chuck

I wish I had your crystal ball. I agree that a major political realignment is underway, I just have to look at myself, at Roger, at you, to see this. But how many are we, really? If the future were that transparent, we would all be rich, no?

Actually the realignment is not with Boomers like me or Roger, it is among our children. We are nothing more than swing voters from a statistical point of view. My wife is hard Democrat and while she admits the Democrats are making mistakes I hold little hope any time soon for this to change. My change is more personal, I’ll address that another time. My daughter is 17 years old and will miss being able to vote by months. She is almost prejudicial against Democrats and absolutely hates political correctness. She will register as a Republican I guarantee it. While she is somewhat libertarian about people’s behavior (you know live and let live) she is very sympathetic to pro-Life sentiments and has no use for the demonization of people who have such beliefs. She is no “John Bircher” but what she calls a “Social Justice Conservative”. She totally buys the idea of “Compassionate Conservatism”, “Faith based Initiatives” and “No Child Left Behind”. Use of government with measured efficiency and effectiveness to her is fine. She wants tough environmental laws but is not a “Chicken Little the Sky is Falling” about things like global warning, she is also pro business. I don’t think she is or will be that unique. She is a suburban moderate that finds the values of the Democrats lacking to put it kindly. At 17 years old Bill Clinton and George Bush is all she knows. A man chasing girls more then half his age (Clinton) regardless of his talents is not an inspiring picture to her, however the principled nature of President Bush is, again she is not unique.

The trouble for Democrats is not now, it is tomorrow, especially if they donít get their crap together. The average Republican is younger than the average Democrat, this did not used to be the case. History repeats itself to one degree or another and the Republicans made similar mistakes in the past. This doesnít mean the Democrats won’t win the Presidency as people on the whole will vote for leadership more than a party at that level. Were it bodes badly for them is in Congress, they will be out of power for a while.

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I’m curious if you have more specifics to support your case. Do you really know Kerry personally, or just know a lot about him from being in the neighborhood? Do you get the sense that some of your neighbors are likely to change their minds? So on and so forth.

I will only say that I do know Kerry personally and I will leave it at that. If I wanted to show forth evidence and prove anything I wouldn’t do it here, Iíd write a book, but that I will never do. As far as people changing their minds, I know very few people that have. In my family 3 have changed from Gore to Bush. I know one that has gone from Bush to Kerry. Very few need to change to cause a strong swing. If 45% are committed on either side then 10% is “swing”. I have a lot of experience in campaigning and it appears that Kerry has an angle on these people however you will just have to trust me when I say Bush will clean Kerry’s clock. Bush could be beaten, Kerry is not the man, after his unworthiness is proven Bush will get 7-8% of that vote and that translates to 53% for Bush. I believe the polling favors Democrats in a distorted way anyway, but that is for another time, I’ll just say Democrats usually poll better especially this far out from the election. Bush will get 53-57% and I predict it will not be the last time he is under estimated. The MSM and Democrats are just bound and determined to turn him into a political legend.

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Bye the way, your sentiment seems to have hardened considerably in recent days. Has something happened that brought this about?

No, my sentiment is no harder then when I re-registered as a Republican. My anger and disgust has however. I know what the Democrats are up to, tactics and all. I talk to certain Democrats regularly but also Republicans as well (actually more with them of late), but it is all for personal consumption. What has happened is accumulative in affect and inside knowledge. Some people I will never respect again period. I still consider myself liberal by Republican standards, the ends justifies the means tactics of the Democrats is what I hold in the highest contempt. Bottom line is I want the truth, the Democrats aren’t selling that these days.