the pyramids? Do we got maybe some fake camels and waving palms? Cannot Dear Leader give an awesome speech with this backdrop to assure our Egyptian friends that we got their back? I know he did that for the Mooslim Bro-hood, but that was yesterday. I think if he says something like, "the bread will roll from the ovens, the sands will part," that will calm things down.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Don't forget, American Progressives have for the past several years whitewashed the MB and argued that fear on the Right is unfounded. The editors at the Washington Post and Economist magazine have taken these positions. Recent events have shown the socialist world view of Western journalists and politicians to have been spectacularly wrong. And the Right lets them get away with it. As usual.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
In an apt companion piece to this excellent piece, Caroline Glick observes, following Morsi's removal, that:

"There are only three things that are knowable about the future of Egypt. First it will be poor ... " Secondly it will be politically unstable; and thirdly it will remain anti-U.S./anti-Jew/anti-West.

And there is nothing that we can do, over on our side of the Atlantic, to alter that. That is why a Proper U.S. Mideast policy must be rooted first and foremost in American security, because there are things out there that we simply cannot fix. We can help with the starving masses over there, to an extent, but we cannot alter the politics short of overthrowing the entire nation (ala Japan) and rebuilding it top to bottom. But we cannot afford to even try to do such a thing because Obama, following upon Bush's corporate bailout initiative in the final year of his lameduck admin., has driven our nation into the deepest debt, by far, than it has ever known.
1 year ago
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1 year ago
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