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	<title>Comments on: There&#8217;s no business like global warming business</title>
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	<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/</link>
	<description>The blog of the mystery writer, screenwriter and CEO of Pajamas Media</description>
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		<title>By: Roderick Reilly</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102506</link>
		<dc:creator>Roderick Reilly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 23:23:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102506</guid>
		<description>No such thing as &quot;energy independence.&quot; Never will be any such thing as &quot;energy independence.&quot; 

A dramatic reduction in dependence on foreign sources is doable, and a great idea, but it ain&#039;t independence. Get used to that idea, and stop with the delusional fantasies.

No such thing as using &quot;renewables&quot; only. Bad idea.

No way can we become fully sustainable in a decade with renewables only, like that crackpot Obama ad promised. Not possible, and not a good idea. It shouldn&#039;t even be attempted.

We will need to use oil and coal for decades to come. Bringing along other sources is a great idea, and should be done aggressively, but not as a crash program. Let&#039;s get real about this and act like grownups on energy issues. Yes, bring back nuclear -- if it&#039;s good enough for Stewart Brand, it should be good enough for everyone else.

Drilling on dry land is as necessary as off-shore drilling. I call it the &quot;1% Solution.&quot; 1% of the total U.S. land mass, and of the continental shelf parts of the oceans bounding the U.S. are all we need to stake out for drilling. We can&#039;t spare one freakin&#039; percent?

It&#039;s not true that we must discourage drilling and also artificially raise the price of gasoline to coerce people into going for renewables. That&#039;s nonsense. The push for alternate energy is strong enough now that it doesn&#039;t require coercion and bullying of an American citizenry that just got fleeced for a trillion dollars (and counting) for all these bailouts. What is the upside of pissing off millions of potential voters?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No such thing as &#8220;energy independence.&#8221; Never will be any such thing as &#8220;energy independence.&#8221; </p>
<p>A dramatic reduction in dependence on foreign sources is doable, and a great idea, but it ain&#8217;t independence. Get used to that idea, and stop with the delusional fantasies.</p>
<p>No such thing as using &#8220;renewables&#8221; only. Bad idea.</p>
<p>No way can we become fully sustainable in a decade with renewables only, like that crackpot Obama ad promised. Not possible, and not a good idea. It shouldn&#8217;t even be attempted.</p>
<p>We will need to use oil and coal for decades to come. Bringing along other sources is a great idea, and should be done aggressively, but not as a crash program. Let&#8217;s get real about this and act like grownups on energy issues. Yes, bring back nuclear &#8212; if it&#8217;s good enough for Stewart Brand, it should be good enough for everyone else.</p>
<p>Drilling on dry land is as necessary as off-shore drilling. I call it the &#8220;1% Solution.&#8221; 1% of the total U.S. land mass, and of the continental shelf parts of the oceans bounding the U.S. are all we need to stake out for drilling. We can&#8217;t spare one freakin&#8217; percent?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not true that we must discourage drilling and also artificially raise the price of gasoline to coerce people into going for renewables. That&#8217;s nonsense. The push for alternate energy is strong enough now that it doesn&#8217;t require coercion and bullying of an American citizenry that just got fleeced for a trillion dollars (and counting) for all these bailouts. What is the upside of pissing off millions of potential voters?</p>
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		<title>By: ray_g</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102456</link>
		<dc:creator>ray_g</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 23:31:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102456</guid>
		<description>oops, that should have been ...&quot;validate your model&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>oops, that should have been &#8230;&#8221;validate your model&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: ray_g</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102455</link>
		<dc:creator>ray_g</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 23:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102455</guid>
		<description>I will admit up front that I don&#039;t know much about climate science.  However, I know quite a bit about computer modeling.  That is why I&#039;m an AGW skeptic.  The idea that we can accurately model something as complicated as and that has as many variables as the global climate is simply absurd.  And it is not just a matter of processing power, building an accurate model of such a system is very, very difficult, if not impossible.  To have any confidence in your model, you must compare it to the observed behavior of the real world system.  With global climate you are looking at time constants of hundreds, perhaps thousands of years, and recorded human history is, generously, 20,000 years, with accurate and reliable data records much shorter than that.  In computer geek parlance, you don&#039;t have a way to verify your model. 

