Tom Holsinger,

To paraphrase the investment firms, past performance is a pretty good indicator of future results. The demographic trends Steyn notes in Europe have been in place a long time. This does not guarantee they won’t change, but it would take something extremely dramatic to cause them to.

And, frankly, Steyn’s analysis seems a lot less “facile” than Peters’ simplistic declarations that, well, Europe had violent ethnic nationalism in the past, so they will again. Europe has changed. And the talk about Viking descendents is a little silly. These people think “cowboy” is a perjorative, for Pete’s sake.