Roger’s Rules

By Roger Kimball

Bio

Get Updates From Roger Kimball
A Comment About

Obama: inevitable until it didn’t happen

June 15, 2008 - 11:33 am - by Roger Kimball
Richard Rubinstein
2008-06-16 06:25:42

I tend to agree the “political experts” are wrapping things up nicely- – months before the election, and before the November narrative is known. A day is a lifetime in politics.

Come November who knows what we will be talking about–maybe Afghanistan and Pakistan or India/Pak relations go sour, ok, worsen from where they are now; maybe there is a war bet I/P or Israel and Iran or whomever; North Korea (once Olympic are over China “ain’t going to cooperate with us in dealing with ‘nut-thing’”; Russia (whose foreign policy is to keep oil prices high); Iran; Israel/PLA; Bin Laden/Al Qaeda; or Iraq. Well, you all get the point.

That said, and it pains me to say this, all things being equal Obama is likely to win. I can point to many factors, as to why this is: admittedly none substantive.

But things do not tend to be equal. The election is far from decided, but advantage Obama.

Mr. Roger: “Bad things happen to good countries.” darn good line. You are obviously paraphrasing that famous book of about 30 yrs ago by A Rabbi who lost a child: “why bad things happen to good people.”

To anyone who has not read it, that book is still good read today.