https://pjmedia.com/spengler/2011/09/09/turkey-cant-act-rationally/feed/PJ Media is a leading news site covering culture, politics, faith, homeland security, and more. Our reporters and columnists provide original, in-depth analysis from a variety of perspectives.en-usWed, 10 Jun 2026 10:44:27 -0400<![CDATA[Why Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan chose the year 2038 as the point at which his country will cease to exist, I do not know, but that&#8217;s what he&#8217;s been saying in stump speeches to his home audience, as I report in my new book, How Civilizations Die. He can&#8217;t be too far off. A generation from now, Turkey will cease to exist in its present form. The ratio of Turks to Kurds today (defined by cradle tongue) is about 4:1, but Turks have 1.5 children on average, while Kurds have 4.5. In little over a generation, Kurds will comprise half the military-age population of Anatolia. After decades of civil war and 40,000 casualties, Turkey&#8217;s Kurdish problem is as vivid as ever.]]>Fri, 09 Sep 2011 13:07:20 -0400<![CDATA[David P. Goldman]]>https://pjmedia.com/david-p-goldman/2011/09/09/turkey-cant-act-rationally-n130518