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By Richard Fernandez

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The No-Fire Zone

January 31, 2010 - 5:30 pm - by Richard Fernandez
Kinuachdrach
2010-01-31 20:45:53

Nukes don’t kill people. People kill people.

If Israel does decide to move against Iran, it won’t be hard-to-execute strikes against deep-bunkered nuclear processing facilities. It will be surprise strikes against the Iranian leadership; maybe on a Friday; at a mosque.

Presumably, the Israelis will try to have tacit agreement from the Saudis before they move against the Iranian leadership.

Of course, success would leave a power vacuum in Iran, and nature abhors a vacuum. Russia would try to fill it. So might Saudi, or even China. Eliminating the current Iranian leadership may get the monkey off Israel’s back for a while, but it would likely not lead to peace in the Middle East. Disruptions there could plunge the world into an oil-starved depression which could make our current economic situation seem like the Good Old Days.

Obama may end up making Chamberlain look good.