Also, and I know this from painful experience and observing others, it is so easy to introduce experimenter bias into a computer model, even when you are diligently trying to avoid that.  When you have an emotional stake in the results, experimenter bias is almost guaranteed.  And these folks obviously have an emotional stake, since their reaction to critics and skeptics isn&#039;t to defend their results, but is to compare the skeptics to Holocast deniers or to say they are committing crimes against humanity. (Trials for heresy, anyone?)

Michael Crichton was right. Environmentalism changed from a legitimate and useful concern about excess pollution to a secular religion. We are about to get the theocracy that the liberals warned us about, except it won&#039;t be submission to Christ or Allah, but to Gaia.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I will admit up front that I don&#8217;t know much about climate science.  However, I know quite a bit about computer modeling.  That is why I&#8217;m an AGW skeptic.  The idea that we can accurately model something as complicated as and that has as many variables as the global climate is simply absurd.  And it is not just a matter of processing power, building an accurate model of such a system is very, very difficult, if not impossible.  To have any confidence in your model, you must compare it to the observed behavior of the real world system.  With global climate you are looking at time constants of hundreds, perhaps thousands of years, and recorded human history is, generously, 20,000 years, with accurate and reliable data records much shorter than that.  In computer geek parlance, you don&#8217;t have a way to verify your model. </p>
<p>Also, and I know this from painful experience and observing others, it is so easy to introduce experimenter bias into a computer model, even when you are diligently trying to avoid that.  When you have an emotional stake in the results, experimenter bias is almost guaranteed.  And these folks obviously have an emotional stake, since their reaction to critics and skeptics isn&#8217;t to defend their results, but is to compare the skeptics to Holocast deniers or to say they are committing crimes against humanity. (Trials for heresy, anyone?)</p>
<p>Michael Crichton was right. Environmentalism changed from a legitimate and useful concern about excess pollution to a secular religion. We are about to get the theocracy that the liberals warned us about, except it won&#8217;t be submission to Christ or Allah, but to Gaia.</p>
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		<title>By: Roy M</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102449</link>
		<dc:creator>Roy M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 17:54:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102449</guid>
		<description>Glad to see you&#039;ve got Roy Spencer coming. A real rocket scientist. I have a question...is this chart www.roy.macarthur.com indicitave of global wamimg having stopped in 1998? (thickness of the red line is roughly a 95% confidence interval for a five year moving average temperature). It doesn&#039;t look like it to me.  If that was a stock chart you&#039;d buy. Well I&#039;d buy anyway.

A more important question is, &quot;Is this the right kind of data to use to answer the first question?&quot; I don&#039;t know the answer to that one. I expect Roy Spencer does.

The intelligent design thing is an issue. Non-AGW is a minority view within climate science. Intelligent design is way out there. Many great scientists have held some extremely strange and just plain wrong ideas on subjects outside of their formal areas of expertise so maybe it should just be ignored. 

On the other hand non-AGW and ID do seem to come a set more often than you would expect if people were thinking about them idependently. Why is that?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Glad to see you&#8217;ve got Roy Spencer coming. A real rocket scientist. I have a question&#8230;is this chart <a href="http://www.roy.macarthur.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.roy.macarthur.com</a> indicitave of global wamimg having stopped in 1998? (thickness of the red line is roughly a 95% confidence interval for a five year moving average temperature). It doesn&#8217;t look like it to me.  If that was a stock chart you&#8217;d buy. Well I&#8217;d buy anyway.</p>
<p>A more important question is, &#8220;Is this the right kind of data to use to answer the first question?&#8221; I don&#8217;t know the answer to that one. I expect Roy Spencer does.</p>
<p>The intelligent design thing is an issue. Non-AGW is a minority view within climate science. Intelligent design is way out there. Many great scientists have held some extremely strange and just plain wrong ideas on subjects outside of their formal areas of expertise so maybe it should just be ignored. </p>
<p>On the other hand non-AGW and ID do seem to come a set more often than you would expect if people were thinking about them idependently. Why is that?</p>
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		<title>By: AlanC</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102446</link>
		<dc:creator>AlanC</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 16:26:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102446</guid>
		<description>hermie, LOL.

That&#039;s particularly sardonic as one of the first great changes that protected whales was the shift to petroleum (kerosene) for lighting; and the switch to coal allowed the forests to re-grow.

