Actually if we were going to strike Iran this would be the time. It would be nothing like Iraq or Afghanistan. No nation building. No boots on the ground. We already have plenty of assets in place to do the job and cheaper to do it now than after we ship all that home.
Waiting just allows Iran to build more defenses and missiles. A prolonged buildup would risk China and Russia sending in more assets such as advanced air defense.
They are already giving us the provocation by threatening our carrier and traffic through the Straits. Just sail right in and see what happens. Call their bluff. If we blink now we could lose that vital waterway and encourage more aggression. If they do nothing we still win and dont need to change policy at all. If they try and fire on our ships or mine the straits they will lose what little air force and navy they have and we can hit the nuke facilities at the same time. If they try to retaliate by launching missiles at Israel like Saddam did we unleash the IAF.
The problem with the “what would Iran do = nothing” formula is that it does not answer the question of why they want one so badly to begin with. So much so, that they are trashing their economy and conventional military. This from a nation with a rust bucket navy threatening the 5th fleet for crying out loud. Doesn’t add up. They are not going through all this trouble for nothing.









