No Wretchard, the likely outcome is the “BNP vs. Islamists” war we all knew was coming.
Liberals/Dems/etc. cannot screw the average person forever, they’ve been helped by a global wave of prosperity that ameliorated the overt discrimination against Joe Average White Guy.
ObamaCare screws over the average person, sharply, while delaying any benefit other than to Illegal Aliens who are 90% Mexicans. Its purely a racial spoils politics on behalf of the Black-Hispanic-SWPL Elite alliance. It contains in its own seeds a brutal Jacksonian reaction.
The most likely outcome is pure White populism. ObamaCare perhaps permanent but excluding illegals and perhaps even others. The cut always go further if there are fewer people cutting it. The math works out that a man can rise high (Napoleon, Stalin, etc.) by promising the majority the most of the cut by excluding the minority. Suharto rose this way also.
Meanwhile Egypt slips into Islamism, and the whole Copenhagen debacle predictably collapsed because there is no more money.
THAT is the attribute you have not factored for: LACK OF MONEY. What Ed Driscoll calls the Rendezvous with Scarcity. Take a Middle Class people accustomed to 50+ years of rising living standards, make them suddenly poor overnight, and you get a Revolutionary situation.
The “Revolution” will not be according to the tired patterns of Marxism. It will be an angry, unapologetic, White populism. Look at the BNP website. They openly call the British native population the well, native population and quote the UN Declaration of Indigenous rights. There is no guilt or shame among them. The fouresquarely stand for their own ethnicity, and no one else does. Conservatism being a tired wine of me-too liberal elitism, with slightly fewer intrusiveness into ordinary life and “apologies for Whiteness.”
The key will be the success of Avatar. IF it makes a profit (covers the $500 million cost and then some) THEN your predictions are likely to be true. But more likely, it will be Dances with Wolves meets Waterworld. The White Majorities of the West are tired of being blamed for everything, and getting the bill for everything. Not even Obama and the rest could sign on to massive destruction of their economies to give money to China and Sudan.
More likely, ObamaCare passes, huge taxes while no benefits for the White Middle Class majority, and is transformed to exclude those not Americans to start with by a White populist counter-reaction, by a desperate and angry people. Who no longer feel GUILT.