Cut......nose......face.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>hermie, LOL.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s particularly sardonic as one of the first great changes that protected whales was the shift to petroleum (kerosene) for lighting; and the switch to coal allowed the forests to re-grow.</p>
<p>Cut&#8230;&#8230;nose&#8230;&#8230;face.</p>
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		<title>By: hermie</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102445</link>
		<dc:creator>hermie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 15:45:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102445</guid>
		<description>Get rid of coal...Get rid of oil..get rid of nukes.

Then we can enjoy reading by that renewable resource: Whale oil lamps.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Get rid of coal&#8230;Get rid of oil..get rid of nukes.</p>
<p>Then we can enjoy reading by that renewable resource: Whale oil lamps.</p>
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		<title>By: tim maguire</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102443</link>
		<dc:creator>tim maguire</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 15:10:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102443</guid>
		<description>I like where this thread is headed. In my opinion, the current crop of environmentalists is doing great damage to environmentalism. There is no evidence that anything unusual is happening with the weather and yet there is an entire industry built up around bankrupting industrial society because this year&#039;s weather isn&#039;t like the weather of 20 years ago (as though it somehow should be).

It&#039;s a real problem for people who care about the environment and don&#039;t want the effort to save it to get a bad name by these people. Beware the backlash!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I like where this thread is headed. In my opinion, the current crop of environmentalists is doing great damage to environmentalism. There is no evidence that anything unusual is happening with the weather and yet there is an entire industry built up around bankrupting industrial society because this year&#8217;s weather isn&#8217;t like the weather of 20 years ago (as though it somehow should be).</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a real problem for people who care about the environment and don&#8217;t want the effort to save it to get a bad name by these people. Beware the backlash!</p>
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		<title>By: AlanC</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102442</link>
		<dc:creator>AlanC</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 13:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102442</guid>
		<description>HHW I agree wholeheartedly that we should work on pollution.  Of course I mean real polution. CO2 is not now and never was a pollutant.

One common method of modelling complex systems such as a climate model is to just stick in a constant for all those variables that you don&#039;t want to deal with.  Doesn&#039;t do a lot for accuracy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>HHW I agree wholeheartedly that we should work on pollution.  Of course I mean real polution. CO2 is not now and never was a pollutant.</p>
<p>One common method of modelling complex systems such as a climate model is to just stick in a constant for all those variables that you don&#8217;t want to deal with.  Doesn&#8217;t do a lot for accuracy.</p>
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		<title>By: HardHeadedWoman</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102441</link>
		<dc:creator>HardHeadedWoman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 13:25:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102441</guid>
		<description>I know several scientists also and all of them say that the idea that climate is changed much, if at all, by anything humans do is ridiculous.  Like economics, weather and climate have so many variables that they are virtually impossible to control and the idea that they can be is ludicrous.  Having said that I am very much in favor of conservation and not polluting this amazing Planet we live on.  Which is what we were taught in school back in the Dark Ages before Environmentalism became a religion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know several scientists also and all of them say that the idea that climate is changed much, if at all, by anything humans do is ridiculous.  Like economics, weather and climate have so many variables that they are virtually impossible to control and the idea that they can be is ludicrous.  Having said that I am very much in favor of conservation and not polluting this amazing Planet we live on.  Which is what we were taught in school back in the Dark Ages before Environmentalism became a religion.</p>
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		<title>By: Roger L. Simon</title>
		<link>http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2008/11/17/theres-no-business-like-global-warming-business/#comment-102439</link>
		<dc:creator>Roger L. Simon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 05:02:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerlsimon/?p=4545#comment-102439</guid>
		<description>Indeed you are right misterbones aka cindy aka mr. anonymous (of course),  Roy Spencer supports intelligent design. I don&#039;t.  On the other hand, he has considerable scientific background and has won science prizes.  Have you? (Oh, you&#039;d prefer to remain anonymous, I suppose.  Good for you.)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Spencer_(scientist)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Indeed you are right misterbones aka cindy aka mr. anonymous (of course),  Roy Spencer supports intelligent design. I don&#8217;t.  On the other hand, he has considerable scientific background and has won science prizes.  Have you? (Oh, you&#8217;d prefer to remain anonymous, I suppose.  Good for you.)</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Spencer_(scientist)" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Spencer_(scientist)</a></p>
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