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By Richard Fernandez

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The logistical tether

August 25, 2008 - 11:14 pm - by Richard Fernandez
RAH
2008-08-27 02:07:41

Strategic reassessment

Russia is a rising menace and China is a future problem.

At this time we have no territorial conflicts with China except for Taiwan. Taiwan will be absorbed voluntarily into China. China also has interests in the central Asian nations and their oil resources. That will conflict with Russia interests also.

I believe that US will want to maintain the East European nations, Balkans and the Caucasus nations. Georgia is a strategic importance. Let the borders be the natural mountains of the North Caucasus. We want to get Georgia absorbed into our military umbrella fast because that allows us to have influence and protection over Azerbaijan, Russia’s natural target. It is in our natural strategic interest to secure Caspian oil for the west.

We also keep Iraq and hopefully get Iran via a coup. I think the installation of the dead Shah’s son, as a ruler would be a good idea. But that means that we have to destabilize Iran by taking out their nukes. We can’t wait until the next administration. Hopefully we can get the Israelis to do it for us.

Tactics in Afghanistan has to be changed. We no longer can support the slow and steady with a supply line that will be cut by Russia and Pakistan. Use CIA and Special Forces and set up warlords to fight the Taliban. Use UVA and air forces to destroy Taliban incursions and bases in Pakistan. NATO squandered the time we no longer can afford.
Afghanistan we have to be a diminished effort. The Taliban is not the strategic threat that Russia is.

Use Special Forces and CIA assets to smoke out remaining AQ but they are a dying organization. The jihadists will be around but their target will be Pakistan and try to control that country. Encourage India to push Kashmir.

Maliki will be a problem since he now feels cocky and is screwing the Sons of Iraq. Economic pressure needs to be applied to allow the Sunni participation to check Maliki’s consolidation of power.

Permanent bases in Iraq will be acquired to maintain control and influence over the ME.

That is just a quick assessment