I’ve thought about this. Tucson was a bounce. The Repubs are in pre-disarray disarray. Palin took a hit on her eight-minute denial speech. Still, Barry is still very unpopular. As Terry wrote earlier, the world is in a world of hurt, stability-wise. The international players hostile to the US are having a field day. The US economy is still in deep trouble. The voters are not immune to any of this. People like a nice speech, and Obama seemed nearly sincere in Tucson. And it was a horrible scene, but watch the economy sputter or fall (and it will do one of the two), and he will have a severe uphill fight – but only if the Republicans come up with a viable, charismatic and even unifying candidate.