This is almost funny. I would laugh hysterically if I didn’t know how awful it is going to turn out.

The Bush years were a desperate attempt to keep the corks in quite a few bottles. Bottles ready to blow. He and his group can be criticized for ineptitude. But I think they recognized the reality.

His opposition, now in power, vigorously argued that there wasn’t any bottle, and none of them if they existed at all were ready to blow. Attitude amply illustrated by the hilarious reaction to Fort Hood. I’m surprised no tv news had dragged a psychiatrist onto the program and hammered them with all the psychiatrists gone bad and murderous in the past, and asked for an explanation. Not really surprised, because that would take some thought.

It is all going to blow up.

One of Taleb’s ideas is that theories are dangerous. Empirical evidence, and responding to that evidence works. Theories hide the facts from us. Bush was called an ideologue, the neocons were painted as single minded dangerous fools.

Now we see what ideologues look like. Nothing, absolutely nothing including the its ands and ifs have any basis in any reality.

I predicted that Obama would nuke someone. I still think he will. For the very reason that he will let things get so out of control that he has no choice.

He will leave office a failed, hated and broken man.

Derek