Comments on: Conflicting polls – Who’s on first?

By: jamie hunt

jamie hunt — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 20:32:54 +0000

Interesting to see the Obama/Ayers “Dreams” ghostwrite/edit story rise up through the blogosphere. Postliberal and Jack Cashill make strong arguments.

When Obama said of Ayers during the debate for the Dems PA primary “He’s not somebody I exchange ideas from (sic) on a regular basis” I think he might have given the game away.

By: Minerva

Minerva — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 01:31:37 +0000

Jennifer Rubin was on the Lou Dobbs program today and PJM was mentioned. Then I realized what a wonderful thing PJM will be in the times to come. To Hell with Rama! Don’t mourn after the election. Let us gather at PJM and elect Roger our Pope!!

By: mojo

mojo — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 21:45:13 +0000

“Short stop? I don’t give a…”

By: Mareyel

Mareyel — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 21:39:35 +0000

Early voting in Florida is heavy, both in person and absentee ballot drop offs. “Conventional wisdom” has it that the Obamots are voting in person and the McCain supporters are voting absentee. I voted absentee this morning…you can probably guess who I voted for.

By: Charles

Charles — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 21:19:41 +0000

I think the races are much closer in Pennsylvania than is being reported. I live in Virginia in Fairfax County. The polls here tilt slightly for obama but I just don’t think he’s going to get it. Fairfax county has been moving democratic over the last election cycles but Palin received enthusiastic crowds here when she visited. And outside the inner cities here I just don’t see Obama doing much.

By: Lightnin' Hopkins

Lightnin' Hopkins — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 20:06:37 +0000

Jamie: Re; srlucado’s mention of the rise in the national suicide rate. It’s up slightly since 1999, with the highest increase among middle-aged women – 3.9 percent. I imagine the rate goes up and down from decade to decade, adjusting for population growth.

http://tinyurl.com/69bpfb

By: David Thomson

David Thomson — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 17:13:06 +0000

There is now conclusive evidence that Obama is not getting any more of the youth vote than did John Kerry! And yet, this was one of the reasons why pollsters have heavily weighed their polls in favor of Obama. The sad thing is that this professional incompetency may turn into something of a self fulfilling prophecy. Obama has raised millions of dollars because of the unprecedented premises of these pollsters. Their results have, perhaps more importantly, demoralized Republicans. I still think, however, the odds are on the side of John McCain and Sarah Plain. Sensible voters must, first last and foremost, vote their fears of an Obama presidency. They must not listen to the more pessimistic pollsters.

By: Jamie Irons

Jamie Irons — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 14:36:58 +0000

Somewhat OT question to srlucado…

Scott,

You wrote:

P.S. Reports indicate an increasing suicide rate in the US. No wonder…

Do you have a citation? (I’m not doubting you, just curious.) The suicide rate tends to be very stable.

Jamie Irons

By: NJclosetconservative

NJclosetconservative — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 13:25:20 +0000

Roger L.,

Interesting post from postliberal. Anyone in the publishing biz would recognize Obama’s explanation as pure bunk.

As an unpublished writer Obama would have had to submit a book proposal with a knock-your-socks-off sample chapter to get a book deal.

“Several publishers” just don’t call up and ask someone to become a writer and hope something brilliant will result. It just doesn’t happen.

Obama becoming the first black man to edit the Harvard Law Review (with zero published writing) is simply not a significant enough event to cause the publishing world to seek him out and convince him to write a memoir.

How would they have know he had an interesting past? To most people at that time, he was Barry Dunham from Hawaii.

Just another example of Obama’s lies and deceit and the cynical political construction of his persona.

By: Larry J

Larry J — Thu, 23 Oct 2008 13:24:05 +0000

Personally, most polls are little more than manufactured news. For a poll to have any accuracy, it needs the sample to reflect the population at large (not 50% democrats as a recent CBS poll) and ask good questions. Never trust a poll that doesn’t publish the questions (e.g. “Would you prefer to vote for Obama or have a sharp stick jammed in your eye?”).

Fortunately, the only poll that counts takes place less than 2 weeks from new. In many places, it’s already underway. I’m going to vote this afternoon. Next week, my wife and I are leaving for a 2 week cruise that spans both her birthday and the election.