And another thing I wondered is about the difference between polling for registered voters and likely voters. If you look at Bush’s numbers since late June he has been down around 2-4 points, sometimes it is dead even when polling registered voters. But when a poll of likely voters is done, such as Gallup he tends to be ahead. In fact the only poll I have seen in which either candidate went over 50% was Bush at 51%.

I would assume this is the difference between people who are just answering questions and people who really intend to vote.

Only death will deter me. A lot of the Kerry people I know bitch about Bush, but I am not sure how many will bother to get out of bed a half hour earlier to go vote for Kerry.

I think it has to do with voting for somebody vs voting against somebody. I make no predictions but I will vote for Bush because I support him and I think the Democrats are not up to the job. Especially Kerry.