You forgot one thing: the price of oil. If a gallon of gasoline soars to $4, $5 per gallon or higher under an administration that has shut down domestic oil exploration while funding it overseas (eg Brazil) and a President who has publicly stated that he WANTS higher and higher fuel prices, there is little chance Obama will be re-elected. I don’t believe that blaming high fuel costs on Bush will work except on the brain dead (ie leftists).